Doomsday storms
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Scorpion
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Hurricaneman
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CHRISTY
Just have a repeat of Donna. If the same storm happened today we'd see a ton of damage. Right up the gut of Florida, then graze the EC all the way up.
My favorite doomsday scenario is the one that came close to happening with Wilma, and Michelle. Just take Wilma and shift her off the Yucatan, keep her at Cat. 4-5 strength - Key West gets its worst storm since 1919 and is basically flattened, makes landfall at Cape Sable, with all of South Florida on the dirty side of the storm.
Compounding that, make her a slower, more NNE mover instead of getting shunted out east by a speedy trough.
-Yucatan and W Cuba get raked
-The Keys see a storm of greater intensity than they have seen in over half a century
-No part of S. FL escapes major hurricane winds - from Key Largo to Sebastian Inlet.
My favorite doomsday scenario is the one that came close to happening with Wilma, and Michelle. Just take Wilma and shift her off the Yucatan, keep her at Cat. 4-5 strength - Key West gets its worst storm since 1919 and is basically flattened, makes landfall at Cape Sable, with all of South Florida on the dirty side of the storm.
Compounding that, make her a slower, more NNE mover instead of getting shunted out east by a speedy trough.
-Yucatan and W Cuba get raked
-The Keys see a storm of greater intensity than they have seen in over half a century
-No part of S. FL escapes major hurricane winds - from Key Largo to Sebastian Inlet.
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weatherwoman132
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SouthFloridawx
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I think that a possible doomsday scenario would be head north north westward parallel to the cheasapeke bay like so....
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CHRISTY
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MiamiensisWx
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Extremeweatherguy
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BayouVenteux
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skysummit
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CHRISTY wrote:u know after seeing this map......i think there is an extreme possibility this could happen this year.its just a feeling i have.OPINIONS?mtm4319 wrote:
I have an OPINION. That feeling you have is probably because that's where you live. I'm serious. I have a feeling that we'll get hit again here, it's only normal to think that way...it's human nature. It really doesn't mean anything though.
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Extremeweatherguy wrote:I doubt a storm would stay so strong after crossing Cuba.
It goes from 155 to 140 (before strengthening again to 145 in the Florida Straits) while crossing the narrowest portion of Cuba at a decent speed.
Extremeweatherguy wrote:Also...why does it instantly turn NE in the NW Carribean?
Um... it doesn't. The dots are every 6 hours, so it would take about 18-24 hours (moving at a slow speed at the time). Like BayouVenteux said, it's a late-season storm (note the name... Pablo... around late September/October, I'm thinking) and a Wilma-type situation. And besides, it's a simulation. No one said it was perfect.
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Extremeweatherguy
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mtm4319 wrote:Extremeweatherguy wrote:I doubt a storm would stay so strong after crossing Cuba.
It goes from 155 to 140 (before strengthening again to 145 in the Florida Straits) while crossing the narrowest portion of Cuba at a decent speed.Extremeweatherguy wrote:Also...why does it instantly turn NE in the NW Carribean?
Um... it doesn't. The dots are every 6 hours, so it would take about 18-24 hours (moving at a slow speed at the time). Like BayouVenteux said, it's a late-season storm (note the name... Pablo... around late September/October, I'm thinking) and a Wilma-type situation. And besides, it's a simulation. No one said it was perfect.
A fast moving Cat. 5 storm would likely be sheared apart after hitting that area of Cuba. I would expect a drop to Cat. 3 after that. If it was a weaker crossing, however, then the storm may not be weakend as much and it could then strengthen rapidly once in the Gulf (AKA: Charley).
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Extremeweatherguy wrote:A fast moving Cat. 5 storm would likely be sheared apart after hitting that area of Cuba. I would expect a drop to Cat. 3 after that. If it was a weaker crossing, however, then the storm may not be weakend as much and it could then strengthen rapidly once in the Gulf (AKA: Charley).
"Decent" is not "fast". "Fast" is its speed in the open Atlantic. The strip of Cuba I have it going over is 40 miles wide = about 2.5-3 hours on land. 15-20mph in weakening, sure. But hey, let's nit-pick while people are posting about hypercanes and cat 5s into New Orleans, Miami, and NYC.
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