Possible tropical System Forming in the Bahamas?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23694
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#201 Postby gatorcane » Wed Apr 12, 2006 1:58 pm

GUYS CHECK THIS OUT U CAN MAKE OUT A ROTATION NEAR THE BAHAMAS!


CHRISTY - you may be right for posting this topic -

this is going to get really interesting as ridging is building over the entire western Atlantic.....it is only April and conditions are still unfavorable especially since the SSTs are only in the mid to upper 70s :eek:

http://met.psu.edu/~arnottj/CHARM/tcgen ... //slp4.png
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#202 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:00 pm

skysummit wrote:Ok...so which area are you all concerned with? A or B ?


I would be more conderned with area A as it is under less shear than area B. Not that I am concerned about it at all really. LOL
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

#203 Postby Evil Jeremy » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:00 pm

(a) because it is already rotating. it is also heading towards warm waters.
Last edited by Evil Jeremy on Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#204 Postby skysummit » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:00 pm

So...on my pic...which area are you guys concerned with? A or B?
0 likes   
Top
CHRISTY

#205 Postby CHRISTY » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:00 pm

boca_chris wrote:
GUYS CHECK THIS OUT U CAN MAKE OUT A ROTATION NEAR THE BAHAMAS!


CHRISTY - you may be right for posting this topic -

this is going to get really interesting as ridging is building over the entire western Atlantic.....it is only April and conditions are still unfavorable especially since the SSTs are only in the mid to upper 70s :eek:

http://met.psu.edu/~arnottj/CHARM/tcgen ... //slp4.png
HEY BOCA THAT LINK ISNT WORKING POST IT AGAIN!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23694
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#206 Postby gatorcane » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:02 pm

http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi ... hour=012hr
0 likes   
Top
CHRISTY

#207 Postby CHRISTY » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:02 pm

HERE GUYS HERE'S ANOTHER VIEW! YOU CAN CLEARLY MAKE OUT A ROTATION....

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23694
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#208 Postby gatorcane » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:02 pm

any comments from pro mets please?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#209 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:03 pm

Can we post a little less images as the images before are getting pushed back. Thanks.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
feederband
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3423
Joined: Wed Oct 01, 2003 6:21 pm
Location: Lakeland Fl

#210 Postby feederband » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:03 pm

Well at least we have something to talk about in April... :wink:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#211 Postby skysummit » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:04 pm

I also see what looks to be a rotation near "B".

Here are the current winds in that area....

Image
0 likes   
Top
CHRISTY

#212 Postby CHRISTY » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:04 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:Can we post a little less images as the images before are getting pushed back. Thanks.
IAM ONLY POSTING IMAGES OF WHAT WE ARE TALKIN ABOUT....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23694
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#213 Postby gatorcane » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:05 pm

comments from pro mets? This is a rather interesting setup for April....

we have August like ridging in the Western Atlantic and a system that should have a window of opportunity of low shear int he nex 24 hours

of course things can change quickly this time of year.
Last edited by gatorcane on Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#214 Postby skysummit » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:05 pm

How about this.....post static images, but for loops post links?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

#215 Postby Evil Jeremy » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:07 pm

could this mean an earlier begining to hurricane season than last year?
0 likes   
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23694
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#216 Postby gatorcane » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:09 pm

Image
Last edited by gatorcane on Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
MiamiensisWx

#217 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:10 pm

Look at the southwest piece... it seems to be separating and forming some convection/a circulation. This may be the place to look for development, if it occurs. Does anyone agree?

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23694
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#218 Postby gatorcane » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:11 pm

Yes, I think this is going to get interesting...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
feederband
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3423
Joined: Wed Oct 01, 2003 6:21 pm
Location: Lakeland Fl

#219 Postby feederband » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:12 pm

Maybe...We need more time..It might not even be there in 12-24 hrs..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

#220 Postby Evil Jeremy » Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:12 pm

that is what ive been looking at all along. here is somthing most people dont want to hear: after looking at a radar loop (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html) it seems that it could be heading in the direction of S. Florida.
0 likes   
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Jr0d and 60 guests