EPAC Low

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Stephanie
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23843
Age: 63
Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 9:53 am
Location: Glassboro, NJ

#21 Postby Stephanie » Sun May 07, 2006 6:44 pm

Weatherfreak000 wrote:But it won't :roll:


You guys keep on hoping though.


Your sarcasm is uncalled for. Watch it.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6372
Age: 60
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

#22 Postby boca » Sun May 07, 2006 11:13 pm

no advance wrote:Very interesting. This could be a blessing for Fl. if it does move north. Is it a stalled out trough?


Boy wouldn't that be nice, a couple days of rain. NOT!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Taffy
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 221
Joined: Wed Sep 08, 2004 7:05 am
Location: Lehigh Acres/SW Florida

#23 Postby Taffy » Sun May 07, 2006 11:53 pm

I see that
0 likes   
Taffy-SW Florida
Top
User avatar
bevgo
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 634
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 12:46 pm
Location: Ocean Springs, MS

#24 Postby bevgo » Tue May 09, 2006 5:30 pm

too early! Stop! :lol: I am not ready for the season to get rolling yet. I don't get enough sleep now. If I have to stay here and watch a developing system this early I am gonna be really sleep deprived. It's an obsession---help! :roll: :x :eek:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
lester
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1305
Age: 36
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 5:21 pm
Location: Washington, DC
Contact:
Contact lester

#25 Postby lester » Tue May 09, 2006 5:53 pm

CHRISTY wrote: THIS WENT.... :blowup:

Image

is that good or bad
0 likes   
Top
CHRISTY

#26 Postby CHRISTY » Tue May 09, 2006 5:54 pm

lester88 wrote:
CHRISTY wrote: THIS WENT.... :blowup:

Image

is that good or bad


its over land right now...lets see what happens when it moves away!
0 likes   
Top
CHRISTY

#27 Postby CHRISTY » Tue May 09, 2006 5:56 pm

seems to have a little spin to it.....lets wait!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Epsilon_Fan
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 353
Joined: Fri Jan 13, 2006 1:03 pm
Location: Charleston, SC

#28 Postby Epsilon_Fan » Tue May 09, 2006 6:04 pm

sooner or later something will come out of the Panamic region :wink:
0 likes   
Top
CHRISTY

#29 Postby CHRISTY » Tue May 09, 2006 6:09 pm

:roll:
Last edited by CHRISTY on Tue May 09, 2006 7:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
HurricaneHunter914
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4439
Age: 31
Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
Location: College Station, TX

#30 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Tue May 09, 2006 6:26 pm

EPAC is active right now.
0 likes   
Top
CHRISTY

#31 Postby CHRISTY » Tue May 09, 2006 7:08 pm

here is a better IR image!

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#32 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue May 09, 2006 7:49 pm

Actually I have been watching this area today and noticed the constant or should I say consistent convection over this broad area. I checked out the 18Z gfs and it shows maybe some possible vorticity in that area in the next few days. Below I will post my evidence of what I have found. This is NOT A FORECAST just some observations I have made. I am not saying anything is or will develope I am just sharing what I found with the rest of you.

Image

60 Hours
Image


72 Hours
Image

84 Hours
Image

96 Hours
Image

WINDSHEAR Tendency around the area I'm mentioning
Image

Very warm waters in the area.
Image
0 likes   
Top
CHRISTY

#33 Postby CHRISTY » Tue May 09, 2006 10:11 pm

Yes this just might be our next invest.....

Look at the convection exploding of the (coast)!lets see if it persist it has so far i have been watching all night.

Here's the link...
http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/regions.asp?partner=accuweather&site=ATL&region=CAM&type=ei&anim=LOOP&large=1

Here's a better Animated IR loop of the convection.

Image
0 likes   
Top
HurricaneHunter914
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4439
Age: 31
Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
Location: College Station, TX

#34 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Tue May 09, 2006 10:13 pm

At least the first Invest for this area is actually worthy of the Invest name unlike the Atlantic.
0 likes   
Top
CHRISTY

#35 Postby CHRISTY » Tue May 09, 2006 10:27 pm

Here's the GFS Showing some development with this system....

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#36 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue May 09, 2006 11:13 pm

GFS is defintely picking up on something out there in the EPAC.

72 HOURS
Image

78 HOURS
Image

84 HOURS
Image

90 HOURS
Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivan14
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 184
Joined: Thu Mar 16, 2006 10:49 am
Contact:
Contact Ivan14

#37 Postby Ivan14 » Wed May 10, 2006 12:47 am

If this does develop would this be the earliest an EPAC system has formed?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:
Contact Aquawind

#38 Postby Aquawind » Wed May 10, 2006 12:51 am

The season officially starts in less than a week May 15th. I would think we have had earlier systems..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#39 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed May 10, 2006 12:57 am

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:
Contact Aquawind

#40 Postby Aquawind » Wed May 10, 2006 1:08 am

Looks like Alma May 12,1990 :wink:


23020 05/12/1990 M= 7 1 SNBR= 546 ALMA XING=0
23025 05/12*0000000 0 0*0000000 0 0*0000000 0 0*0931011 25 1009*
23030 05/13*1001025 25 1008*1041034 25 1008*1091040 30 1007*1131045 30 1006*
23035 05/14*1171055 35 1005*1191069 35 1004*1201085 35 1003*1211100 45 1000*
23040 05/15*1211113 55 994*1211124 60 990*1221136 65 987*1251148 65 987*
23045 05/16*1291160 70 983*1341171 75 979*1391181 70 983*1411189 60 990*
23050 05/17*1411199 55 994*1411211 45 1000*1421225 35 1003*1441234 30 1007*
23055 05/18*1421246 25 1009*1401259 25 1009*1401273 20 1009*0000000 0 0*
23060 HR

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tracks1949to2004_epa.txt
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: CourierPR, Google Adsense [Bot] and 68 guests