Good signature on Central Atlantic wave

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tailgater
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Good signature on Central Atlantic wave

#1 Postby tailgater » Tue May 30, 2006 8:53 am

This won't develop, way too much shear and dry air ahead won't help either, but it's the best looking wave that's far enough north to have a chance. If it holds together long enough it could be something for the Islands to keep and eye on.
Look at 11N - 40W on visible sat loop there no T-storms.
TAFB doesn't mention it yet.
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#2 Postby skysummit » Tue May 30, 2006 9:01 am

Image
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#3 Postby tailgater » Tue May 30, 2006 9:38 am

Thanks skysummit I meant to put that. 8-)
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 30, 2006 1:10 pm

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ADDED TO THE SFC ANALYSIS ALONG 39W/40W S OF
14N MOVING W ABOUT 15 KT. THIS WAVE HAS WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC
TURNING ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. IN ADDITION...A WIND SHIFT
AND LOW-MID LEVEL VORTICITY STRUCTURE IS EVIDENT IN THE VIS
DERIVED WINDS. THIS WAVE IS ASSISTING IN TRIGGERING NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OF THE WAVE AXIS
WITHIN THE ITCZ.

Above is the TPC 2 PM Discussion about the newly analized wave at the surface charts.
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 30, 2006 1:59 pm

Tropical Atlantic Infared Image

Tropical Atlantic Water Vapor Image

Above are images of the wave embedded within the ITCZ.
Last edited by cycloneye on Tue May 30, 2006 3:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#6 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Tue May 30, 2006 2:58 pm

any chance of development?
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#7 Postby tailgater » Tue May 30, 2006 7:51 pm

I'm no pro but I'd say next to no chance for 2 or 3 days. Looks like shear will lessen when it nears the islands.
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#8 Postby Anthonyl » Tue May 30, 2006 9:54 pm

What can be said for sure about this system is that it is definetly showing cylconic turning and moisture does seem to be on the increase tonight.
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#9 Postby wxmann_91 » Tue May 30, 2006 10:35 pm

Can't develop without convection. Shear isn't going to help anytime soon.
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