Super Typhoon Chanchu - Cat. 4

[CHRISTY]

Looks like landfall will very close to HongKong or over them.

[Scorpion]

Looks alot better than it was last night. I now think it will hit at least Cat 3 strength.

[CHRISTY]

I Think she will begin to really intensify now!

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Yeah as I was saying I do think this thing is about ready to go.

[stormtruth]

I really hope this weakens and/or moves away from Hong Kong's population of about 7 million.

[CHRISTY]

Here's another image form the new SAT page.

[SouthFloridawx]

[HURAKAN]

For the first time we can use the same images in the WPAC as we are used to use in the ATL, EPAC, and CPAC.

[CHRISTY]

For the first time we can use the same images in the WPAC as we are used to use in the ATL, EPAC, and CPAC.

yea i think its very cool!

[JonathanBelles]

For the first time we can use the same images in the WPAC as we are used to use in the ATL, EPAC, and CPAC.

since this is my first year tracking the wpac, i dont know what you were using before, what were you using before?

[Trugunzn]

This reminds me of the Show on discovery channel"The perfect Disaster", when a Super typhoon heads right to Hong Kong and how much damage it would be!

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

This thing looks like Katrina on the night before it bombed. This thing is really starting to look good.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/avn-l.jpg

[whereverwx]

It's looking very impressive.



This is a very large (7.76 MB) zipped file containing images of the storm's history so far:

Click here to download it

[cheezyWXguy]

on that radar loop it gets a lot bigger...the thing explodes...its gonna strengthen a lot over the next 24 hrs unless something unexpected affects it

[wc is my initials]

Housing in Hong Kong is mostly apartment buildings, might be different kind of damage than the damage encountered in florida.

[cycloneye]

It's a cat 2 almost a 3 according to the latest 00:00z update.

00:00z update=90kts

[senorpepr]

Official intensity through JMA is 80KT (1-min) while PAGASA is sticking with 68KT. (1-min)

WTPQ20 RJTD 140000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0601 CHANCHU (0601)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 140000UTC 13.8N 117.6E FAIR
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 350NM WEST 280NM EAST
FORECAST
24HF 150000UTC 14.5N 115.6E 80NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 080KT
48HF 160000UTC 17.3N 114.6E 150NM 70%
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 085KT
72HF 170000UTC 19.7N 114.2E 220NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 085KT =


Severe Weather Bulletin Number EIGHTEEN
Tropical Cyclone Warning: Tropical Storm "CALOY" {CHANCHU}
Issued at 5:00 a.m., Sunday, 14 May 2006 Tropical Storm "CALOY" has tracked westward over the past six hours as it continues to move away from the country.
Location of Center:
(as of 4:00 a.m.) 300 kms west southwest of Metro Manila or
230 kms southwest of Iba, Zambales

Coordinates: 14.1°N, 118.1°E
Strength: maximum sustained winds of 110 kph near the center and
gustiness of up to 140 kph
Movement: west northwest at 11 kph
Forecast Positions / Outlook: Monday morning:
430 kms west southwest of Iba, Zambales
Tuesday morning:
690 kms west southwest of Dagupan City

[CHRISTY]

VERY IMPRESSIVE!

[Derek Ortt]

looking at sat imagery, JT is far too high... core is still quite spread out. Even JMA may be high. Probably closer to 70-75KT in agreement with Hong Kong, but this thing is definately organizing and should be the equivalent of a cat 3 by this time tomorrow

[wxmann_91]

An eye is appearing based on IR and Visible imagery. JMA intensity estimates seem about right to me.