Possible tropical System Forming in the Bahamas?

[SouthFloridawx]

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[MiamiensisWx]

I see little, if any, rotation. Am I missing something? There may be some rotation, but it is very slight.

[CHRISTY]

I see little, if any, rotation. Am I missing something? There may be some rotation, but it is very slight.

maybe not yea its just to early for anything!

[MiamiensisWx]

The system is sheared right now. It might have a slightly better chance if the shear relaxes, but it is rather doubtful.

[MiamiensisWx]

Shear is 30KT to 40KT over the system... development chances are most likely very slight.

[gatorcane]

I'd say the chances are zero.

[MiamiensisWx]

I'd say the chances are zero.

Actually, I think slight chances are there, if manages to fight off the shear and if the shearing environment relaxes. However, I agree that chances are slight at most.

[CHRISTY]

no to much talk on the low pressure trying to form!

FXUS62 KMFL 101836
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
236 PM EDT MON APR 10 2006

.DISCUSSION...SOUTH FLORIDA WILL REMAIN SANDWICHED BETWEEN FAIRLY
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC TO LOW PRESSURE
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN. THIS WILL RESULT IN A STRONG EASTERLY FLOW
THROUGH MID WEEK...BEFORE RELAXING LATE IN THE WEEK AS THE RIDGE
MOVES FURTHER SOUTH CLOSER TO THE AREA. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TONIGHT ALONG THE EAST COAST...THEN IT WILL BECOME WINDY
AGAIN TOMORROW ACROSS ALL AREAS...PREVAILING OUT OF THE NORTHEAST
AT 20-25 MPH AND GUSTY. GFS SHOWS A LOW LEVEL WIND SURGE TOMORROW
EVENING...DEPICTING 30-35 KNOTS AT 925 MB. EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO
AT LEAST 30 MPH TOMORROW AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING. DANGEROUS
RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES DUE TO THIS
STRONG ONSHORE FLOW.

[gatorcane]

A low level wind surge? Never heard of that before. Sounds like our friends at the NWS Miami are already preparing for "hurricane" terminology

[MiamiensisWx]

Ridging returns!

[CHRISTY]

Ridging returns!

pretty big ridge out to 144 hrs.

[Scorpion]

Excellent. I cannot deal with this kind of weather. I hope the rest of the month, and May, stays warm and dry.

[spinfan4eva]

Looks like more clouds today than 24 hrs ago. Maybe something going?

[MiamiensisWx]

The clouds are from an area of disturbed weather off the southeast Florida coast.

[boca]

Low level winds surge is the building of higher pressure into the area and acompanied by a surge of showers kind of a tiny front from the push of stronger winds into the region.

[skysummit]

Boy would this be interesting if we were a little further along the way. Check out the little low on the southern end of the cold front. Pressures aren't that low except for just off the tip of Cuba where it's around 1007.8mb. There is a counterclockwise circulation at the surface too. Plus, check out that ENE 36mph wind just north of the Yucatan. At times it looks like showers try to form near the center, but they get sheared apart really quick.

[MiamiensisWx]

Strong high pressure ridge and gradiant here... strong onshore flow at northeast to east-northeast at 20MPH to 25MPH. This is also providing lots of shear, preventing development.

[cheezyWXguy]

truw, CVW,
P.S. love the icon...Rita, right?

[HURAKAN]

Looks pretty naked, don't you agree?!?!?!?

[MiamiensisWx]

Yep, it's Rita in my avatar, cheezywxman.