Farmers Almanac

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cajungal
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Farmers Almanac

#1 Postby cajungal » Tue May 30, 2006 3:34 pm

DATE: 5/31/06

For Immediate Release

Contact: Peter Geiger, 207-755-2246
Sandi Duncan, Managing Editor, 908-689-0960


Farmers’ Almanac, NOAA Predicting Active Hurricane Season

LEWISTON, MAINE – The Farmers’ Almanac, a well-known source for long-range weather predictions, is forecasting both a stormy summer with a greater than normal tally of locally heavy, and a more tempestuous than usual hurricane season this year, continuing a ten-year trend towards increasing tropical storm activity. The 2006 edition of the Farmers’ Almanac contains specific forecasts that forewarn of hurricanes threats to the southern east coast of the U.S. (from Florida through the Carolinas) in late July, followed by potential threats for Florida and the Gulf Coast in mid-August. The entire east coast should be on the lookout for a possible storm in early September.

These predictions were mirrored recently when the National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) announced their own forecast for the 2006 Hurricane Season, predicting another year of very active hurricane activity. NOAA’s prediction calls for between 13-16 named storms, eight to ten of which could reach hurricane strength.

The Farmers’ Almanac weather predictions are made two years in advance and use a top-secret but mathematical and astronomical formula. The predictions are said to be between 80% and 85% accurate. The 2005 Farmers’ Almanac correctly predicted two major hurricane threats to the Gulf Coast last year, including the prediction of a hurricane that came within four days of Hurricane Katrina’s landfall last August.

Residents in coastal regions of the southern and eastern U.S. are advised to be on alert and take proper precautions for a possible hurricane strike in their area. The 2006 Farmers’ Almanac contains a section on hurricane preparedness tips.

Quick reference: 2006 Official Hurricane Names:

Alberto
Beryl
Chris
Debby
Ernesto
Florence
Gordon
Helene
Isaac
Joyce
Kirk
Leslie
Michael
Nadine
Oscar
Patty
Rafael
Sandy
Tony
Valerie
William

The Farmers’ Almanac, which features an orange and green cover, has been published every year since 1818. It not only contains useful and interesting articles but also long-range weather predictions, gardening advice, recipes and more. The 2006 Farmers’ Almanac is available now and sold at select retailers, bookstores and online at http://www.farmersalmanac.com. Editors Peter Geiger and Sandi Duncan are available for lively and informative interviews by phone or in-person. They love to talk about the weather, share some useful Almanac trivia and advice, and discuss the latest Farmers’ Almanac campaign to put the “service” back in customer service.



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cajungal
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#2 Postby cajungal » Tue May 30, 2006 7:18 pm

I want to buy a copy because it think it is very interesting. They are usually pretty accurate, but not always. They give a hurricane for the gulf coast mid August. But, I hope they are wrong.
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#3 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Tue May 30, 2006 7:23 pm

:eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: i want to buy one somewhere ?can i buy one at wally world (wal-mart"????????????
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#4 Postby cajungal » Tue May 30, 2006 7:34 pm

Yes, you can probably buy it at any retail store such as Wal-mart, Target, bookstores, etc..
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#5 Postby hcane27 » Tue May 30, 2006 8:05 pm

cajungal wrote:I want to buy a copy because it think it is very interesting. They are usually pretty accurate, but not always. They give a hurricane for the gulf coast mid August. But, I hope they are wrong.


To quote an "expert" ... "no one can predict hurricane landfalls months in advance" seems like a waste of money to me
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#6 Postby Ivan14 » Wed May 31, 2006 12:28 am

Yup no one can predict these things months in advance.
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#7 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Wed May 31, 2006 7:47 am

well considering they are right 80-85% of the time...I think they may come pretty close to being able to forecast them in advance. 80-85% is not that bad.
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#8 Postby terstorm1012 » Wed May 31, 2006 7:52 am

Farmers Almanac, FYI predicted Andrew. I still own that copy. They were about 3 days off.

Take it for what you will. I for one always buy one every year. The recipies are usually pretty good.
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#9 Postby TSmith274 » Wed May 31, 2006 7:56 am

Ivan14 wrote:Yup no one can predict these things months in advance.

A wise man, on April 26th, 2005 did just that... even got the exact landfall correct...
TSmith274 wrote:Louisiana's overdue? Tell you what, I just built a camp near Buras, La at the mouth of the river. I have terrible luck. Will La have a landfalling hurricane this year? Yes, count it.

LOL
Here's the thread...
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... ht=#863839

Dont try me this year!!
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#10 Postby Stratusxpeye » Wed May 31, 2006 8:27 am

TSmith274 wrote:
Ivan14 wrote:Yup no one can predict these things months in advance.

A wise man, on April 26th, 2005 did just that... even got the exact landfall correct...
TSmith274 wrote:Louisiana's overdue? Tell you what, I just built a camp near Buras, La at the mouth of the river. I have terrible luck. Will La have a landfalling hurricane this year? Yes, count it.

LOL
Here's the thread...
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... ht=#863839

Dont try me this year!!


Hey TSmith274 would you mind if I asked where you built anything in the past year so if it's by me I can sell and move out now? You don't own anything on the fl west coast do you? :) That's amazing. A few months before the big one you truly did have some bad luck. Sorry for your loss.
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#11 Postby Air Force Met » Wed May 31, 2006 8:30 am

Extremeweatherguy wrote:well considering they are right 80-85% of the time...I think they may come pretty close to being able to forecast them in advance. 80-85% is not that bad.


I would love to see actual data that proves they are right 80-85% of the time. You must include in that every forecast for 2" above normal precip when it was dry as a bone, forecasts for temps +4 when it turned out below normal, hurricanes forecasted that didn't come...and a hurricane hit that wasn't forecasted. Where is that data?

As far as the right forecasts...a broke clock is right twice a day. Everyone seems to remember the hits...nobody remembers the misses.
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#12 Postby TSmith274 » Wed May 31, 2006 10:10 am

Stratusxpeye wrote:
TSmith274 wrote:
Ivan14 wrote:Yup no one can predict these things months in advance.

A wise man, on April 26th, 2005 did just that... even got the exact landfall correct...
TSmith274 wrote:Louisiana's overdue? Tell you what, I just built a camp near Buras, La at the mouth of the river. I have terrible luck. Will La have a landfalling hurricane this year? Yes, count it.

LOL
Here's the thread...
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... ht=#863839

Dont try me this year!!


Hey TSmith274 would you mind if I asked where you built anything in the past year so if it's by me I can sell and move out now? You don't own anything on the fl west coast do you? :) That's amazing. A few months before the big one you truly did have some bad luck. Sorry for your loss.


Nothing near you Stratusxpeye, but the west bank of New Orleans needs to look out.
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