SST'S and Anomalies in Atlantic #3

[SkeetoBite]

Great graphics guys, man it looks like a small volcano in the middle of the GOM.

Hmmm... That one makes me think...

I wonder what time of day the sampling is done. That hot spot appears to stay static (8 days of data). Could be the sun reflecting off the gulf during imaging? Or, there is indeed a volcano erupting out there. The color scale is off the chart.

[Ivan14]

Ya it has to be a mistake or something.

[tailgater]

Great graphics guys, man it looks like a small volcano in the middle of the GOM.

Hmmm... That one makes me think...

I wonder what time of day the sampling is done. That hot spot appears to stay static (8 days of data). Could be the sun reflecting off the gulf during imaging? Or, there is indeed a volcano erupting out there. The color scale is off the chart.

It looks legit, here are some earlier maps.
3-26-2006
http://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/hhc/watl ... 060326.gif
4-10-2006
http://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/hhc/watl ... 060410.gif
5-01-2006 http://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/hhc/watl ... 060501.gif
5-25-2006
http://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/hhc/watl ... 060525.gif

[P.K.]

This doesn't look to have been posted from a few days ago.

CURRENT STATUS as at 24th May 2006
Next update expected by 14th June 2006 (three weeks after this update).

| Summary | In Brief | Details |

Summary: La Niña signals end. Neutral conditions dominate.

The Pacific Ocean, both at and below the surface, has continued to warm through May. This has resulted in near, to very slightly above, average temperatures in the central Pacific. There is no longer any sign of the cooler than normal waters which were apparent during the first quarter of 2006.

The atmosphere has responded to this return to normal ocean conditions. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is now near zero (30-day SOI, May 22, -0.2). Trade Winds are also currently near normal. Enhanced cloudiness in the western equatorial Pacific has now become suppressed. However, cloudiness on and east of the dateline has remained below normal.

Predictions of Pacific Ocean temperatures from Australian and international computer models suggest neutral conditions will persist through the southern winter and into spring. It should be noted that March to June is the period when the ability to predict future ENSO conditions is at its lowest.

[HurricaneHunter914]

interesting

[cycloneye]

2005 May 25 Atlantic Anomalys

2006 May 25 Atlantic Anomalys

It's easy to see that this year's anomalys are less warm than in 2005 for the same time of the year meaning that this 2006 season will not be as hyperactive as the 2005 season was and I dont mind that it is a less active season than 2005 hoping that the fish ones dominate.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Normally I would wish otherwise but with out a computer at this time...It would be best...I can only get a hour a day.

[whereverwx]

Here's a little update... so we can look back at this post for future comparing and contrasting.

[HurricaneHunter914]

The SSTs have plenty of time to warm up and I'm sure they still will.

[whereverwx]

This is one month of change:


This is 5 days of change:

[Extremeweatherguy]

This is one month of change:


This is 5 days of change:

definite warming trend.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Well duh.

[CHRISTY]

Tropical Cyclone heat potential in the Caribbean...
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1/work/HHP/NEW/cahhp.gif

Sea Surface Temperature loop from the gulf of mexico.
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1/work/HHP/NEW/gosst.gif

Sea Surface Temperature loop of the Atlantic.
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1/work/HHP/NEW/atsst.gif

[HurricaneHunter914]

Sea Surface Temperature loop of the Atlantic.
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1 ... /atsst.gif

If you look at the Pacific, you can see that cooler water temps are trying to spread through the Pacific.

[HouTXmetro]

What happened to the GOM anomilies? They all dissappeared.

[gatorcane]

2005 May 25 Atlantic Anomalys

2006 May 25 Atlantic Anomalys

It's easy to see that this year's anomalys are less warm than in 2005 for the same time of the year meaning that this 2006 season will not be as hyperactive as the 2005 season was and I dont mind that it is a less active season than 2005 hoping that the fish ones dominate.

Hmmm...not so sure about that Luis. If you look at where the anomaly discrepancies are between last year and this year, they are in in areas that did not brew hurricanes. For example the area in the Atlantic just east of the Leeward islands. It is true that parts of the Caribbean are cooler but the GOM is similar to last year.

Also the region north of the Greater and Lesser Antilles is warmer this year than last year - that is not good for CV storms that get into that region and move around the Bermuda High to the north.

Lastly, when looking at the Pacific SSTs in the La Nina regions - those waters are cooler this year which would tell me that UL conditions could be even more favorable than last year.

[Extremeweatherguy]

The season doesn't have to be as bad as 2005 to be a "bad" season. A "bad" season to me would be a season with just 5 storms, all major hurricanes, hitting major cities.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Well that would suck. Aswell the Bemuda High this year is stronger than last year which will decrease the amount of fish storms that might form this year.

[CHRISTY]

Well that would suck. Aswell the Bemuda High this year is stronger than last year which will decrease the amount of fish storms that might form this year.

yes it reallly would suck and on the bermuda high topic i would say i have to agree that the bermuda high seems stronger the last year which might probably spell bad news for the US.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Bermuda high strong=2004