More Monsoon?

[Supercell Hunters]

Hey i found about monsoon, it seems more frequent in couple years?

Ocean Response in Asia-Australia Monsoon Region to Increase of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Concentration in Climate Models
PI: Tatsuo Motoi
Institution: Meteorological Research Institute, Japan
Abstract:
The concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has rapidly increased and is still increasing due to mainly human activities. The change of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration perturbs the climate system including the ocean. The ocean responds to the perturbed forcings, such as anomalous momentum (wind stress), heat and water fluxes at the surface, through the ocean-atmosphere-land surface interactions. The ocean conditions have larger seasonal variations in Asia-Australia monsoon region and affect significantly on life of both marine and continental species, including the human life, through energy and water cycles in the climate system. The purpose of the proposed research is to investigate the mechanism of response of the ocean in Asia-Australia monsoon region to increase of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration by multi-model analyses. The datasets required for this research are monthly mean momentum, heat and water fluxes at the sea surface, and ocean velocity, temperature and salinity fields. The changes in seasonal variations of the fluxes in Asia-Australia monsoon region are analyzed as perturbations of forcings. The relations between the changes in fluxes and those in ocean circulation, temperature and salinity fields are investigated to detect the feedback processes which dominantly work in the climate changes. The evolutions of alteration in seasonal variation of thermocline depth and coastal-upwelling intensity are examined as key factors in the response processes.

[Aslkahuna]

The monsoon being referenced occurs EVERY Year. The word monsoon is derived from the Arabic "mausim" meaning season. The Monsoons are seasonal windshifts and nothing else due in large part to the inequality in landmass distribution between the Northern and Southern Hemisphere. Each year, Asia gets two Monsoons-the NE Monsoon in the Winter months and SW Monsoon in the Summer months in the Northern Hemisphere. Australia has what is called The Wet which is the NW Monsoon fo the Austral Summer and Africa and Persian Gulf regions also have a monsoon. In the Americas, the single monsoon is the North American Monsoon which occurs over Central America, Mexico and portions of the SW US. Although most people associate monsoons with heavy rain, not all monsoons are wet. The NE Monsoon of Asia is generally very dry in most places and the shift in windflow in the Persian Gulf region only serves to bring in some horrendous humidity without much in the way of rainfall. Here in AZ, the monsoon however brings the majority of our annual rainfall.

Steve

[Supercell Hunters]

The NE monsoon have been dragged to SW and to SE last couple years and so that Australia's monsoon would increase highest on the top. NE NSW where i live, we do have alot of storms during summer but we are not in the monsoon area. I need some research on that but we do have ranges on our westside of the area which the storms are born. If the monsoon dragging more south, i think that would bring more supercells and heat and rain for our area.

Any comments?

[Supercell Hunters]

I saw that weather in Cooktown, Wepia and Thursday Islands. Those places are always hot and stormy, i rather die if i live in those areas as too many cgs strikes

I think the climate change would spread that out as the monsoon is spreading out and making it more active (it really my best conditions ) I would think that might affect us in 2015 as the weather changing into tropical in most areas. I feel weird that the weather goes like that in winter/ dry period up in the tropics rather than here.

Any comments in this?

[Aslkahuna]

Monsoons are very tricky. The effectiveness of the Australian monsoon is closely tied to the ENSO cycle so that anything that would tend to increase the intensity and frequency of ENSO Warm phase (El Niño) events would tend to reduce the effectiveness of the monsoon as well as decrease ATL Tropical Cyclone activity. This means that GW would not of necessity bring stronger or more widespread monsoon activity in all areas especially if it resulted in stronger and more frequent El Niño events. Also to be noted would be the effects of GW on the MJO which is another modulator of the Monsoons.

Steve