MWatkins wrote:Models are not forecasts. They are models. You have to be able to read them just to find a tropical cyclone.
This type of short sightedness is not something I would expect to see from any US university, especially one that wishes to be regarded as one of the best places to attend for tropical meteorology.
It is sad to see. But FSU has a history of this. For example, why do they not share Superensemble guidance with the public?
This is a bit scarry, that a publicly funded university is choosing not to share information on a very important subject. They can spend our tax dollars and tuition dollars, but can't provide those same people with the information they want.
Unacceptable, and I hope this is not a sign of things to come.
MW
Here is the response from FSU to my email last year about the Superensemble:
Thank you for your interest in our research programs at FSU. The
SuperEnsemble work is a research effort and its ability to make detailed
predictions of storm paths is still the subject of our research. As you
discovered in your research, FSU is quite proud that the National
Hurricane Center receives and uses FSU's SuperEnsemble research
projections in REAL TIME while preparing the official NHC forecasts.
Since the NHC has the exclusive responsibility to provide tropical storm
forecasts for public safety, we believe it is appropriate to limit the
release of research projections that may differ from the official NHC
forecast.
I would be happy to talk with you further about this issue should you
desire it.
Kirby Kemper
-----Original Message-----
From:
jfaul@bellsouth.net [mailto:jfaul@bellsouth.net]
Sent: Friday, July 22, 2005 9:39 AM
To:
tnk@io.met.fsu.edu
Cc: Kemper, Kirby;
bkeel@mailer.fsu.edu;
jfraser@techtransfer.fsu.edu
Subject: FSU Superensemble
The NHC issues forecasts discussions and refers to the FSU Superensemble
as a tool they use for track forecasting. I have tried to access this
data on the net and it appears it is not made to available to the public
as are other forecasting tools and models. What is the reasoning behind
keeping the data protected?
Also, I found this page
http://www.research.fsu.edu/scicol/3/teest.html
and it states "Support from a private company--an insurance underwriting
consortium--already has contributed towards the main computers, an IBM
SP supercomputer and two IBM high-powered workstations, and if tests
continue to show promise, interest in getting the technique into the
public arsenal of forecasting tools surely will follow". This leads me
to believe that public funds are being used for the research and I would
like to know if this true and if so, how much public funding is being
used for this research.
As a SE Florida resident I fully support hurricane track and intensity
research in an effort to better understand tropical systems.
Thank You