Closed Low forming East Of Port Mansfield

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KFDM Meteorologist
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#41 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Tue May 30, 2006 4:05 pm

Not surprising! :D
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#42 Postby skysummit » Tue May 30, 2006 4:06 pm

These are the types of systems that early season storms pop out of. Even though it's in a high shear environment, the shear is lessening as we speak and should be pretty favorable in this area....at last for a couple days or so.
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#43 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Tue May 30, 2006 4:06 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:Frank B. on channel 2 pointed out "a low" east of Brownsville, but said nothing of anything forming at the surface.
of course that is what he would say. They would not want to scare the public until something is definitely developing.
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#44 Postby Dr. Jonah Rainwater » Tue May 30, 2006 4:06 pm

This thread just grew a page in 10 minutes.
Last edited by Dr. Jonah Rainwater on Tue May 30, 2006 4:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#45 Postby CHRISTY » Tue May 30, 2006 4:06 pm

Guys if this were to actually happen this would be one incredible way to start 2006!!!!
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#46 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Tue May 30, 2006 4:06 pm

If it develops looks like a South Texas system.
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#47 Postby Stormcenter » Tue May 30, 2006 4:07 pm

But it's not June 1st yet. :eek:
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#48 Postby MiamiensisWx » Tue May 30, 2006 4:07 pm

skysummit wrote:These are the types of systems that early season storms pop out of. Even though it's in a high shear environment, the shear is lessening as we speak and should be pretty favorable in this area....at last for a couple days or so.


Very true, and I am keeping an eye on it; however, the synoptics also dictate that this could fizzle just as easily or fail to develop significantly, if at all. However, if it separates just a bit more from the trough and slows a bit, I think the slight potential is there.
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#49 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue May 30, 2006 4:08 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:Frank B. on channel 2 pointed out "a low" east of Brownsville, but said nothing of anything forming at the surface.
of course that is what he would say. They would not want to scare the public until something is definitely developing.


Could not be more untrue. Especially coming from Frank and this being the Houston market. If he felt that something was developing at the surface, he would jump on it.

I'm not indicating that there may not be something unfolding, but I have no doubt the Houston mets would jump on it ASAP.
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#50 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Tue May 30, 2006 4:09 pm

:D
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#51 Postby Brent » Tue May 30, 2006 4:09 pm

:eek:

Hmmmm... my interest is officially peaked.
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#52 Postby MiamiensisWx » Tue May 30, 2006 4:10 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:Could not be more untrue. Especially coming from Frank and this being the Houston market. If he felt that something was developing at the surface, he would jump on it.

I'm not indicating that there may not be something unfolding, but I have no doubt the Houston mets would jump on it ASAP.


Good point. That is another reason, on top of the synoptic setup, why I am not jumping that much on it.
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#53 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue May 30, 2006 4:10 pm

I think it's to close to land to develope, but I'm no pro met. I'll wait another day before I start making predictions on development.
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]
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#54 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Tue May 30, 2006 4:11 pm

Na, don't think so..
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Re: Breaking News:Closed Low forming East Of Brownsville

#55 Postby drezee » Tue May 30, 2006 4:11 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:Looking at Bouy data off the Texas coast there is certainly a circulation forming at the surface. Slim chance this could develop and head west toward South Texas.


Maybe you didn't see the other thread...this post was over an hour and a half before your new thread.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 453d8854e3


drezee wrote:Winds at 42002 switched to W over the last two hours. At first I thought it was an outflow boundary (abrupt chang in direction and increase in speed), but the pressure didn't abruptly rise after passage. The next few hours will be crucial.
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#56 Postby CHRISTY » Tue May 30, 2006 4:11 pm

Shear seems to be on the low side for this to develope some.....we will see what happens!

Image
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#57 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Tue May 30, 2006 4:12 pm

The location i have is 26.9 N 95.9 W....
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#58 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Tue May 30, 2006 4:12 pm

no one wants to push the panic button just yet i mean look at hurricane katrina last year and rita!!!!!!!!!!!
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#59 Postby skysummit » Tue May 30, 2006 4:13 pm

Hey....we've reached 3 lines of members online. LOL
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#60 Postby Brent » Tue May 30, 2006 4:13 pm

skysummit wrote:Hey....we've reached 3 lines of members online. LOL


Welcome to hurricane season. :lol: Errrr... almost. :wink:
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