TC Monica #4: Fanni Beach (Darwin) Webcam available

[HURAKAN]

Tropical Cyclone Monica Discussion Thread #1
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=83439

Tropical Cyclone Monica Discussion Thread #2
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=83662

Tropical Cyclone Monica Discussion Thread #3
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=83689



THE LION CONTINUES TO ROAR, DARWIN PREPARES AND AWAITS FOR ANOTHER JUDGEMENT DAY.

[Trugunzn]

wow!



Check out the hot waters its about to go into!

[CHRISTY]

[Jim Cantore]

is she going into an ERC? her eye seems to be filling in on visible.

[WindRunner]

Maybe . . . but it looks better than ever on Aqua and the radar pics.

[Jim Cantore]

never mind the visible I was looking at was older then I thought, something this powerful though I would imagine an ERC coming soon.

[MiamiensisWx]

It might be land interaction partly. Look how a good portion of the circulation is over land.

[Gorky]

I don't see any evidence of an EWRC. If anything, the eye is shrinking tighter from 24nm to 18nm atm.

The eye looks perfect to me at the moment and AODT is still pegged at 8.0

[AussieMark]

Darwin awaits cyclone Monica's arrival

The Bureau of Meteorology has issued a cyclone warning for Darwin as cyclone Monica moves closer.

A warning is now current for coastal and island communities between Nhulunbuy and the Daly River Mouth, including Darwin, Jabiru and the Cobourg Peninsula.

It means gale force winds could hit those areas within the next 24 hours.

The category 5 system is continuing to move west and the weather bureau says at this stage, the Cobourg Peninsula looks the most likely region to be hit by the eye of the cyclone.

Senior forecaster Graham King expects Monica will remain a category 5 system for most of the day.

"It's just far enough offshore at the moment that the really destructive winds are offshore but as it comes in towards the Cobourg Peninsula all those islands up there ... have the potential to get some pretty nasty weather," Mr King said.

Monica passed over Elcho Island this morning with no damage to buildings and no injuries.

Nhulunbuy unscathed

Emergency services personnel at Nhulunbuy in north-east Arnhem Land have closed the town's cyclone shelter.

About 9:00pm ACST yesterday emergency crews sounded sirens in Nhulunbuy telling people they could leave their shelters.

Senior Sergeant Tony Fuller says some people had been in Nhulunbuy's cyclone shelter for 24 hours and it was time to let them go home.

"I know a lot of people were fairly bored especially in the shelters [and] we had some issues with people running out of food," he said.

Strong winds brought down several trees in the town last night but police say there has been no damage to houses.

Nhulunbuy police are still keeping an eye on people on two catamarans on the Wessel Island.

[Rod Hagen]

In Harm's way?

I've attached a map of major Aboriginal community locations to a recent Naval research Lab image of Monica:



Cheers

Rod

[CHRISTY]

Monica on radar!

http://mirror.bom.gov.au/products/IDR092.loop.shtml

[CHRISTY]

The models are very consistent with a track just along the northern coast turning inland near Darwin. Such a pass by a category 5 cyclone along the coast would be very devastating to the whole region. Darwin residents should be prepared for a strike on Tuesday....



The American model ensemble forecasts are very consistent with the other models. This leaves little doubt to the destructive path that Monica is likely to take right over Darwin, the region's largest city.




The models also indicate likely future intensification. With Monica already being an incredible category 5 cyclone, a bad situation is likely to get worse if that is possible.




Sourse...http://www.thestormtrack.com/

[CrazyC83]

Darwin's population is about 120,000.

[Rod Hagen]

Goulburn Island (Warruwi), which appears likely to be in the direct path, has a weather recording station which may get interesting in a few hours if the gear holds up - http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDD65151 ... 4139.shtml

Rod

[CHRISTY]

Darwin broadcast....

http://www.adonline.id.au/radio/nt.htm

but you wont hear much for another day or so until it gets close!

[CrazyC83]

My biggest pet peeve about this: the fact there are multiple intensity numbers going around. I just don't know who to believe!

[O Town]

My biggest pet peeve about this: the fact there are multiple intensity numbers going around. I just don't know who to believe!

Tune in to the above station mentioned, and they are giving all sorts of updates.

[JonathanBelles]

My biggest pet peeve about this: the fact there are multiple intensity numbers going around. I just don't know who to believe!

i hear ya

[no advance]

Just look at that visiable posted. Solid Cat5. Good luck Darwin. I believe Tracy came more from the north.

[no advance]

Which station are you hearing the most info.?