Interesting Cold-Frontal Flare Up Just North of Hispaniola

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #1 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Thu May 18, 2006 10:16 pm

Along a dying cold front, an interesting flare-up. A ball of convection
has fired up just north of Hispaniola.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... xirg8n.GIF

MiamiensisWx · #2 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Thu May 18, 2006 10:17 pm

That's Hispaniola, not Puerto Rico.

:wink:

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #3 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Thu May 18, 2006 10:18 pm

I'm Sorry, My apologies. Hispaniola
I will edit the original post

MiamiensisWx · #4 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Thu May 18, 2006 10:19 pm

It's fine! Good!

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #5 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Thu May 18, 2006 10:23 pm

Not expecting any development, but I think that SST's are marginal around 80 F, but the shear is very high along that front. Unless the front diminishes and leaves behind a remnant low that may intensify under lessenening shear and better conditions, development is highly unlikely. But this is an interesting feature none-the-less.

#6 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri May 19, 2006 9:37 am

West Atlantic Infared Image

Those blobwatchers who like to look at blobs check this now North of Hispanola and Puerto Rico before it goes.

Camille_2_Katrina · #7 Postby **Camille_2_Katrina** » Fri May 19, 2006 10:05 am

looks to be headed towards the GOM :eek:

MiamiensisWx · #8 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Fri May 19, 2006 10:08 am

Camille_2_Katrina wrote:looks to be headed towards the GOM

No, it isn't. It's very obvious on the imagery that it's NOT going towards the Gulf of Mexico.

Camille_2_Katrina · #9 Postby **Camille_2_Katrina** » Fri May 19, 2006 10:12 am

CapeVerdeWave wrote:
Camille_2_Katrina wrote:looks to be headed towards the GOM

No, it isn't. It's very obvious on the imagery that it's NOT going towards the Gulf of Mexico.

i'm looking at the satalite loop... it does look to be drifting towards the GOM...

#10 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri May 19, 2006 10:13 am

Camille_2_Katrina wrote:looks to be headed towards the GOM

Loop

The upper flow is from SW to NE so it's not moving towards the GOM.

MiamiensisWx · #11 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Fri May 19, 2006 10:14 am

Camille_2_Katrina wrote:i'm looking at the satalite loop... it does look to be drifting towards the GOM...

Look more carefully at the loop cycloneye posted. It is associated with a cold front, so it is NOT moving towards the Gulf of Mexico. Look at the broader picture. Thanks.

Camille_2_Katrina · #12 Postby **Camille_2_Katrina** » Fri May 19, 2006 10:17 am

cycloneye wrote:
Camille_2_Katrina wrote:looks to be headed towards the GOM

Loop

The upper flow is from SW to NE so it's not moving towards the GOM.

ok... i see now.... i was looking at the WV loop.
that's good news. We really don't need anything showing up
in the GOM right now... We need a good long break here...
Like 15 to 20 years kind of break!

#13 Postby **skysummit** » Fri May 19, 2006 10:19 am

There is no way possible these thunderstorms are moving toward the GOM. Cycloneye's link proves it. Plus, even by some small miracle, this little ball of convection would go against all odds and nature, and move westward, they're only thunderstorms. It happens almost daily in the tropics.

MiamiensisWx · #14 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Fri May 19, 2006 10:21 am

skysummit wrote:There is no way possible these thunderstorms are moving toward the GOM. Cycloneye's link proves it. Plus, even by some small miracle, this little ball of convection would go against all odds and nature, and move westward, they're only thunderstorms. It happens almost daily in the tropics.

I agree, especially since it is under high shear and is associated with a moving cold front.

LaBreeze · #15 Postby **LaBreeze** » Fri May 19, 2006 10:56 am

I agree Camille_2_Katrina, we need a longer break than that. No storms any time soon, please!

Stratusxpeye · #16 Postby **Stratusxpeye** » Fri May 19, 2006 10:58 am

O NO LOOK OUT THE BLOB IS HEADING STRAIGHT FOR US (TAMPA)

Chances of devolpment on this is about 3% and no way is this moving to the GOM. Looks interesting though.

Camille_2_Katrina · #17 Postby **Camille_2_Katrina** » Fri May 19, 2006 11:19 am

Stratusxpeye wrote:O NO LOOK OUT THE BLOB IS HEADING STRAIGHT FOR US (TAMPA)

Chances of devolpment on this is about 3% and no way is this moving to the GOM. Looks interesting though.

well... Tampa is a tough city for a storm to hit...
y'all are kind of tucked in the corner there...
y'all should be ok there.

Interesting Cold-Frontal Flare Up Just North of Hispaniola

Interesting Cold-Frontal Flare Up Just North of Hispaniola

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