91L Invest,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

[cycloneye]

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 35&start=0



Link to the first thread about 91L is posted above.

It's amazing that already I am doing a second thread for a naked swirl.And the most amazing thing is that the first thread only took around 4 hours to get to 10 pages.

[artist]

those that received the e-mail might want to check the td mail thread about what happened regarding the e-mail sent out-

[SouthFloridawx]

SouthFloridawx wrote:


There is low shear ahead of this invest. Maybe we will get something subtropical? I'm not sure what to make of this.

Where do you get those maps?

I get them from the following site.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/tropic.html

[Ivanhater]

CMC

[Scorpion]

During an actual hurricane, especially one headed for Florida, one whole 10 page thread will likely take 30 minutes to fill.

[CHRISTY]

CMC

CMC showing something interesting there but iam not buying it....atleast not yet.

[DoctorHurricane2003]

Please for the love of sanity, do not quote images.

[canetracker]

During an actual hurricane, especially one headed for Florida, one whole 10 page thread will likely take 30 minutes to fill.

Totally agree! The board would go wild.

[jasons2k]

BTW - someone asked in the 1st thread what state the radar images were from. They were from Texas. Those thumbs look best if you click them twice.

[CHRISTY]

Nogaps also showing interesting things tonight....

[canetracker]

Model runs may show something interesting, but 91L looks pretty sick tonight.

[Scott_inVA]

As noted in my other thread, only models run today are (test) Invest 88L (and that was run Thursday).
This event is a gale center in Western Atlantic...not tropical in nature.

Scott
Mid-Atlantic WX.com
Home of the real hurricane model maps again in 2006
Lexington, VA

[HurricaneHunter914]

Maybe that blob on the tail end of the cold front is what is expected to form.

[SouthFloridawx]

As noted in my other thread, only models run today are (test) Invest 88L (and that was run Thursday).
This event is a gale center in Western Atlantic...not tropical in nature.

Scott
Mid-Atlantic WX.com
Home of the real hurricane model maps again in 2006
Lexington, VA

Why did they issue and invest on this area in question?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I have not a clue on why they would make this a invest. But don't expect anything to develop intill June.

[whereverwx]

I have not a clue on why they would make this a invest. But don't expect anything to develop intill June.

June is not a magical month for tropical storms... you need perfect conditions to support tropical development. And I agree, I also think it won't develop into anything tropical or subtropical.

[Jim Cantore]

This thing just looks like a late season nor'easter just passing by away from the coast, I'll see if it kicks up the ocean when I'm at the beach tommorow.

[dwsqos2]

For what it's worth, 91L INVEST is now listed on the NRL backup site.

http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi

[SouthFloridawx]

WHXX01 KWBC 290322
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL912006) ON 20060429 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060429 0000 060429 1200 060430 0000 060430 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 30.7N 69.6W 33.6N 67.3W 35.7N 68.7W 34.8N 70.7W
BAMM 30.7N 69.6W 32.9N 67.2W 34.6N 68.3W 34.0N 70.4W
A98E 30.7N 69.6W 29.3N 69.4W 30.2N 66.6W 33.6N 60.4W
LBAR 30.7N 69.6W 31.0N 68.4W 32.4N 67.9W 34.3N 67.8W
SHIP 25KTS 26KTS 28KTS 29KTS
DSHP 25KTS 26KTS 28KTS 29KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060501 0000 060502 0000 060503 0000 060504 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 31.0N 71.5W 28.9N 57.5W 34.6N 47.4W 35.4N 31.5W
BAMM 31.1N 71.8W 28.5N 61.8W 35.7N 52.3W 40.3N 39.9W
A98E 35.7N 57.9W 36.0N 53.5W 38.7N 46.7W 40.0N 20.8W
LBAR 36.4N 67.6W 41.2N 65.1W 44.9N 59.2W 42.9N 52.7W
SHIP 28KTS 20KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 28KTS 20KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 30.7N LONCUR = 69.6W DIRCUR = 195DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 34.0N LONM12 = 68.6W DIRM12 = 201DEG SPDM12 = 17KT
LATM24 = 37.3N LONM24 = 67.6W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 0NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

.....THE ABOVE HAS BEEN A TEST MESSAGE.....

[Ivan14]

I actualy woke up and saw this thread and really thought we had the first invest of the season.