cycloneye wrote:CapeVerdeWave wrote:Where do I get the test model runs/test model runs from?
CapeVerdeWave here is from where SF got the models
Is Storm 80.
Heyyyy that's top secret storm2k info there Luis!!!
Hurricane Test Thread
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SouthFloridawx
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TEST RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS INTO A HURRICANE...FURTHER INTENSIFICATION EXPECTED...
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
HURRICANE TEST (AL802006) ON 20060417 1800 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060417 1800 060418 0600 060418 1800 060419 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 15.5N 48.2W 16.7N 45.0W 17.6N 41.4W 18.2N 37.0W
BAMM 15.5N 48.2W 16.8N 47.9W 17.8N 46.9W 18.5N 45.5W
A98E 15.5N 48.2W 15.9N 49.8W 16.5N 50.8W 17.4N 51.3W
LBAR 15.5N 48.2W 16.4N 48.1W 17.6N 47.5W 18.9N 46.9W
SHIP 65KTS 61KTS 43KTS 22KTS
DSHP 65KTS 61KTS 43KTS 22KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060419 1800 060420 1800 060421 1800 060422 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.3N 32.1W 19.0N 21.7W 24.3N 8.7W 28.3N 8.8E
BAMM 19.0N 44.1W 19.5N 43.0W 19.5N 43.1W 18.3N 43.6W
A98E 18.1N 51.3W 20.9N 50.1W 23.3N 48.0W 26.6N 44.4W
LBAR 21.2N 46.1W 24.4N 43.1W 24.3N 39.5W 19.2N 38.3W
SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 15.5N LONCUR = 48.2W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 9KT
LATM12 = 15.1N LONM12 = 46.5W DIRM12 = 277DEG SPDM12 = 8KT
LATM24 = 15.0N LONM24 = 44.8W
WNDCUR = 65KT RMAXWD = 0NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 75NM RD34SE = 75NM RD34SW = 75NM RD34NW = 75NM
.....THE ABOVE HAS BEEN A TEST MESSAGE.....
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SouthFloridawx
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cycloneye
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x-y-no wrote:Well, one thing with these tests ... they demonstrate just how hostile the current environment is to any tropical systems. Down to 0 knots in less than 48 hours.
And look at the pressure they put in the test,1009 mbs for a 65 kt hurricane.
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and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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MiamiensisWx
Look at the latest plots. One of them (XTRAP) shows it heading in the general direction of Florida and the Bahamas! The LBAR seems to want to loop it.
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SouthFloridawx
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CapeVerdeWave wrote:Look at the latest plots. One of them (XTRAP) shows it heading in the general direction of Florida and the Bahamas! The LBAR seems to want to loop it.
That is the current direction of the storm when initiated in the model runs.
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