When and Where will Alberto form?

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Extremeweatherguy
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#41 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri May 19, 2006 4:01 pm

Camille_2_Katrina wrote:i still say late August... NW Carib and into GOM
late august? That would be an extremely rare situation were it to occur.
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#42 Postby Camille_2_Katrina » Fri May 19, 2006 4:05 pm

um... ever heard of Andrew? 1992
Aug 17th... that's the first year that comes to mind
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#43 Postby Camille_2_Katrina » Fri May 19, 2006 4:06 pm

Arthur 1984 August 29th
Anita 1977 August 30th

it's actually quite common. Probably as common and an early June storm.
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#44 Postby wxwatcher91 » Fri May 19, 2006 5:18 pm

<June 15..........>August 15
Arlene 2005......UN ST 1984
Ana 2003..........Alicia 1983
Allison 2001......Anita 1977
Arlene 1999
UN ST 1997
Arthur 1996
Allison 1995
Arlene 1993
UN ST 1992
Andrew 1986
Alberto 1982
Arlene 1981
UN ST 1978
UN ST 1976
UN ST 1972
Alma 1970

Ok I have gone back to 1970 and sorry but no, first storms in late August ARENT that common. meanwhile, I have found numerous first storms before June 15. dont jump to conclusions from finding two seasons with late first storms.
Last edited by wxwatcher91 on Sat May 20, 2006 7:46 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#45 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri May 19, 2006 5:54 pm

Camille_2_Katrina wrote:um... ever heard of Andrew? 1992
Aug 17th... that's the first year that comes to mind
Actually I consider August 17th more mid August...plus Andrew occurred during a quieter hurricane cycle.
Last edited by Extremeweatherguy on Fri May 19, 2006 5:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#46 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri May 19, 2006 5:55 pm

Camille_2_Katrina wrote:Arthur 1984 August 29th
Anita 1977 August 30th

it's actually quite common. Probably as common and an early June storm.
These also were during a quieter hurricane cycle. Are there any examples of a late August storm during a very active cycle like the one we are in now?
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#47 Postby TheAnalyst » Fri May 19, 2006 6:39 pm

Dunno, but when it does the temp in this room will be incredible.
Last edited by TheAnalyst on Fri May 19, 2006 6:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#48 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri May 19, 2006 6:43 pm

TheAnalyst wrote:Dunno, but when it does the temp in this room will incredible.


Huh? Is it because there will be heavy activity and excitement among many members?
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#49 Postby TheAnalyst » Fri May 19, 2006 6:58 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:
TheAnalyst wrote:Dunno, but when it does the temp in this room will incredible.


Huh? Is it because there will be heavy activity and excitement among many members?


yes.
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#50 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat May 20, 2006 1:12 pm

Definitly, this board will be very active when a Cat-5 forms, which will mean loading problems for alot of people.
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#51 Postby NCHurricane » Sat May 20, 2006 4:07 pm

June 12, 2006 - 11AM AST Advisory - south of Puerto Rico.

I will have eggs for breakfast that morning and a headache. 8-)
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#52 Postby GeneratorPower » Sat May 20, 2006 7:22 pm

I would like to predict May 31st somewhere in the Carribbean. I'll be bumping this thread when I'm right. ;-)
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#53 Postby canetracker » Sat May 20, 2006 10:24 pm

June 15th mid to eastern Carribean
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#54 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sun May 21, 2006 9:05 am

im gonna haf to go with may 26-june 6th in the bay of campeche
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#55 Postby Stratusxpeye » Sun May 21, 2006 9:14 am

Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:Definitly, this board will be very active when a Cat-5 forms, which will mean loading problems for alot of people.


Even when a tropical storm forms this board will be crazy. Last year you could not read the posts fast enought before some of them were close to the bottom of the page already. If you missed an hour or 2 forget it there were 1,000 posts by then :) Busy busy season. And after last season people will be on the board even more.
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#56 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Sun May 21, 2006 11:46 am

I remember that. As crazy as things were last year I bet they will be twice as worse this year, even if the number of storms are only a few above normal (which I stronly doubt).
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#57 Postby shaggy » Sun May 21, 2006 11:49 am

i will say when the first depression reaches winds of 40mph thats when alberto will form and i am pretty sure it will be over water!!!!!!

OK all jokes aside mid june in the gulf probably from a old frontal boundary thats left behind a blob of low pressure!
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#58 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sun May 21, 2006 4:28 pm

Between May 31 to June 30th in the Caribbean I think we'll see our 1st system.
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#59 Postby txwatcher91 » Sun May 21, 2006 7:22 pm

June 2nd - Carribean Sea
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#60 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Mon May 22, 2006 6:51 am

Wow, the majority of us (including me) think the first storm will form in the Caribbean. It happened last year with the formation of Arlene lets se if it can happen again.
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