Hurricane Test Thread

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146215
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Hurricane Test Thread

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Apr 17, 2006 2:26 pm

WHXX01 KWBC 171743
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL STORM TEST (AL802006) ON 20060417 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060417 1200 060418 0000 060418 1200 060419 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 15.2N 47.3W 16.5N 44.2W 17.3N 40.4W 17.8N 36.2W
BAMM 15.2N 47.3W 16.6N 46.8W 17.6N 45.6W 18.3N 44.2W
A98E 15.2N 47.3W 15.5N 48.7W 16.1N 49.6W 17.1N 50.2W
LBAR 15.2N 47.3W 16.1N 47.2W 17.4N 47.0W 18.8N 45.9W
SHIP 35KTS 30KTS 17KTS 0KTS
DSHP 35KTS 30KTS 17KTS 0KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060419 1200 060420 1200 060421 1200 060422 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.0N 31.7W 18.6N 21.7W 24.2N 8.7W 28.0N 9.5E
BAMM 18.6N 43.0W 18.7N 42.7W 18.6N 43.4W 17.8N 44.1W
A98E 17.9N 50.0W 20.8N 49.1W 23.0N 47.3W 25.6N 44.2W
LBAR 21.2N 44.7W 24.1N 40.4W 23.1N 37.2W 18.3N 35.1W
SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 15.2N LONCUR = 47.3W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 8KT
LATM12 = 15.0N LONM12 = 45.6W DIRM12 = 274DEG SPDM12 = 8KT
LATM24 = 14.8N LONM24 = 43.1W
WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 0NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 75NM RD34SE = 75NM RD34SW = 75NM RD34NW = 75NM

.....THE ABOVE HAS BEEN A TEST MESSAGE.....



This is only a test not a real thing.However soon enough we will see the model guidance for the first disturbance.
Last edited by cycloneye on Mon Apr 17, 2006 4:21 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:

#2 Postby skysummit » Mon Apr 17, 2006 2:42 pm

Yup...and we'll be talking BAM this and BAM that and blah blah blah. I can't believe it's almost already here.
0 likes   

MiamiensisWx

#3 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Apr 17, 2006 2:43 pm

Me, either!
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146215
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#4 Postby cycloneye » Mon Apr 17, 2006 2:46 pm

Will this thread get the 10 pages to be the first one locked with the new rule? :)
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:

#5 Postby skysummit » Mon Apr 17, 2006 2:47 pm

I don't know what it is this year, but it surely feels like the offseason has flown by at record rates. It might have something to do with the nonstop "rebuilding New Orleans" radio shows on the local 870am every day. I cannot remember the last time I didn't hear the names Katrina or Rita in a news broadcast. I guess all of that, plus the very warm temperatures we're experiencing so early in the year is making June 1 come up very very quick.

Speaking of warm temps, we broke our record high today. It's currently 90 degrees as of the last hour in NOLA.
0 likes   

MiamiensisWx

#6 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Apr 17, 2006 2:50 pm

Image

BEAR WATCH!

:eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A BEAR WATCH FOR ALL ATLANTIC BASIN WATERS AND THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

STORM2K

We are going to be using this a lot this year.

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

I'll be posting the bear watches as they are issued.

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
terstorm1012
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1314
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 5:36 pm
Location: Millersburg, PA

#7 Postby terstorm1012 » Mon Apr 17, 2006 2:56 pm

cvw...you're a goof :-) :cheesy:

(i mean this as an endearing compliment!) :D
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#8 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Apr 17, 2006 3:05 pm

Image of the model plots in the current test.

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
P.K.
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 5149
Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
Location: Watford, England
Contact:

#9 Postby P.K. » Mon Apr 17, 2006 3:11 pm

If it follows the BAMD track we might get another Mediterranean storm. :wink: :lol:
0 likes   

MiamiensisWx

#10 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Apr 17, 2006 3:19 pm

terstorm1012 wrote:cvw...you're a goof :) :cheesy:

(i mean this as an endearing compliment!) :D


Thanks! I am NOT -removed-, though, and I never want to even think about doing it. Do you trust me?
0 likes   

MiamiensisWx

#11 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Apr 17, 2006 3:22 pm

Where do I get the test model runs/test model runs from?
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#12 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Apr 17, 2006 3:23 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:
terstorm1012 wrote:cvw...you're a goof :) :cheesy:

(i mean this as an endearing compliment!) :D


Thanks! I am NOT -removed-, though, and I never want to even think about doing it. Do you trust me?


The Truth ... you can't handle the truth!!!!!
0 likes   

MiamiensisWx

#13 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Apr 17, 2006 3:24 pm

You don't trust me?

:oops: :oops: :oops: :oops:
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#14 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Apr 17, 2006 3:25 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:You don't trust me?

:oops: :oops: :oops: :oops:


It was a movie quote
0 likes   

MiamiensisWx

#15 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Apr 17, 2006 3:25 pm

Oh. You do trust me?

:) :) :) :)
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#16 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Apr 17, 2006 3:26 pm

Luis, this just proves that, "If you post it, they will come".. LOL Field of dreams
0 likes   

MiamiensisWx

#17 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Apr 17, 2006 3:28 pm

Yep, true, SouthFloridawx!
0 likes   

User avatar
LSU_Weatherguy
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 203
Joined: Sun Jul 03, 2005 2:59 pm
Location: Baton Rouge, Louisiana

#18 Postby LSU_Weatherguy » Mon Apr 17, 2006 3:33 pm

Test one two three test test
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#19 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Apr 17, 2006 3:34 pm

Test bump!!
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146215
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#20 Postby cycloneye » Mon Apr 17, 2006 3:35 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:Where do I get the test model runs/test model runs from?


CapeVerdeWave here is from where SF got the models

Is Storm 80. :)
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Cpv17, Tak5, wileytheartist and 75 guests