EPAC Low

HurricaneHunter914 · #122 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Sat May 13, 2006 3:09 pm

No circulation whatsoever.

#123 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Sat May 13, 2006 3:10 pm

Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:No circulation whatsoever.

No there is a circulation there but, as the NHC noted it is elongated as the above graphic shows.

weatherwindow · #124 Postby **weatherwindow** » Sat May 13, 2006 3:32 pm

FWIW....the 12z 72 hr surface analysis from the TAFB depicts the possibility of a 1009 mb trop cyclone....emphasis on possible...prior to the anticipated increase in shear....rich :roll:

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #125 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat May 13, 2006 3:47 pm

It now has zero percent chance at becoming a cyclone. This thing fall apart last night...

CHRISTY · #126 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sat May 13, 2006 3:50 pm

#127 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat May 13, 2006 3:54 pm

Aletta went shopping for Mother's Day, she will make her appearance in a week or so.

#128 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat May 13, 2006 3:54 pm

It is rare that the EPAC season starts early. Nearly 99% of the time it starts no earlier than May 15th - so I knew it wasn't going to develop...

CHRISTY · #129 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sat May 13, 2006 4:59 pm

The Eastern Pacific Low has 1% Chance of Developeing According to this Grafic....Look at the bottom of this image for percentage.

Epsilon_Fan · #130 Postby **Epsilon_Fan** » Sat May 13, 2006 11:56 pm

it looks like a little convection is blowing up near the low again... maybe this is a daily norm during the evening hours?

benny · #131 Postby **benny** » Sun May 14, 2006 12:04 am

18z GFS has it slamming into Mexico in about 168 hours.. as a whopping 1006 mb low.

cheezyWXguy · #132 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Sun May 14, 2006 12:05 am

I take it ur being sarcastic

#133 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sun May 14, 2006 1:40 pm

14/1745 UTC 8.9N 99.7W T1.0/1.0 90E -- East Pacific Ocean

FIRST OF THE SEASON!

[/b][/i]

#134 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sun May 14, 2006 1:51 pm

LOW NEAR 9N99W...
LARGE CONVECTIVE BLOW-UP BEGAN AROUND 00Z LAST NIGHT AND WAS
FOCUSED MAINLY AROUND THE S/SE PERIPHERY OF THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION. THIS ACTIVITY CREATED A NEARLY CIRCULAR 180 NM WIDE
EXPANDING CIRRUS SHIELD BUT MORE RECENTLY THE CONVECTION HAS
BROKEN UP INTO SEVERAL CLUSTERS ALIGNED ALONG THE ITCZ AXIS AND
S OF THE CENTER. A 1252Z QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THAT THE
LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS STILL SOMEWHAT ELONGATED SINCE IT HAS NOT
YET DETACHED FROM THE ITCZ...BUT IT IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY
MORE CIRCULAR AND COMPACT. THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS NOT DIED OFF
LIKE IT DID THIS TIME YESTERDAY SO IF THIS TREND CONTINUES THEN
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WOULD BE MORE LIKELY IN THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. SEE ITCZ FOR RELATED CONVECTION.

RattleMan · #135 Postby **RattleMan** » Sun May 14, 2006 1:53 pm

NRL HAS IT AS 90E.INVEST!

Ivan14 · #136 Postby **Ivan14** » Sun May 14, 2006 1:57 pm

Well it looks healthy again.

#137 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sun May 14, 2006 2:03 pm

CONTINUES TO TRY!!!

CHRISTY · #138 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sun May 14, 2006 2:04 pm

Looks to be trying to get better organized....

#139 Postby **GeneratorPower** » Sun May 14, 2006 2:07 pm

Go, baby, go.

HurricaneHunter914 · #140 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Sun May 14, 2006 3:42 pm

This thread should be locked since there is a thread about this low being an Invest. Fnally this thing is an invest I think it deserved the name long time ago.

EPAC Low

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