Closed Low forming East Of Port Mansfield

whereverwx · #21 Postby **whereverwx** » Tue May 30, 2006 3:54 pm

It's a very impressive/notable system. I don't really know what to expect out of it as of yet, but who knows; things can change.

#22 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Tue May 30, 2006 3:55 pm

Interesting... Are there any models picking up on this yet?

Extremeweatherguy · #23 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Tue May 30, 2006 3:56 pm

It looks very similar to TS Allison

#24 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Tue May 30, 2006 3:57 pm

Yes it does..

HouTXmetro · #25 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Tue May 30, 2006 3:57 pm

Anybody notice that this system zapping the convection from Aletta?

hurricanefloyd5 · #26 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Tue May 30, 2006 3:59 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/loop-rgb.html

#27 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Tue May 30, 2006 3:59 pm

Noticed that yesterday as well..We actually had some Pacific moisture from that as well with the flood here Monday.

#28 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:00 pm

The isolated showers we have in place here are actually moving west now, an indication of a large scale circulation to our south.

MiamiensisWx · #29 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:01 pm

I wouldn't necessarily jump too much on it. It is a high shear environment; also, it is not an unusual feature for this time of year. Many similar systems pop up in a similar environment in that area this time of year and eventually fizzle. It is still attached to a trough, too, and there is some dry air to the west of it. That, combined with rather warmish cloudtops that have popped up for a while, would seem to indicate that it may persist a bit but eventually fizzle. I do see hints of a circulation; however, all the other synoptics are not that impressive for development (although I say some very slow and slight development, though not too much, may be slightly possible). If it hangs on, though, and deepens a bit more, we could see the beginnings of some development, likely in a Grace or Allison scenario and synoptic setup.

CHRISTY · #30 Postby **CHRISTY** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:01 pm

GUYS THIS MIGHT BE GETTING VERY INTERESTING SOON!

hurricanefloyd5 · #31 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:01 pm

a TD OR TS. forming soon?????????????

Stratosphere747 · #32 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:01 pm

One item that many forget about Allison, is that she originated from a Cape Verde wave, and was not "homegrown."

#33 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:02 pm

Late tonight and early Wednesday will be the key on if it develops. It may not, something to watch though.

whereverwx · #34 Postby **whereverwx** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:03 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:Interesting... Are there any models picking up on this yet?

I am also curious.

#35 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:04 pm

Not really, as usual!

HouTXmetro · #36 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:04 pm

Wow, convection is starting to explode and become more conentrated.

MiamiensisWx · #37 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:04 pm

Isn't this type of scenario that the GFS continued to show and call on just earlier, or at least something similar to this?

#38 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:04 pm

Good outflow to the Southeast.

Extremeweatherguy · #39 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:04 pm

Is this thing heading to TX for sure if it develops? or could it try and break out into the Gulf?

Stratosphere747 · #40 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Tue May 30, 2006 4:05 pm

Frank B. on channel 2 pointed out "a low" east of Brownsville, but said nothing of anything forming at the surface.

Closed Low forming East Of Port Mansfield

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