Hurricane Alley 2006 season Landfall Forecast

[AussieMark]

one area that I know is wrong. The Georgia coastline is shaded in at >50% yet they have not seen a major hurricane in this century

Looking more closely at this map there are few areas I actually agree with. How can they say SE FL has 0% chance?

The georgia coastline has not seen a major hurricane since 1898
and no hurricane has made landfall since 1979

what would happen today if storm like this happened today?


http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1898/7/track.gif

[Evil Jeremy]

SE florida not being hit though the Bahamas, Cuba, and SW FL are being hit? whats wrong with that picture?

[weatherwoman132]

lol.

[gatorcane]

SE florida not being hit though the Bahamas, Cuba, and SW FL are being hit? whats wrong with that picture

?

Ever see that Seinfeld episode where Kramer and Newman are trying to explain the spit that hit them at a baseball game. It's similar to this: The hurricane would hit Cuba the move up to the Bahamas then make a sharp left (in mid air mind you) and hit SW FL and miss SE FL.

[gatorcane]

SE florida not being hit though the Bahamas, Cuba, and SW FL are being hit? whats wrong with that picture

?

Ever see that Seinfeld episode where Kramer and Newman are trying to explain the spit that hit them at a baseball game. It's similar to this: The hurricane would hit Cuba the move up to the Bahamas then make a sharp left (in mid air mind you) and hit SW FL and miss SE FL.

[Javlin]

Well at the end of May Gray will being doing something the like's of this and lets just say that alot of these areas he claim's also.Will some of the same people give him the same snafu as the Alley since the Alley may of Progged the areas first months in advance.There record may not be perfect but what PREDICTION is?These people(Gray,Alley and others) are only doing what we do with much more sophistication than we can do it by reading patterns, trends and data.

[Stormcenter]

I thought Hurricane Alley usually updates their site by now. No updates since January. I thought last year they went month by month. Last year almost all of SE LA was shaded in the red and it was accurate. This time none of Louisiana or upper TX is shaded. Meaning less than 30% chance. While interesting to look at, it is not always accurate. Most of the site you have to donate money just to get any info. And they hardly ever update. I guess they won't be updating until May or June. Almost all the East Coast is shaded.

That would GREAT news for the Lousiana folks if their prediction pans out. They need a break for at least one season just to prepare for the "next" big storm. I personally believe La. will avoid the big storms this season.