GFS showing tropical development?

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gatorcane
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#41 Postby gatorcane » Sat May 13, 2006 12:37 am

nothing will happen until August - patience
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#42 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat May 13, 2006 12:40 am

I think we will get one in June but nothing powerful intill August. :roll:
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#43 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat May 13, 2006 8:08 am

So you guys are basically saying we won't get anything in July?
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#44 Postby Scorpion » Sat May 13, 2006 8:10 am

boca_chris wrote:nothing will happen until August - patience


August? That's a little bold.
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#45 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat May 13, 2006 8:14 am

It sounds a little like -removed- too.
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#46 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat May 13, 2006 8:49 am

In I doubt the activity will hold off until August. Remember last year featured a Cat. 5 in July!
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#47 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat May 13, 2006 8:56 am

Exactly and with the GOM temps so warm and the shear should be gone by Mid-June a Hurricane before July doesn't seem so crazy.
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#48 Postby HURAKAN » Sat May 13, 2006 9:00 am

Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:Exactly and with the GOM temps so warm and the shear should be gone by Mid-June a Hurricane before July doesn't seem so crazy.


That's a good point. Temperatures in the GOM at the moment are warmer than they were a year ago, which seems to indicate that when conditions become right, everything will go wrong.
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#49 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat May 13, 2006 9:06 am

Exactly so if we had 2 tropical storms in June last year with GOM temps warm. Then this year with GOM temps very warm we might have more than two tropical storms.
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#50 Postby Ivanhater » Sat May 13, 2006 10:39 am

couple areas of concern..south florida and northwest florida(yes far out, but fun to watch)

Image

Image
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#51 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat May 13, 2006 11:29 am

I think the GFS needs to calm down a little though if these forecasts do come true Florida will see alot of rain.
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#52 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat May 13, 2006 11:39 am

how far out are those? i cant tell. also, where do you find those pictures in the first place?
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#53 Postby clfenwi » Sat May 13, 2006 11:56 am

Evil Jeremy wrote:how far out are those? i cant tell. also, where do you find those pictures in the first place?


It's shown at the top
060522/0600V216 ...

and bottom headers
05/13/2006 06 UTC 216HR...

(the second image is 384 hours out)

You can get to them via
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... arib.shtml
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#54 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat May 13, 2006 12:42 pm

Scorpion wrote:
boca_chris wrote:nothing will happen until August - patience


August? That's a little bold.


I can tell you right now, that wasn't a prediction it was more of a... people calm down it won't start heating up till august. I am almost certain that is what he meant.
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#55 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat May 13, 2006 12:42 pm

Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:It sounds a little like -removed- too.


No it doesn't.
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#56 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat May 13, 2006 12:44 pm

Well I don't see any reasoning behind his prediction.
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#57 Postby artist » Sat May 13, 2006 12:44 pm

boca_chris wrote:nothing will happen until August - patience





hmmmm - once again a troll type post - same statement.
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#58 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat May 13, 2006 12:46 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
Scorpion wrote:
boca_chris wrote:nothing will happen until August - patience


August? That's a little bold.


I can tell you right now, that wasn't a prediction it was more of a... people calm down it won't start heating up till august. I am almost certain that is what he meant.


Really cause things are heating up NOW.
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#59 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat May 13, 2006 12:46 pm

Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:Well I don't see any reasoning behind his prediction.


It wasn't a prediction, and he can't defend himself right now because he is meeting with other members of storm2k at SeaWorld. Maybe you can ask him when he gets back.
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#60 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat May 13, 2006 12:47 pm

artist wrote:
boca_chris wrote:nothing will happen until August - patience





hmmmm - once again a troll type post - same statement.


He is not a troll.
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