Dry May is certain

[benny]

Actually, if this current pattern holds, it may not likely mean good news for Florida at all. It may lessen the risk of being hit from the east, but it could mean a high risk later in the season (October/November) of being hit from the southwest and western Caribbean if it holds, especially for an Irene, Wilma, or Michelle scenario. Everyone is under the gun every season, and don't say we will - or won't - get hit. This type of pattern would favor the risk of a late-season hit or brush to Florida from the south or southwest from the Caribbean.

Or it doesn't mean anything at all!!!! You seem to waver with the synoptic pattern.. strong ridge to the n.. death from the east... strong trough to the west.. death from the sw..

just messing with ya

[MiamiensisWx]

LOL! OK, then, what is your real thoughts on what I am saying, benny?

[Deb321]

Rain is on the way!

We got rain here in JAX yesterday and a little this morning, I also heard possibly more on the way for us.

[gatorcane]

Mays are dry in Florida. This is not a surpise. But yet the heating of the day and seabreeze convergence is creating some pops. Also long-range forecast shows some rain headed this way.

and a COMPLETE PATTERN REVERSAL

By June we will have forgotten this entire thread.


000
FXUS62 KMFL 111813
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
213 PM EDT THU MAY 11 2006

.DISCUSSION...WEATHER BEGINNING TO ACT UP ALONG THE EAST COAST AS
THE EXPECTED SEABREEZE PUSHES SLOWLY INLAND ACROSS THE EASTERN
METRO AREAS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS ALREADY MOVED ACROSS THE
DOWNTOWN MIAMI AREA AND MIAMI BEACH. MORE STORMS EXPECTED TO FIRE
UP...ESPECIALLY FURTHER NORTH WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVE REACHED THE
LOWER 90S. HAVE LEFT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THE EVENING HOURS AS
ANY LEFTOVER SHOWERS/STORMS SHOULD RAPIDLY WIND DOWN AROUND
SUNSET. COLD FRONT STILL ON SCHEDULE AND SHOULD MOVE PAST THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF THE PENINSULA EARLY FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
CLOSER TO NORMAL OR EVEN SLIGHTLY BELOW OVER THE WEEKEND. WITH
LONGWAVE TROUGH DIGGING ITS HEELS FIRMLY INTO THE EASTERN PORTION
OF THE CONTINENT NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...HOT/DRY PATTERN SHOULD NOT
RETURN TO SOUTH FLORIDA ANYTIME SOON. LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE IN STORE EARLY NEXT WEEK BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE
FOR SOME RAIN.

&&

[Bocadude85]

000
FXUS62 KMFL 111813
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
213 PM EDT THU MAY 11 2006

.DISCUSSION...WEATHER BEGINNING TO ACT UP ALONG THE EAST COAST AS
THE EXPECTED SEABREEZE PUSHES SLOWLY INLAND ACROSS THE EASTERN
METRO AREAS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS ALREADY MOVED ACROSS THE
DOWNTOWN MIAMI AREA AND MIAMI BEACH. MORE STORMS EXPECTED TO FIRE
UP...ESPECIALLY FURTHER NORTH WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVE REACHED THE
LOWER 90S. HAVE LEFT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THE EVENING HOURS AS
ANY LEFTOVER SHOWERS/STORMS SHOULD RAPIDLY WIND DOWN AROUND
SUNSET. COLD FRONT STILL ON SCHEDULE AND SHOULD MOVE PAST THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF THE PENINSULA EARLY FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
CLOSER TO NORMAL OR EVEN SLIGHTLY BELOW OVER THE WEEKEND. WITH
LONGWAVE TROUGH DIGGING ITS HEELS FIRMLY INTO THE EASTERN PORTION
OF THE CONTINENT NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...HOT/DRY PATTERN SHOULD NOT
RETURN TO SOUTH FLORIDA ANYTIME SOON. LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE IN STORE EARLY NEXT WEEK BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE
FOR SOME RAIN.

that didnt pan out at all

[gatorcane]

it was an isolated event - not like summer. You just happened to not catch one of them.

[HurricaneHunter914]

This thread should be locked soon so we can start #2.

[boca]

Please lock thread its been 10 pages.