Philip J. Klotzbach/Dr Gray end of May forecast

CHRISTY · #21 Postby **CHRISTY** » Thu May 18, 2006 7:15 pm

I truly hope everyone understands we dont need 20 storms to have a bad year,we can have 10/8/4 and if we have 4 major hurricanes slam in major cities then 2006 probably will go down being worse then 2005!Remember it only takes one.....

#22 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu May 25, 2006 2:13 pm

Let's see if there are a few more votes for this poll as the end of May outlook by the Colorado State University folks will be released in less than a week.

x-y-no · #23 Postby **x-y-no** » Thu May 25, 2006 2:28 pm

My guess is they leave them the same.

Stratusxpeye · #24 Postby **Stratusxpeye** » Thu May 25, 2006 2:52 pm

stay the same

MiamiensisWx · #25 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Thu May 25, 2006 2:54 pm

I think they will stay the same, or at least very close to the same.

#26 Postby **vbhoutex** » Thu May 25, 2006 3:03 pm

Based on the currrent patterns in place I have to agree with leaving them as they are.

MiamiensisWx · #27 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Thu May 25, 2006 3:04 pm

vbhoutex wrote:Based on the currrent patterns in place I have to agree with leaving them as they are.

Same as me, David.

#28 Postby **Trader Ron** » Thu May 25, 2006 3:40 pm

Lower by ..one...16 storms.

Ivan14 · #29 Postby **Ivan14** » Fri May 26, 2006 12:34 am

I voted he will leave them the same. 16-18 named storms is what I think we will have this year.

AussieMark · #30 Postby **AussieMark** » Fri May 26, 2006 1:29 am

I think he may lower em slightly

#31 Postby **wxman57** » Fri May 26, 2006 1:35 am

I still think he's too high. SSTs in the Pacific are almost the same as last year. I.E., no La Nina of significance. SSTs in the Atlantic are definitely cooler. Bermuda high is stronger (more shear). ITCZ much farther south for the end of May (not many early season - june/july storms). Might see one or possibly 2 named storms before the 2nd week of August and a lot fewer October storms this year.

AussieMark · #32 Postby **AussieMark** » Fri May 26, 2006 6:34 am

wxman157

do u think a range of 12-15 is more realistic?

WindRunner · #33 Postby **WindRunner** » Sat May 27, 2006 4:11 pm

Lower, as I have done with my numbers. I think a lot of people are still riding on the huge numbers coming off of last season, and I think something in the 15-17 range seems likely (even though 17 wouldn't be a drop).

perk · #34 Postby **perk** » Sun May 28, 2006 8:42 am

I really don't know whether Dr. Gray should raise or lower his numbers, what i do know is that it does'nt really matter.Last year when Rita was taking aim at the western gulf coast me and my family was absolutely terrified, and i gave no thought at that time to any of the seasonal forecast. I was way too busy getting my family and home prepared.That's why Max Mayfield continues to hammer the fact that it only takes one to hit one of our areas to make it a bad season.

Ivan14 · #35 Postby **Ivan14** » Sun May 28, 2006 2:00 pm

That is so true it only takes one.

CHRISTY · #36 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sun May 28, 2006 2:06 pm

i have been trying to tell u guys this!1992 is a prime example even thow i do not expect 2006 to be that slow but all it takes is one to destroy your community.be prepared thats the best we all can do,and hopefully mother nature will give us a break..... :wink:

christy

vacanechaser · #37 Postby **vacanechaser** » Sun May 28, 2006 2:53 pm

Think the numbers will remain the same... At least for now...

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

#38 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue May 30, 2006 12:59 pm

All is expectation about how the forecast of the end of May will be like in terms of the numbers and about the steering pattern.In a matter of hours we will know so stay tuned to Talking Tropics forum as the information about the forecast will be posted first here than in other boards around the net.The Colorado State University outlook will be posted at a new thread and not in this one.As soon as the outlook is released this poll will close.

CHRISTY · #39 Postby **CHRISTY** » Tue May 30, 2006 1:12 pm

cycloneye wrote:All is expectation about how the forecast of the end of May will be like in terms of the numbers and about the steering pattern.In a matter of hours we will know so stay tuned to Talking Tropics forum as the information about the forecast will be posted first here than in other boards around the net.The Colorado State University outlook will be posted at a new thread and not in this one.As soon as the outlook is released this poll will close.

Thats why Storm2k is the best website!Thanks for all the hard work! :wink:

christy

ok so u will be createing a new thread when the update is released?

#40 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue May 30, 2006 1:15 pm

ok so u will be createing a new thread when the update is released?

I said it there,yes a new thread for the forecast will be created.

Philip J. Klotzbach/Dr Gray end of May forecast

Philip J. Klotzbach/Dr Gray end of May outlook?

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