Windshear

#1 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Wed May 10, 2006 1:38 am

This is concerning the Tropics. When looking at Windshear in the forecast models, is it typically better to look at the 200-850mb forecast or the 500-850mb forecast? I am trying to learn about the tropics and what features to look at when trying to forecast a possible TC in the future. Here are the example's:
200-850mb Shear

500-850mb Shear

x-y-no · #2 Postby **x-y-no** » Wed May 10, 2006 8:46 am

I mostly look at the 200-850, but the 500-850 can be helpful in estimating the possibility of dry air intrusion.

CHRISTY · #3 Postby **CHRISTY** » Wed May 10, 2006 10:35 am

Conditions are highly unfavorable across the Atlantic threw
72 hrs...

#4 Postby **wjs3** » Wed May 10, 2006 12:59 pm

I was always taught 200-850.

I think the reason for that is that TUTTs show up at the higher levels--above 500--and can be big shear causers that you can miss (or at least underestimate) if you look only below 500 MB

WJS3

Ivan14 · #5 Postby **Ivan14** » Wed May 10, 2006 2:09 pm

Conditions will improve a little though in the Caribbean in 72 hours.

whereverwx · #6 Postby **whereverwx** » Wed May 10, 2006 2:28 pm

The overall Atlantic is in shear. Let's hope it lasts (even though I doubt it will).

Windshear

Windshear

Who is online