Closed Low forming East Of Port Mansfield

#141 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:48 pm

GFS takes forever to pick up anything....

#142 Postby **skysummit** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:50 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:GFS takes forever to pick up anything....

Yea...it'll pick up on it after it's there. The 248nm radar out of Brownsville is also showing rotation.

#143 Postby **tailgater** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:51 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:Location on where circulation is

Man you sure are stirring the pot.

#144 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:51 pm

skysummit wrote:
KFDM Meteorologist wrote:GFS takes forever to pick up anything....

Yea...it'll pick up on it after it's there. The 248nm radar out of Brownsville is also showing rotation.

do you have a link?

CHRISTY · #145 Postby **CHRISTY** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:51 pm

skysummit wrote:
KFDM Meteorologist wrote:GFS takes forever to pick up anything....

Yea...it'll pick up on it after it's there. The 248nm radar out of Brownsville is also showing rotation.

here a link of the GFS take a look theres nothing!for now?

http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display_alt.cgi?a=gom_slp

#146 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:51 pm

cycloneye wrote:
A lot of excited posts, but the majority of posts contain no real information. Hopefully we will have more substance in the posts as we progress through the season or you will be locking a lot of threads.

Agreed Garrett about that.Let's post more posts that can contribute to have more good discussion with anaylisis and not have one sentence,emoctions and one word posts.

Ya know thanks for posting that because I am at work here and anytime I go back to the forum to check it out there is 1 or 2 more pages. Then I have to go back through those pages and there is not that many informational posts. I do appriciate the graphics so I can see what were talking about as I have limited capabilities here as far as not having java.

Anyway, IMO we'll have to wait another 12 hours to see what happens with this but, if there is an apparent low level circulation, the convection continues to fire and the shear continues to relax I think it might be issued as an invest. Seems like it does have some banding features on the north and eastern side.

Where is the center in relation to the convection? Is it firing near there? It kind of looks like the thunderstorms are trying to fire around it but, there is too much shear and they get blown away.

#147 Postby **tgenius** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:52 pm

Wouldn't it be funny to welcome in the new season ON June 1st with the first storm of season? lol

#148 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:52 pm

Yea and with upper Low near Victoria moving north conditions should get a little more favorable for development....Looks to be a Hybrid system though if it develops.

#149 Postby **TampaFl** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:53 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:guys it seems to me this has a pretty good shot in the coming somthing in the coming hours...shear is suppose to relax for about 2 days then its gonna pick up again.so we have to wait if the thunderstorm activity persist tonight,if they do then we might have something here.

It's showing signs of fizzling to me. But I'll Keep watching and waiting.

Check out the NWS Brownsville radar :eek:

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=BRO&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

Robert 8-)

CHRISTY · #150 Postby **CHRISTY** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:53 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
A lot of excited posts, but the majority of posts contain no real information. Hopefully we will have more substance in the posts as we progress through the season or you will be locking a lot of threads.

Agreed Garrett about that.Let's post more posts that can contribute to have more good discussion with anaylisis and not have one sentence,emoctions and one word posts.

Ya know thanks for posting that because I am at work here and anytime I go back to the forum to check it out there is 1 or 2 more pages. Then I have to go back through those pages and there is not that many informational posts. I do appriciate the graphics so I can see what were talking about as I have limited capabilities here as far as not having java.

Anyway, IMO we'll have to wait another 12 hours to see what happens with this but, if there is an apparent low level circulation, the convection continues to fire and the shear continues to relax I think it might be issued as an invest. Seems like it does have some banding features on the north and eastern side.

Where is the center in relation to the convection? Is it firing near there? It kind of looks like the thunderstorms are trying to fire around it but, there is too much shear and they get blown away.

I agree 100% we have to wait guys!to see if thunderstorm activity persist.

#151 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:58 pm

For those members who might be joining the forum for the first time since last season the new rule about not allowing long page threads beyond the full 10 pages or 199 replies is now in effect for the 2006 season.As soon that mark is reached KFDM Meteorologist will create a new thread with the same title.I now will take out the words Breaking News.

rockyman · #152 Postby **rockyman** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:03 pm

Hey, folks...first time tuning in today...so, where's this thing (whatever it is) supposed to go?

rockyman · #153 Postby **rockyman** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:11 pm

Low-level steering map...appears that a W or NW movement would be likely at first:

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm1.html

CHRISTY · #154 Postby **CHRISTY** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:14 pm

it may just run out of room to become anything.

#155 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:16 pm

If i'm not on when the thread is locked someone else can start it..

#156 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:20 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:If i'm not on when the thread is locked someone else can start it..

Yes,that is part of the rule about making new threads after the previous one reaches the full 10 pages.

#157 Postby **tgenius** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:21 pm

Yeah I think it's too close to land to even try and develop in my opinion..

#158 Postby **skysummit** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:24 pm

Bruce Katz on ABC26 in NOLA didn't even mention it. He just said an ULL near Texas and thunderstorms over the gulf.

Stratosphere747 · #159 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:25 pm

Frank and Ch 13's met both mentioned the low, but that it was upper-level and NOT at the surface.

#160 Postby **george_r_1961** » Tue May 30, 2006 5:26 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:Frank and Ch 13's met both mentioned the low, but that it was upper-level and NOT at the surface.

Then why are the buoys showing a circulation at the surface?

Closed Low forming East Of Port Mansfield

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