Which of these tends to give the worst weather to your area?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K

Which of these gives you the worst weather

El Nino
11
35%
Neutral
11
35%
La Nina
9
29%
 
Total votes: 31

Message
Author
Jim Cantore

Which of these tends to give the worst weather to your area?

#1 Postby Jim Cantore » Wed Apr 19, 2006 8:39 pm

This was approved
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146215
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#2 Postby cycloneye » Wed Apr 19, 2006 8:41 pm

This poll is ok for all the members to participate as it has been allowed by the staff.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Lindaloo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 22658
Joined: Sat Mar 29, 2003 10:06 am
Location: Pascagoula, MS

#3 Postby Lindaloo » Wed Apr 19, 2006 8:55 pm

I chose La Nina although neutral gave me a monster cane. La Nina we stay dry it seems.
0 likes   

Jim Cantore

#4 Postby Jim Cantore » Wed Apr 19, 2006 9:03 pm

we stay dry it seems


same here, happened in 1999 and is happening now despite La Ninas death
0 likes   

User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9490
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

#5 Postby ROCK » Wed Apr 19, 2006 9:34 pm

neutral is my vote...
0 likes   

User avatar
AussieMark
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5858
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
Location: near Sydney, Australia

#6 Postby AussieMark » Wed Apr 19, 2006 10:11 pm

El Nino for me

we get early kicks to summers where it gets hot

i.e in the small one that kicked off in 2004 we reached 102F in October wich is like your APril.

we get bad fire seasons and we get dry and that leads to water restrictions
0 likes   

User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:

#7 Postby wxmann_91 » Wed Apr 19, 2006 11:25 pm

What do you mean by worst?

El Nino gives flooding rains which though is destructive is the most weather I can look forward to here.

The "worst" weather (which in my definition, sunny) would be La Nina.

The worst weather (which in the standard definition, cataclysm) would be El Nino.
0 likes   

Jim Cantore

#8 Postby Jim Cantore » Wed Apr 19, 2006 11:27 pm

Standard def, I think houses falling off of cliffs is worse then a sunny day 8-) :wink:
0 likes   

User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:

#9 Postby wxmann_91 » Wed Apr 19, 2006 11:28 pm

Hurricane Floyd wrote:Standard def, I think houses falling off of cliffs is worse then a sunny day 8-) :wink:


Then El Nino.
0 likes   

Jim Cantore

#10 Postby Jim Cantore » Wed Apr 19, 2006 11:29 pm

its lose-lose

El nino, California Pays, La Nina, the east coast pays, Neutral, pretty much everyone gets slammed.
0 likes   

User avatar
Cookiely
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3211
Age: 74
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 7:31 am
Location: Tampa, Florida

#11 Postby Cookiely » Thu Apr 20, 2006 5:33 am

El Nino. The flooding in Tampa was truly terrible and many people lost their homes.
0 likes   

Rod Hagen
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 237
Joined: Fri Sep 23, 2005 6:22 am
Location: Lives in Melbourne, works in N Queensland

#12 Postby Rod Hagen » Thu Apr 20, 2006 6:28 am

In Oz it depends on where you live to some extent. In NSW and Qld by and large El Nino does the damage. Droughts and bushfires reign in eastern Oz when El Nino is around. Droughts are much more worrying in Oz than rain for most people. La Nina gives people a chance to plant crops and refill the water tanks and dams.

In Southern Victoria the picture is much less clear. We don't get such clear differentiation. Sometimes drughts down here come with La Nina, sometimes with El Nino. Again, too little water is seen as a far worse problem than too much.

Cheers

Rod
0 likes   

User avatar
AussieMark
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5858
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
Location: near Sydney, Australia

#13 Postby AussieMark » Thu Apr 20, 2006 8:05 am

Rod Hagen wrote:In Oz it depends on where you live to some extent. In NSW and Qld by and large El Nino does the damage. Droughts and bushfires reign in eastern Oz when El Nino is around. Droughts are much more worrying in Oz than rain for most people. La Nina gives people a chance to plant crops and refill the water tanks and dams.

In Southern Victoria the picture is much less clear. We don't get such clear differentiation. Sometimes drughts down here come with La Nina, sometimes with El Nino. Again, too little water is seen as a far worse problem than too much.

Cheers

Rod


Yes EL Nino are worse on us.

I remember the el nino of 1997-98

we had days where we had upper 30's or even 40's

and that coupled with no rain

also can't forget the 1994 sydney fires
0 likes   

User avatar
southerngale
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 27418
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)

#14 Postby southerngale » Thu Apr 20, 2006 1:02 pm

I guess neutral since that's what it was when Rita hit here, unseasonably late. Not unheard of, but pretty late for this far west.
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34095
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#15 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 20, 2006 1:12 pm

El Nino gave me a record-breaking ice storm, followed by major flooding, then numerous severe weather outbreaks...all in 1998.
0 likes   

User avatar
timeflow
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 99
Age: 53
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 5:48 pm
Location: Orlando, FL
Contact:

#16 Postby timeflow » Thu Apr 20, 2006 1:51 pm

El Nino in terms of storminess...

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb/sls19paper10-1.html
0 likes   

User avatar
Audrey2Katrina
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4252
Age: 76
Joined: Fri Dec 23, 2005 10:39 pm
Location: Metaire, La.

#17 Postby Audrey2Katrina » Thu Apr 20, 2006 2:55 pm

I went with La Nina as well, although it was close between that and neutral. Someone else said it was a lose-lose scenario, and that's absolutely true. While one is better for one area and worse for others; the reverse is true for different areas... all depends on where you are located.

A2K
0 likes   
Flossy 56 Audrey 57 Hilda 64* Betsy 65* Camille 69* Edith 71 Carmen 74 Bob 79 Danny 85 Elena 85 Juan 85 Florence 88 Andrew 92*, Opal 95, Danny 97, Georges 98*, Isidore 02, Lili 02, Ivan 04, Cindy 05*, Dennis 05, Katrina 05*, Gustav 08*, Isaac 12*, Nate 17, Barry 19, Cristobal 20, Marco, 20, Sally, 20, Zeta 20*, Claudette 21 IDA* 21 Francine *24

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6372
Age: 60
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

#18 Postby boca » Thu Apr 20, 2006 6:52 pm

I voted Neutral since 8 hurricanes have hit us during the neutral period. In winter months its El Nino due to the excessive rainfall we get in the SE.
0 likes   

Rod Hagen
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 237
Joined: Fri Sep 23, 2005 6:22 am
Location: Lives in Melbourne, works in N Queensland

#19 Postby Rod Hagen » Thu Apr 20, 2006 8:09 pm

AussieMark wrote:Yes EL Nino are worse on us.

I remember the el nino of 1997-98

we had days where we had upper 30's or even 40's

and that coupled with no rain

also can't forget the 1994 sydney fires


In Victoria its less predictable.

The two worst fire seasons in Victoria last century were in 1939 and 1983. The 1983 "Ash Wednesday" fires, which killed 75 people in Victoria and SA and destroyed over 2000 homes, were the result of a full-on El Nino. (The Sydney fires in 94 that you mention were bad enough, but , by comparison, only resulted in the death of 3 people and the loss of 205 homes. I just happened to be in Melbourne for the 1983 ones and Sydney for the 94 ones. Both pretty hard to forget!)

The 1939 "Black Friday" fires, which killed 71 people in Victoria, burnt out 2 million hectares of land, and destroyed a thousand homes at a time when the population density was much lower than it was in 1983, though, occured during a La Nina. So did the 1997 Dandenong fires.

So I guess, at least down here, we can cop it both ways!

Cheers

Rod
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Cpv17, Google [Bot], Tak5, wileytheartist and 74 guests