CapeVerdeWave wrote:It looks like dry conditions may slowly retreat as ridging continues to be rather weaker than earlier and slowly weaken. It is also interesting that my area and eastern Palm Beach County is mre closer to normal than earlier because of more developing popup thunderstorms than earlier, including in western areas moving to the east. All this may prove to be some good news, along with the approach of the rainy season.
000
FGUS72 KMFL 051600
ESFMFL
FLZ063-066>075-080800-
HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1200 PM EDT FRI MAY 5 2006
...DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND THE
EVERGLADES...
...REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA REMAINS IN ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS...
THE DRY WEATHER WHICH HAS AFFECTED SOUTH FLORIDA SINCE FEBRUARY HAS
PERSISTED INTO THE FIRST WEEK OF MAY. AREAS IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
HAVE SEEN VERY LITTLE RAINFALL DURING THIS TIME...WITH NAPLES AND
MARCO ISLAND RECEIVING ONLY 0.17 AND 0.13 INCHES OF RAIN
RESPECTIVELY SINCE FEBRUARY 6TH. THE ONLY EXCEPTION TO THE DRY
PATTERN HAS BEEN OVER METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY WHERE A FEW HEAVY RAIN
EVENTS HAVE HELPED TO PUSH THE YEAR TO DATE RAINFALL TO NEAR NORMAL
LEVELS.
THE RAINFALL TOTALS...NORMALS AND DEPARTURES FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
FROM JANUARY 1, 2006 TO APRIL 30, 2006 ARE:
AIRPORTS : YEARLY : YEARLY : APRIL
TOTALS DEPARTURES DEPARTURES
MIAMI INTERNATIONAL : 5.12 : -4.75 : -3.13
FORT LAUDERDALE INTERNATIONAL : 7.71 : -4.64 : -2.42
PALM BEACH INTERNATIONAL :10.88 : -2.67 : +1.12
NAPLES MUNICIPAL AIRPORT : 3.85 : -6.14 : -1.99
SECONDARY OBSERVATION SITES
IMMOKALEE : 5.53 : -4.06 : -1.84
DEVILS GARDEN : 3.71 : -5.98 : -1.42
CLEWISTON : 4.92 : -4.62 : -1.13
BELLE GLADE : 7.44 : -2.08 : -1.14
FLAMINGO RANGER STATION : 6.15 : -3.17 : -1.36
MIAMI BEACH : 4.98 : -4.61 : -2.15
THE SOIL MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA HAS BEEN LOW THROUGH APRIL...
EXCEPT OVER INTERIOR AND SOUTHWEST SECTIONS WHERE IT HAS BEEN VERY
LOW. THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX FOR SOUTH FLORIDA HAS RANGED
BETWEEN 600 TO 700 OVER MOST LOCATIONS. WELLS ACROSS SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA ARE RUNNING AT ONLY 10 TO 30 PERCENT OF NORMAL LEVELS.
ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA...WELLS ARE RUNNING NEAR NORMAL
LEVELS AND THE LEVEL OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE IS AT 13.5 FEET WHICH IS
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
AS A RESULT...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HAS UPGRADED MOST OF
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND THE EVERGLADES TO MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS
(D1). THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA REMAINS IN ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS
(D0).
THE FORECAST FOR SOUTH FLORIDA IS FOR HIGH PRESSURE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN
THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A WEAK COLD FRONT TO APPROACH
SOUTH FLORIDA EARLY NEXT WEEK AND INCREASE MOISTURE LEVELS...LEADING
TO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAINFALL FOR THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.
THE MAY OUTLOOK FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER IS FOR EQUAL
CHANCES OF ABOVE...BELOW OR NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER SOUTH
FLORIDA. THE MEDIAN DATE OF THE START OF THE RAINY SEASON IN SOUTH
FLORIDA IS DURING THE THIRD AND FOURTH WEEKS OF MAY. THIS COULD
PROVIDE SOME RELIEF TO THE DRY CONDITIONS AND FIRE DANGER ACROSS
SOUTH FLORIDA IN THE NEXT FEW WEEKS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.
$$
BAXTER/MOLLEDA
Capeverdewave the reason the ridge is going to get weaker is because of the approaching cold front.....southflorida has been under a BIGDOME OF HIGHPRESSURE for a couple of months or maybe i should say a couple of weeks,but i bet it will be long before the ridge takes control of our weather again.PS!LETS SEE WHAT HAPPENS IN THE COMING MONTHS WITH THE BERMUDA HIGH....ITS TO EARLY TO KNOW WHAT IS GONNA HAPPEN WHEN THE HEART OF SEASON COMES AROUND.BUT IF I HAD TO GUESS IT LOOKS LIKE MAYBE 2004 AGAIN?
