Barometer bob's 2006 prediction.

[CHRISTY]

Iam not sure if u guys have read this but this is Barometer bob's 2006 prediction.

He says florida will see 6 threats this year.2 from the Atlantic, 2 from the Gulf of Mexico, and 2 from the Caribbean.i found this pretty shocking.

OPINIONS WELCOMED.....

Here's the link.

http://www.hurricanehollow.com/seasonforecast.html

[DoctorHurricane2003]

I didn't know Florida touched the Caribbean.

[Rainband]

I didn't know Florida touched the Caribbean.

I think he meant points of origin

[Derek Ortt]

remember, most of S Fla's hits come from the Caribbean

[DoctorHurricane2003]

Yes, but they come from either the Atlantic Ocean or Gulf of Mexico...or on rare occasion, the Straits and Cuba.

[CHRISTY]

remember, most of S Fla's hits come from the Caribbean

yep very could point derek....hey whats your opinion on his predictions.

[corpusbreeze]

Hey Florida sticks out like a turd in a punch bowl, why wouldn't it get hit from all sides? Just my opinion, the East coast and western GOM will be the point of impact this year.

[gatorcane]

remember, most of S Fla's hits come from the Caribbean

Derek that is true but MAJOR hurricanes for South Florida hit more from the East.

I don't think Barometer Bob is that far off. Here is what I am calling for:

1 TS to strike the W or SW Coast of Florida in the June timeframe
CAT 4 to hit Miami/Homestead in August
CAT 3 to hit Palm Beach area in September
CAT 2/3 to hit Tampa area in October.

If you think this is not realistic check out those horrible years between 1945 and 1950 for Florida

This is going to be an ugly year for Florida again.

[CHRISTY]

remember, most of S Fla's hits come from the Caribbean

Derek that is true but MAJOR hurricanes hit more from the East.

I don't think Barometer Bob is that far off. Here is what I am calling for:

1 TS to strike the W or SW Coast of Florida in the June timeframe
CAT 4 to hit Miami/Homestead in August
CAT 3 to hit Palm Beach area in September
CAT 2/3 to hit Tampa area in October.

If you think this is not realistic check out those horrible years between 1945 and 1950 for Florida

This is going to be an ugly year for Florida again.

those are scary numbers BOCA . but i think u maybe right about florida.

[OuterBanker]

Thanks for leaving out NC.

[gatorcane]

Thanks for leaving out NC.

Well it is certainly possible but I think you will be spared by anything major this year.

[Extremeweatherguy]

remember, most of S Fla's hits come from the Caribbean

Derek that is true but MAJOR hurricanes hit more from the East.

I don't think Barometer Bob is that far off. Here is what I am calling for:

1 TS to strike the W or SW Coast of Florida in the June timeframe
CAT 4 to hit Miami/Homestead in August
CAT 3 to hit Palm Beach area in September
CAT 2/3 to hit Tampa area in October.

If you think this is not realistic check out those horrible years between 1945 and 1950 for Florida

This is going to be an ugly year for Florida again.

those are scary numbers BOCA . but i think u maybe right about florida.

then again the reason that two major storms hit your general area is because you live there. Everyone has a natural tendency to predict the worst happening to them or thinking that it will be a bad year for their area. In the end, I doubt this year will end up as bad as the above prediction. The chance of a a hurricane directly hitting Palm Beach, Homestead and Tampa all in one year is pretty slim (not impossible, but not probable).

[gatorcane]

then again the reason that two major storms hit your general area is because you live there. Everyone has a natural tendency to predict the worst happening to them or thinking that it will be a bad year for their area. In the end, I doubt this year will end up as bad as the above prediction. The chance of a a hurricane directly hitting Palm Beach, Homestead and Tampa all in one year is pretty slim (not impossible, but not probable).

After Frances, Jeanne, Ivan, and Charley hit in 2004, many people were in your boat regarding 2005...

Then in 2005 Dennis, Wilma, and Katrina hit/impacted the area....

do you think 2006 will just suddenly be quiet for Florida? Hmmm...

[CHRISTY]

forget that i live in florida my personal gut feeling tells me florida might be in for a couple of scares this season to see the least.

[gatorcane]

I hope you (we) are dead wrong and it is quiet this year.

[Extremeweatherguy]

then again the reason that two major storms hit your general area is because you live there. Everyone has a natural tendency to predict the worst happening to them or thinking that it will be a bad year for their area. In the end, I doubt this year will end up as bad as the above prediction. The chance of a a hurricane directly hitting Palm Beach, Homestead and Tampa all in one year is pretty slim (not impossible, but not probable).

After Frances, Jeanne, Ivan, and Charley hit in 2004, many people were in your boat regarding 2005...

Then in 2005 Dennis, Wilma, and Katrina hit/impacted the area....

do you think 2006 will just suddenly be quiet for Florida? Hmmm...

I am not saying that the above intensity and number of storms will not play out...I just do not think they will all happen to hit those major targets. May be 1-2 of those places will see a direct hit, but for all 3 of those major population centers to be hit directly would be crazy (though still not impossible).

[Cookiely]

Iam not sure if u guys have read this but this is Barometer bob's 2006 prediction.

He says florida will see 6 threats this year.2 from the Atlantic, 2 from the Gulf of Mexico, and 2 from the Caribbean.i found this pretty shocking.

OPINIONS WELCOMED.....

Here's the link.

http://www.hurricanehollow.com/seasonforecast.html

I'm not shocked. Thanks for the link Christy.

[rainstorm]

the only thing i disagree with is that the bermuda high will be strong. so far this spring there has been no sign of it at all

[Evil Jeremy]

i live in Broward County FL! i dont want to die

[george_r_1961]

the only thing i disagree with is that the bermuda high will be strong. so far this spring there has been no sign of it at all

Its May