Closed Low forming East Of Port Mansfield

Stratosphere747 · #161 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:29 pm

george_r_1961 wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:Frank and Ch 13's met both mentioned the low, but that it was upper-level and NOT at the surface.

Then why are the buoys showing a circulation at the surface?

I would assume because that would be implying that a TD is imminent...

#162 Postby **skysummit** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:30 pm

...and we all know what happens when you assume. :cheesy:

#163 Postby **Starburst** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:31 pm

KFDM Meteorologist Thanks for posting this we are happy to have another pro met posting from Texas. :wink:

I have been watching this blob since the NWS out of Corpus Christi and Brownsville mentioned it yesterday and I am glad someone else is watching it besides me. :wink:

Stratosphere747 · #164 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:33 pm

skysummit wrote:...and we all know what happens when you assume.

Could also be because there is no surface low forming....

#165 Postby **Portastorm** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:36 pm

The radar presentation I saw looked like the low (or one of the lows) was more east of Port Mansfield than Brownsville.

Stratosphere747 · #166 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:40 pm

Portastorm wrote:The radar presentation I saw looked like the low (or one of the lows) was more east of Port Mansfield than Brownsville.

True. Both of the Houston mets showed the low just off the coast of Corpus.

Frank show it slowly moving towards the west, while Ch. 13 has it drifting south.

Both also did agree that it was something to watch if it persisted the next few days.

#167 Postby **greg_kfdm_tv** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:41 pm

The low does appear to be developing east of Port Mansfield. This is supported by Brownsville radar and buoy obs.

By the way, looking at the buoy reports it does seem to be at the surface.

Stratosphere747 · #168 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:43 pm

Greg, would that not mean a TD is in it's formative stages?

#169 Postby **greg_kfdm_tv** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:49 pm

It depends if it becomes warm core or not. The best way to find that out is to have recon.

CHRISTY · #170 Postby **CHRISTY** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:50 pm

thunderstorm activity seems to be decreaseing.

#171 Postby **tgenius** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:54 pm

all the hoopla and the blob is gonna disintegrate

CHRISTY · #172 Postby **CHRISTY** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:56 pm

Stratosphere747 · #173 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:56 pm

Looks as if the intensity is decreasing, while the coverage is expanding.

#174 Postby **O Town** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:57 pm

Wow, 2 and half pages before I got up to cook dinner, now on the verge of a lock. :eek:

MiamiensisWx · #175 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:58 pm

Doesn't look as good as before; even then, it still had rather warmish cloudtops, a bit more than Allison or Grace ever had at many points. While slight development potential is there, I don't think the environment or synoptics favor it that much, as I have stated before, even though a circulation is almost certainly present.

MiamiensisWx · #176 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:58 pm

O Town wrote:Wow, 2 and half pages before I got up to cook dinner, now on the verge of a lock.

VERY AMAZING!

hurricanefloyd5 · #177 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Tue May 30, 2006 6:01 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:
O Town wrote:Wow, 2 and half pages before I got up to cook dinner, now on the verge of a lock.

VERY AMAZING!

yeah it is and a td has not even formed yet this year so imagin what it's like when one dose form this year!!!!!!!!LOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

CHRISTY · #178 Postby **CHRISTY** » Tue May 30, 2006 6:02 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:Doesn't look as good as before; even then, it still had rather warmish cloudtops, a bit more than Allison or Grace ever had at many points. While slight development potential is there, I don't think the environment or synoptics favor it that much, as I have stated before, even though a circulation is almost certainly present.

iam afraid u are correct there is some slight potential here but the environment around it is not very favorable.I think the convection is flareing up because of the upper level low near by.

#179 Postby **tgenius** » Tue May 30, 2006 6:03 pm

If I was a betting man.. South FL (Broward Southward) will NOT get a storm this year, I just can't fathom 3 hits in 2 years, especially considering we basically went 12 yrs between hurricanes down here (Andrew in 92, until the 04 storms) but just my 2c

hurricanefloyd5 · #180 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Tue May 30, 2006 6:04 pm

this thread is about to be locked

Closed Low forming East Of Port Mansfield

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