Tropical Formation in the Caribbean later this week?

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cheezyWXguy
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#61 Postby cheezyWXguy » Wed May 17, 2006 6:51 am

Windtalker1 wrote:
cheezywxman wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Caribbean Infared Image

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

All those blobwatchers out there will love this image. :)


WOW! looks at that wave just coming off of South America just north of panama....looks like a low?
LINK?


its the link in cyclone eyes post
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#62 Postby stormtruth » Wed May 17, 2006 6:52 am

cycloneye wrote:Caribbean Infared Image

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

All those blobwatchers out there will love this image. :)


I'm a blob watcher, I'm a blob watcher...
Watchin' blobs go by, hey, my my
I'm a blob watcher, I'm a blob watcher...
Here comes one now 8-)
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#63 Postby cycloneye » Wed May 17, 2006 6:52 am

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#64 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed May 17, 2006 7:01 am

That blob has some good deep convection to it aswell as that blob over the yucatan. IIf we can disconect that yucatan blob from the front and have the two blobs merge I think we might have something.
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#65 Postby HURAKAN » Wed May 17, 2006 7:06 am

There's no blob in Yucatan, it looks as clean as ever.
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#66 Postby cheezyWXguy » Wed May 17, 2006 7:08 am

HURAKAN wrote:There's no blob in Yucatan, it looks as clean as ever.


ya I was gonna say...
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#67 Postby Evil Jeremy » Wed May 17, 2006 7:15 am

can we get a pro-met over here?
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#68 Postby Aquawind » Wed May 17, 2006 7:22 am

No Pro required.. Yucatan is void of convection.. :wink: :lol:

Nice blob off Columbia and Panama ATM. Persistance is key of course.
Last edited by Aquawind on Wed May 17, 2006 7:23 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#69 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed May 17, 2006 7:23 am

Whoops I meant that strip of convection near Nicaragua and that other blob near Colombia. If that strip of convection breaks away from the front and it merges with that other blob we might get something since the shear is low in the area.
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#70 Postby HURAKAN » Wed May 17, 2006 7:25 am

We are waiting for what may happen between the cold front and the tropical wave confrontation. So far, that's a day or two apart.
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#71 Postby cheezyWXguy » Wed May 17, 2006 7:26 am

Hurricane Hunter 914, IM not sure it even needs that...I looked on an IR loop and it already has banding features, very high convection, and cyclonic turning
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#72 Postby HURAKAN » Wed May 17, 2006 7:27 am

cheezywxman wrote:IM not sure it even needs that...I looked on an IR loop and it already has banding features, very high convection, and cyclonic turning


Wait, wait, hold your horses, this is just a blob of convection that left Colombia a few hours ago. Wait a day and if it persists, then we may have something. Like it was said before, persistance in the key. You're going to fast!!!
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#73 Postby Dustin » Wed May 17, 2006 7:28 am

Are we talking about the same system nathan started out with in this thread? Well to throw it back to the beggining I DO NOT, see any wave near the leeward islands.
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#74 Postby LaBreeze » Wed May 17, 2006 7:30 am

Local met (Rob Perillo) stated that things could "get interesting" in the GOM by Memorial Day weekend. He quickly showed a graphic of something entering the GOM and making it to the central GOM by the start of the Mem. Day weekend. Geesh, I hope not - although we could use the rain.
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#75 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Wed May 17, 2006 7:32 am

heres the latest on that wave. its very weak right now and barely shows up according to the NHC!

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 61W/62W S OF 14+N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. A FEW
SHOWERS ARE NEAR THE AXIS ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. THE WAVE IS
RATHER WEAK WITH ONLY SOME SLIGHT SIGNATURE DISTINGUISHABLE ON
SATELLITE IMAGERY.
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#76 Postby HURAKAN » Wed May 17, 2006 7:41 am

Everyone should remember that this thread was started with a hypothetical argument.

Hypothesis: A cold front slides through the Caribbean and meets a tropical wave. Convection erupts when the two entities meet, a low pressure forms, the cold front fades away, and under weak upper-level winds, a tropical cyclone could form.

Will it happen. Time will tell.
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#77 Postby feederband » Wed May 17, 2006 7:46 am

Whatever happens this thread may be a long one.. :wink:
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#78 Postby boca » Wed May 17, 2006 7:49 am

The wave is fading fast its on life support.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 61W/62W S OF 14+N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. A FEW
SHOWERS ARE NEAR THE AXIS ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. THE WAVE IS
RATHER WEAK WITH ONLY SOME SLIGHT SIGNATURE DISTINGUISHABLE ON
SATELLITE IMAGERY.
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#79 Postby cheezyWXguy » Wed May 17, 2006 7:49 am

HURAKAN wrote:
cheezywxman wrote:IM not sure it even needs that...I looked on an IR loop and it already has banding features, very high convection, and cyclonic turning


Wait, wait, hold your horses, this is just a blob of convection that left Colombia a few hours ago. Wait a day and if it persists, then we may have something. Like it was said before, persistance in the key. You're going to fast!!!


Sorry I worded that wrong...I knew it wasnt going to develop right then and there, but what I was saying was that it looked really good, maybe even a low but I forgot to add in to wait a while
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#80 Postby boca » Wed May 17, 2006 7:50 am

This thread sounds like a 1st date and better yet a blind date.
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