SST'S and Anomalies in Atlantic #3

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HurricaneHunter914
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#61 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed May 17, 2006 3:28 pm

And to think earlier this year we thought the SSTs were super low.
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#62 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Wed May 17, 2006 4:36 pm

Here is typical hurricane climatology for June...if storms do form; this is most likely where they would go:

Image
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#63 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed May 17, 2006 4:38 pm

So if this thing becomes a Tropical Storm then that means school will end early for me. :cheesy:
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#64 Postby JonathanBelles » Wed May 17, 2006 4:40 pm

right into to tampa!!
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#65 Postby cheezyWXguy » Wed May 17, 2006 4:40 pm

or just add some school in the middle of ur summer!
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#66 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed May 17, 2006 4:42 pm

I would personally make sure they never did that. :wink:
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#67 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Wed May 17, 2006 4:47 pm

fact789 wrote:right into to tampa!!


climatologically speaking...a path into Florida or a path into Texas would be most likely during the month of June.
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CHRISTY

#68 Postby CHRISTY » Wed May 17, 2006 4:53 pm

Here are a couple of maps....



Image

Image

Image
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#69 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Thu May 18, 2006 4:54 am

http://image.weather.com/images/maps/tr ... 20x486.jpg

Florida is almost engulfed in upper 70s to lower 80s water already! The lower 70 waters continue to move higher and higher north which is going to paint a bad picture for H-Season.
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#70 Postby CHRISTY » Thu May 18, 2006 7:42 pm

Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:http://image.weather.com/images/maps/tropical/atl_sst_720x486.jpg

Florida is almost engulfed in upper 70s to lower 80s water already! The lower 70 waters continue to move higher and higher north which is going to paint a bad picture for H-Season.


yes i have also noticed that also!not good...
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#71 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu May 18, 2006 10:29 pm

SSTs are warm but nothing too unusual for mid to late May. Certainly warm though through the Caribbean. However some pockets of warm anomalies exist in patches across the atlantic basin.
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#72 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat May 20, 2006 1:10 pm

http://image.weather.com/images/maps/tr ... 20x486.jpg

The water temps in the GOM have cooled very slightly in the GOM.
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#73 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat May 20, 2006 2:56 pm

Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:http://image.weather.com/images/maps/tropical/atl_sst_720x486.jpg

The water temps in the GOM have cooled very slightly in the GOM.
this is likely due to the recent cold front and the spells of heavy rains. The waters will likely start to warm again though because the forecast here in SE Texas calls for 90s and sunshine through the next 7 days.
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#74 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 20, 2006 3:03 pm

If the volcano at Montserrat doesn't stop emiting ash in the next couple of days then in the short term the Eastern Caribbean waters will start to cool.One has to wonder if this spreads in time when the hurricane season arrives and beyond what effect it will have if any on the track and strengh of systems that travel thru the Eastern Caribbean.
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#75 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat May 20, 2006 4:57 pm

cycloneye wrote:If the volcano at Montserrat doesn't stop emiting ash in the next couple of days then in the short term the Eastern Caribbean waters will start to cool.One has to wonder if this spreads in time when the hurricane season arrives and beyond what effect it will have if any on the track and strengh of systems that travel thru the Eastern Caribbean.
looking at the satellite of the Ash cloud...it seems like the volcano has already stopped. To me, it looks like it emitted a large plume of ash and then it ended. Am I wrong?
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#76 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 20, 2006 5:02 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
cycloneye wrote:If the volcano at Montserrat doesn't stop emiting ash in the next couple of days then in the short term the Eastern Caribbean waters will start to cool.One has to wonder if this spreads in time when the hurricane season arrives and beyond what effect it will have if any on the track and strengh of systems that travel thru the Eastern Caribbean.
looking at the satellite of the Ash cloud...it seems like the volcano has already stopped. To me, it looks like it emitted a large plume of ash and then it ended. Am I wrong?


According to the latest advisory still is throwing ash.

REMARKS: SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED THAT ASH TO
FL550 WAS RACING TO THE SOUTHWEST AT 50 KNOTS
WHILE LOWER LEVEL ASH TO FL320 WAS MOVING TOWARDS
THE WEST AT 15-25 KNOTS. THE VOLCANO CONTINUES TO
EMIT ASH CONTINUOUSLY TO FL070. THIS LOW LEVEL
ASH WAS MOVING WEST. ...TURK
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#77 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat May 20, 2006 5:45 pm

I guess it must just not be as thick or as high as the initial plume.
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#78 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 20, 2006 5:49 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:I guess it must just not be as thick or as high as the initial plume.


Go to the Soufriere thread especially page 3 and see the pics and loops that are impressive.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 73&start=0
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#79 Postby Trugunzn » Sun May 21, 2006 1:34 pm

Image
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#80 Postby hicksta » Sun May 21, 2006 1:38 pm

Exact areas where katrina and rita hit and exploded

CHRISTY wrote:Guys this is very disturbing i have been watching the gulf of mexico sst's for a couple of days now and a couple of days ago i noticed a red spot near the yucatan and it wasn't that large but tonight i looked at this map and iam still in shock of whats going on look at the 80 plus temperatures near the yucatan really spreading in the gulf my fear is if this continues when the heart of the season comes we are going to have serious trouble in our hands..

Image
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