SST'S and Anomalies in Atlantic and Pacific

[HurricaneHunter914]

Actually in 2005 the GOM wasn't as warm as 2006.

[Weatherfreak000]

Actually in 2005 the GOM wasn't as warm as 2006.

I know I was referring to the temp differences in the deep Atlantic.

[Ivan14]

It does seem to be catching up the Atlantic that is. I don't even want to think what will happen once a storm goes into the Gulf and there is not much shear or dry air. It will EXPLODE .

[angelwing]

I was wondering if there is a 10 or 20 year average of SST's for the GOM and the caribbean listed anywhere?

[skysummit]

Here are the GOM 4/26 21Z SST Plots.....wow, up to 84 at one bouy.

[Trugunzn]

4/23/05



4/23/06

[GeneratorPower]

Trugunzn, I believe your two maps have different temp scales on the right. Can you post links to the actual photos? Thanks.

[tailgater]

https://128.160.23.54/products/OFA/gsscofa.gif
BOC really starting to cook I wouldn't be surprised to see some preseason home brew.

[skysummit]

That whole central and southern area of the GOM is warming more and more each day. I remember a couple weeks or so ago when there were mainly mid and upper 70's at each bouy. Now, 80's are becomming widespread already.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Here are the GOM 4/26 21Z SST Plots.....wow, up to 84 at one bouy.

HOLY COW!

[skysummit]

Take a look at this...

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The western Caribbean was warmer last year...

[HurricaneHunter914]

But the GOM wasn't. Also looking at that map it looks like the EPAC'S once very red waters are now mostly bright ornage.

[JPmia]

I thought this was a really cool image!

Is it me or does this image show Hurricane Andrew in 1992 during a Neutral ENSO year? That would be incorrect. Andrew occured during an El Nino year. Interesting graph otherwise.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Very interesting. Let's see how this plays out for 2006.

[milankovitch]

Is it me or does this image show Hurricane Andrew in 1992 during a Neutral ENSO year? That would be incorrect. Andrew occured during an El Nino year. Interesting graph otherwise.

NINO 3.4
[img]http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/expert/filters/.NINO/SOURCES/.IGOSS/.nmc/.monthly/.ssta/NINO34/startcolormap/DATA/-3/3/RANGE/white/blue/blue/-3/VALUE/blue/blue/0/bandmax/red/red/3/bandmax/endcolormap/T/%28Nov%201981%29%28Dec%202001%29RANGE//long_name/%28%29def/dup+T+fig-+colorbars2+thinnish+solid+black+-10+10+10+horizontallines+thin+grey+dotted++-3+1+3+horizontallines+|+colorbars2+-fig+T/384./397./plotrange+//plotborder+72+psdef//plotaxislength+432+psdef//XOVY+4+psdef+.gif[/img]

I guess Landsea had some cut off. The graph shows ENSO state during the hurricane season. While there were El Nino conditions to start 1992 they must have been low enough to be classified neutral during the season. I thought 1992 was and El Nino year too when I first saw the graph.

[bvigal]

This is now 55 pages...er... can we please lock and load a fresh page?

[drezee]

Buoy 420555 didn't get to 27.4 until May 18 last year...

2005 05 18 20 00 59 3.4 4.0 0.70 5.26 4.35 86 1009.3 26.6 27.4 23.6 99.0 99.00

[x-y-no]

Buoy 420555 didn't get to 27.4 until May 18 last year...

2005 05 18 20 00 59 3.4 4.0 0.70 5.26 4.35 86 1009.3 26.6 27.4 23.6 99.0 99.00

Yes, but remember that there were a series of late cold fronts last year which kept the Gulf anomalously cool until June, when it got back to normal (and then to anomalously warm by the heart of the season).

The warm Gulf this pre-season does suggest we really need to watch for some early storms in the Gulf, as soon as the upper air flow shifts sufficiently to permit development.

[skysummit]

This morning's 11Z GOM SST Plots...