Accu-weather: NE US and Upper TX Coast a Target

[skysummit]

The areas along the gulf coast that have not been directly or indirectly affected by a hurricane last season are slim to come by.

[perk]

First of all i would like to thank Katdaddy and Portastorm for being brave enough to post that information from Accuweather. I respect Joe Bastardi's opinion as well as other professional met's on this board. I also respect the opinions of all the non pro met's on this forum. But we really need to tone down the bashing.

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

[/quote][quote="vbhoutex"I want to add a little bit to this. We do have members on this site from the professional organizations listed above and others. I for one would be very upset if I was one of them and came onto a site and found some of the things I have seen posted in the past about persons and organizations. We want a friendly discussion atmosphere here for EVERYONE!!!! [/quote]


Here here! I second that. Let us stop all the bashing (myself included).

[skysummit]

Ok. No one is bashing anylonger. Can we at least get back to the original subject?

[Jim Cantore]

"Weather Disaster of Historic Proportions".....boy, you know that's Slaccuweather talking.

I dont usually agree with Accuweather however I do agree about the Northeast, how long has it been? 15 years?

I also can agree about Texas, after all Bret was in our last la nina season.

on the other hand we cant predict where Hurricanes are going to hit before they even form, I dont even know why they bother.

it should go, if you live from Texas to Maine get ready.

[CHRISTY]

"Weather Disaster of Historic Proportions".....boy, you know that's Slaccuweather talking.

no, you know thats Joe Bastard(i) talking, remember that lunatic said Katrina was going up to 200mph.

hey be careful remember they said no more bashing of any kind was going to be allowed.

[Rainband]

Well said Kelly.

I agree

[jasons2k]

I should add that Joe also sees a very strong ridge setting up shop this summer over the Southern Plains and retrograding, on occasion, to the Southwest. My guess is that this particular feature would be the main predicator for where an early season western GOM hurricane would track.

If that verifies, that's not good news for us in TX. Storms like Emily, etc. last year would be bumped up here instead of Mexico.

[Johnny]

I'm glad to see this thread get back on track. Good going southerngale.

Yep, hopefully Rita was a wake up call for all of us who live along the upper Texas coast. Rita had me on pins n needles when it looked like she was going to hit the San Luis Pass area. That would of been very bad for the Houston area no doubt. I live just west of Conroe and we got a few hurricane force gusts up here with sustained winds in the 55 mph range for a good while. This was with us being on the clean side of the storm. From the info. that I have been reading/researching, I don't doubt at all if I feel the effects in some way, shape or from from one or two storms this hurricane season. I still have bags of ice in my deep freeze left over from Rita last year. lol

[ROCK]

I'm glad to see this thread get back on track. Good going southerngale.

Yep, hopefully Rita was a wake up call for all of us who live along the upper Texas coast. Rita had me on pins n needles when it looked like she was going to hit the San Luis Pass area. That would of been very bad for the Houston area no doubt. I live just west of Conroe and we got a few hurricane force gusts up here with sustained winds in the 55 mph range for a good while. This was with us being on the clean side of the storm. From the info. that I have been reading/researching, I don't doubt at all if I feel the effects in some way, shape or from from one or two storms this hurricane season. I still have bags of ice in my deep freeze left over from Rita last year. lol

Still got bags also.... It was a wake up call for sure. Leave sooner rather than later or stay and have all necessary supplies to protect house and family. Learned my lesson.

[stormie_skies]

Sooner rather than later .....LOL.... how soon would one have needed to leave to avoid the Rita/Houston traffic fiasco? When she was a TS???

Seriously....I sure hope Rita wasn't just a wake up call for Houstonians .... I hope she was a wake up call for TXDOT..... contraflow, people!!!!

[Camille_2_Katrina]

I'm glad to see this thread get back on track. Good going southerngale.

Yep, hopefully Rita was a wake up call for all of us who live along the upper Texas coast. Rita had me on pins n needles when it looked like she was going to hit the San Luis Pass area. That would of been very bad for the Houston area no doubt. I live just west of Conroe and we got a few hurricane force gusts up here with sustained winds in the 55 mph range for a good while. This was with us being on the clean side of the storm. From the info. that I have been reading/researching, I don't doubt at all if I feel the effects in some way, shape or from from one or two storms this hurricane season. I still have bags of ice in my deep freeze left over from Rita last year. lol

i always find it easiest to leave late... most of the mad rush is about
48 to 24 hours before the storm hits. We left late Sunday night for
Katrina and it was smooth sailing. I refuse to get caught up in all that caos and misery.
it was a cake walk.

Still got bags also.... It was a wake up call for sure. Leave sooner rather than later or stay and have all necessary supplies to protect house and family. Learned my lesson.

[jasons2k]

Sooner rather than later .....LOL.... how soon would one have needed to leave to avoid the Rita/Houston traffic fiasco? When she was a TS???

Seriously....I sure hope Rita wasn't just a wake up call for Houstonians .... I hope she was a wake up call for TXDOT..... contraflow, people!!!!

Judging by the evacuation task force and changes Rick Perry is making, it certainly was.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Yeah, Rita was nothing! 45-55mph sustained and 61-74mph gusts recorded in Harris County did some damage (as we saw), but those type of winds are nothing like what we COULD see in the years ahead. Even a Cat. 2 direct landfall on Galveston and then up into Houston would be worse than the Cat. 3 left-side of Rita; and the worst case scenario would be a Cat. 4/5 landfall that moved up into Houston. I just couldn't even imagine the damage. I was driving back from an Astros game yesterday and thinking to myself, "Wow, this place is conjested". If a "big-one" ever did hit, this place would be full of glass, aluminum, branches EVERYWHERE! I also can not imagine the number of power/telephone poles and billboards this city would lose. All it would take is Cat. 1 sustained winds to bring Houston to a stand still...and I think a national front-page disaster is in the making if we ever see Cat. 2+ sustained winds.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Sooner rather than later .....LOL.... how soon would one have needed to leave to avoid the Rita/Houston traffic fiasco? When she was a TS???

Seriously....I sure hope Rita wasn't just a wake up call for Houstonians .... I hope she was a wake up call for TXDOT..... contraflow, people!!!!

Judging by the evacuation task force and changes Rick Perry is making, it certainly was.

One of my worries is that after all the "near-misses" of the last 23 years (and ESPECIALLY the miss of Rita) is that many will not evacuate when the next storm comes.

[HouTXmetro]

Sooner rather than later .....LOL.... how soon would one have needed to leave to avoid the Rita/Houston traffic fiasco? When she was a TS???

Seriously....I sure hope Rita wasn't just a wake up call for Houstonians .... I hope she was a wake up call for TXDOT..... contraflow, people!!!!

Judging by the evacuation task force and changes Rick Perry is making, it certainly was.

One of my worries is that after all the "near-misses" of the last 23 years (and ESPECIALLY the miss of Rita) is that many will not evacuate when the next storm comes.

I sure won't. I didn't even evacuate for Rita. But I was prepared But I do know alot of people who left for Rita that will not leave again.

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

I agree. This is always a great worry in areas that have received a lot of near misses. The above attitude no doubt contributed to the horrendous lose of life in NO.

[Extremeweatherguy]

I agree. This is always a great worry in areas that have received a lot of near misses. The above attitude no doubt contributed to the horrendous lose of life in NO.

I can remember the same attitude in Florida before the 2004 season. 2 days before Charley I tried to tell people: "I have the feeling this thing is coming to Orlando, and we could actually see hurricane force winds." The responses I received were, "Are you kidding? Everyone knows hurricanes don't hit inland", and "I heard it is going to hit Tampa...it will just be ANOTHER miss.", and there was also, "Oh it will just be a little rain and wind, but nothing more than a summertime storm". Well in the end I was right and everyone else had to learn the hard way when 100mph+ gusts ripped through the area 2 days later knocking down thousands of trees, ripping off shingles, smashing signs and windows, and shattering families. It will be the same way in Houston when we eventually get hit here. I remember before Rita trying to tell people how bad it could be and the responses I got here were even worse...the most unbelievable was, "But you can see a hurricane coming right? It is like a spiraling cloud." Obviously this person thought a hurricane and tornado were the same thing. I am very scared for Houstonions when they actually do have to face a storm. They won't know what hit them until it is too late.

[cajungal]

We don't even need a storm to hit us directly here. Hurricane Rita proved that. Storm hit 200 miles west of my town. All the way on the Texas/Louisiana border. Yet, everything below the air base in Houma was under water. Places that never ever flooded before went under due to the surge. We still had some nasty bands pass through here with Rita. Amazing with the storm being so far away. We basically have nothing protecting us from the open gulf anymore. I believe nobody is off the hook this 2006 Hurricane Season. So, if you live anywhere on the Gulf Coast or the East Coast, be prepared and have a plan ready.

[Audrey2Katrina]

I sure won't. I didn't even evacuate for Rita. But I was prepared But I do know alot of people who left for Rita that will not leave again.

Unfortunately this is EXACTLY what a lot of New Orleans' metro area folks were saying after the Ivan fiasco about 2 years ago... wanna take odds on how many regret their decision to stay?

A2K