May update of ENSO Models thru January 2007=Neutral

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cycloneye
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May update of ENSO Models thru January 2007=Neutral

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 26, 2006 6:57 pm

May Update of ENSO Models

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

No surprise here as the models are with the neutral conditions going thru the end of 2006 and entering the first month of 2007 as all the data that is out there suggests the same.
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#2 Postby Aquawind » Sat May 27, 2006 11:45 am

Wow this depth profile has changed from start to finish.. :eek: El Nino might kick in before 2007.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... zteq.shtml
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#3 Postby x-y-no » Sat May 27, 2006 12:19 pm

Aquawind wrote:Wow this depth profile has changed from start to finish.. :eek: El Nino might kick in before 2007.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... zteq.shtml



The western pool is impressive, but that's actually a lot less warth east of the dateline than we had this time last year. And with the MJO remaining weak, I don't see any likelihood of a significant kelvin wave anytime soon.
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#4 Postby Aquawind » Sat May 27, 2006 12:53 pm

Yea I don't see anything suggesting another kelvin other than the MJO might be strengthening soon.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/p ... update.pdf

Heat Content shows an impressive change as well.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/i ... tlon.shtml
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