NWS MIA Confirms a Strong Bermuda High, a Precursor?

CHRISTY · #321 Postby **CHRISTY** » Tue Apr 04, 2006 9:22 pm

i was just watching WB 39 news and john jarrad said now is the time to prepare becaues this season might start with a bang!and he also stressed that 06 has all the symtoms of 2005.sowe will see.

#322 Postby **gatorcane** » Tue Apr 04, 2006 9:24 pm

i was just watching WB 39 news and john jarrad said now is the time to prepare becaues this season might start with a bang!and he also stressed that 06 has all the symtoms of 2005.sowe will see.

start like a bang? That would have to be a storm from the Caribbean....conditions are nowhere near favorable now but by June they could be.

MiamiensisWx · #323 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Tue Apr 04, 2006 9:24 pm

boca_chris wrote:It's only the beginning of April, what you see in that pic should not be happening so early...more like a summer-time setup except there is some good troughiness in the Western US - unlike summer.

Actually, western U.S. troughiness has a tendency to enhance and strengthen ridges (including summer-like ridges over the Atlantic). The ridge may likely be bigger (and very potentially stronger) than what the GFS shows.

CHRISTY · #324 Postby **CHRISTY** » Tue Apr 04, 2006 9:25 pm

OUR RAIN CHANCES ARE GONE....

FXUS62 KMFL 050129
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1000 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2006

.UPDATE...THE LATE AFTERNOON GPSMET DATA SHOWED THAT MOST OF OUR
ZONES WERE STILL RELATIVELY DRY. UNFORTUNATELY AS THE AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS MOVED SOUTH FROM THE CENTER OF THE PENINSULA WE LOST
THIS DATA. HOWEVER JUDGING FROM THE REACTION OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
THE DRY AIR WAS STILL IN PLACE AND OUR AFTERNOON ACTIVITY DISSIPATED
RAPIDLY AFTER MOVING OVER OUR EXTREME NORTHERN ZONES AND THE LAKE.
SO HAVE UPDATED THE ZONES TO REMOVE THE CONVECTION AND ANY FOG.

#325 Postby **gatorcane** » Tue Apr 04, 2006 9:26 pm

Check out the NOGAPS!!! It's also build in a huge monster Azores High and another ridge over the entire Eastern US. :eek:

Scorpion · #326 Postby **Scorpion** » Tue Apr 04, 2006 9:31 pm

Wow, strong agreement between models. Still, since its not August it's of no concern. It's actually quite nice. Warm, dry weather. 8-)

CHRISTY · #327 Postby **CHRISTY** » Tue Apr 04, 2006 9:33 pm

YES IT WAS MY BAD GUYS..... :roll:

#328 Postby **gatorcane** » Tue Apr 04, 2006 9:34 pm

Christy I believe it is an old run, from January... :cheesy:

Scorpion · #329 Postby **Scorpion** » Tue Apr 04, 2006 9:34 pm

Lol. Never seen the GFDL show absolutely nothing on a map.

#330 Postby **gatorcane** » Tue Apr 04, 2006 9:37 pm

CHRISTY · #331 Postby **CHRISTY** » Tue Apr 04, 2006 9:38 pm

i wonder if there any globel model out there that is specifically for the atlantic ridge?that would be very helpful!

CHRISTY · #332 Postby **CHRISTY** » Tue Apr 04, 2006 10:10 pm

here's the link to Gray's forecast by county!

http://www.e-transit.org/hurricane/map.asp

#333 Postby **gatorcane** » Tue Apr 04, 2006 10:50 pm

This is a great link. Thanks!

CHRISTY · #334 Postby **CHRISTY** » Wed Apr 05, 2006 6:11 am

HERE'S THE LASTEST....

000
FXUS62 KMFL 050946 AAA
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
545 AM EDT WED APR 5 2006

.UPDATE...ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM FOR
GLADES...HENDRY...WESTERN PALM BEACH...WESTERN BROWARD...AND EASTERN
COLLIER COUNTIES. VISIBILITY AT PUNTA GORDA FELL TO LESS THAN A
QUARTER MILE AND FORT PIERCE HAS DROPPED TO A QUARTER MILE AS WELL.
SATELLITE FOG CHANNEL SHOWS LOW CLOUDS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF DENSE
FOG ENCOMPASSING INTERIOR SOUTH FLORIDA...ESPECIALLY NEAR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. CALL TO THE MOORE HAVEN SHERIFF`S OFFICE CONFIRMED THIS
BELIEF...AND THUS THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY WAS ISSUED. PATCHY FOG WILL
BE SEEN ELSEWHERE EVEN NEAR THE COAST...BUT VISIBILITIES ACROSS
THESE AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL MUCH HIGHER AT BETWEEN 3-5
MILES. /DG

CHRISTY · #335 Postby **CHRISTY** » Wed Apr 05, 2006 10:18 am

VERY LASTEST....

000
FXUS62 KMFL 051450 AAA
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1045 AM EDT WED APR 5 2006

THE AREAS OF DENSE EARLY MORNING FOG HAVE DISSIPATED WITH CURRENT
CLEAR SKIES OVER ENTIRE FLORIDA PENINSULA. LATEST 12Z ETA MODEL RUN
INDICATES THAT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ACROSS MOST OF INLAND PORTIONS
OF SOUTH FLORIDA ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT TODAY FOR
SEVERAL HOURS OR MORE...EXCEPT FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN COLLIER
COLLIER COUNTY WHERE WESTERLY WINDS FROM THE SEA BREEZE MAY HELP TO
KEEP HUMIDITIES UP IN AREAS ALONG THE COAST. THEREFORE RED FLAG
WARNING CONTINUES TO BE IN EFFECT.

Weatherfreak000 · #336 Postby **Weatherfreak000** » Wed Apr 05, 2006 10:30 am

boca_chris wrote:Check out the NOGAPS!!! It's also build in a huge monster Azores High and another ridge over the entire Eastern US.

Boy this would be a fun setup for the season would it? :eek:

Scary stuff.

#337 Postby **windycity** » Wed Apr 05, 2006 11:54 am

EEKKS !!!! Lets start preparing ,folks!! :lol:

CHRISTY · #338 Postby **CHRISTY** » Wed Apr 05, 2006 6:38 pm

SOME SHOWERS STILL POSSIBLE BUT I JUST DONT SEE IT HAPPENING...

000
FXUS62 KMFL 051857
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
257 PM EDT WED APR 5 2006

.DISCUSSION...

THE WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS PUSHED THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA AND IS
CURRENTLY NEAR THE KEYS. THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS CONTINUE TO BE
STABLE AND NO PRECIP IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. CURRENT
GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT A COLD FRONT COULD SWEEP THROUGH SOUTH
FLORIDA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH SOME ACCOMPANYING PRECIP
AND EXTENDING INTO MONDAY. WILL HAVE TO SEE IF THE FUTURE MODEL RUNS
CONTINUE TO LOCK ONTO THIS SOLUTION AND ADJUST THE POPS
ACCORDINGLY...BUT SCATTERED SHOWERS MAY BE POSSIBLE.

benny · #339 Postby **benny** » Wed Apr 05, 2006 6:48 pm

It is going to rain in Florida on Monday/Tuesday.. nothing to worry about

At least a good chance...better than I have seen in quite some time. Why in the world is everyone getting worked up about strong high pressure in the Atlantic basin in April??? It oscillates up and down with the periodicity of about 4-6 weeks... and really has no relevance to TC landfall in the USA!!! I guess everyone is bored

CHRISTY · #340 Postby **CHRISTY** » Wed Apr 05, 2006 7:10 pm

LOOK AT THIS MONSTER RIDGE...

NWS MIA Confirms a Strong Bermuda High, a Precursor?

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