VSCS Mala - Landfall: Myanmar - 22 deaths

Derecho · #41 Postby **Derecho** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 7:15 pm

terstorm1012 wrote:I find that ironic too.

I do think that this stretch of coast may be sparsely inhabited. I don't recall Myanmar having horrific death tolls from the tsunami in 2004, and this coast was most likely hit.

Though it does look like the storm, once it heads inland, will roll right over the capital city of Rangoon, or near it.

The Irrawaddy Delta has a population of over 6 million people.

It was hit by a Category 3 (described as a "small" storm) from due West in 1982, and about a dozen people died. Apparently there were a lot of evacuations.

CHRISTY · #42 Postby **CHRISTY** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 8:05 pm

Look at all the easterly shear hiting MALA....

HurricaneHunter914 · #43 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 8:56 pm

Her eye is showing up nicely though.

#44 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:02 pm

THE CENTER IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL.

MiamiensisWx · #45 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:03 pm

Looks like a low-end Category Three/middle to high-end Category Two right now. Anyone agree?

Scorpion · #46 Postby **Scorpion** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:05 pm

Low-end Cat 2. No eye to speak of.

HurricaneHunter914 · #47 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:06 pm

More like just a Cat-2, her eye doesn't look so well defined.

MiamiensisWx · #48 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:07 pm

Actually, there is an eye, although it is cloudy and rather disorganized. That, along with the convection pattern, suggests a middle to high-end Category Two or very low-end Category Three (Saffir-Simpson Scale).

#49 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:07 pm

Guys, appearance can disguise the fury of a tropical system.

MiamiensisWx · #50 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:08 pm

Oh, I know ANY category is dangerous. I am just saying my opinion, Sandy.

#51 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:10 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:Oh, I know ANY category is dangerous. I am just saying my opinion, Sandy.

what intensity would you guys (not picking on anyone) give to this system based on appearance?

Scorpion · #52 Postby **Scorpion** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:11 pm

110 knots or so

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #53 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:11 pm

Reminds me of dennis a little. It has a super small eye with a larger outter eye developing. Heck it could still pack low in cat3 winds.

MiamiensisWx · #54 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:11 pm

I'd say that would be from a very high-end Category Two to a middle Category Four in that image, Sandy (most likely a major hurricane still).

#55 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:12 pm

That's our friend Michelle from 2001 about to make landfall in Cuba with winds of 135 mph.

MiamiensisWx · #56 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:14 pm

Yep. To me, it looks mostly like a major hurricane. Many major hurricanes (especially a Category Three to a middle Category Four) can look like that.

CHRISTY · #57 Postby **CHRISTY** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:15 pm

guys mala is just few hours from landfall atleast as far as the EYE coming ashore.atleast it looks like that to me in this IR image... maybe 2 hours at most.

Scorpion · #58 Postby **Scorpion** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:15 pm

Yea, looks about 110-115 kts in that picture. Good structure, but looks to be weakening from its peak.

Jim Cantore · #59 Postby **Jim Cantore** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:15 pm

Just looked, 130mph, still an extremely dangerous Cyclone.

MiamiensisWx · #60 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:16 pm

I agree, Scorpion.

VSCS Mala - Landfall: Myanmar - 22 deaths

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