Interesting system for eastern pacific

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 222237
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PDT MON MAY 22 2006

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONCENTRATED THIS
AFTERNOON WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER...
ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[CHRISTY]

according to this graphic it has between 1% and 5% percent chance of making any noise.

[Epsilon_Fan]

interesting... the EPac has been full of blobs like this though and they go poof

[SouthFloridawx]

A below average season according to NOAA'S May outlook is on tap for the Eastern Pacific 2006 season.



NOAA EPAC Outlook

interesting... the EPac has been full of blobs like this though and they go poof

Seasonal Eastern Pacific Tropical Outlook = Below Normal

[HurricaneJoe22]

look around 8N/92W...something seems to be getting going there

[HURAKAN]

[cycloneye]

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 230922
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0400 AM PDT TUE MAY 23 2006

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ANY DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA IS
EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

$$

[boca]

I realized it after I started the thread oops.

[x-y-no]

Well that does look pretty interesting.

Don't know about there being any spin there, you really can't see that with IR, and it'll be a few hours before we have enough of a visible loop to tell ...

Here's the TAFB surface analysis for this morning:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/EPAC_latest.gif

it does show a tropical wave in that area, but the nearest surface low is well displaced to the NW. Still, with that amount of convection going on, it could pull its act together fairly quickly.

[x-y-no]

and from the discussion:

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 93W TO THE S OF 14N AND HAS MOVED W AT
12 KT THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN A BROAD AREA OF
LOW PRES THAT COVERS THE AREA FROM ROUGHLY 3N TO 13N BETWEEN
103W AND 83W. SEVERAL OTHER CYCLONIC SWIRLS ARE NOTED ON IMAGERY
INCLUDING ONE NEAR 11N99W THAT IS ANALYZED AS A SURFACE LOW PRES
1009 MB BUT IS DISORGANIZED. CURRENTLY SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OBSERVED WITHIN 90 NM OF 12N94W.

[cycloneye]

I would not be surprised to see an invest later today as long the disturbance continues to organize.