NWS MIA Confirms a Strong Bermuda High, a Precursor?

[skysummit]

These people that wish for hurricanes have obviously not experienced one. Just because they go through a couple feeder bands 100 miles away from the center and get 40 - 60 mph winds doesn't mean they've experienced a hurricane. If you TRULY experienced a hurricane, you do not want to again. It's absolutely amazing on how loud winds of 120 - 150mph are. Plus, you all must not have any personal value, friends or family members. You want a major hurricane? Get your butts here and help clean up for a few days then re-think it. I promise you'll change your mind.

[SouthFloridawx]

These people that wish for hurricanes have obviously not experienced one. Just because they go through a couple feeder bands 100 miles away from the center and get 40 - 60 mph winds doesn't mean they've experienced a hurricane. If you TRULY experienced a hurricane, you do not want to again. It's absolutely amazing on how loud winds of 120 - 150mph are. Plus, you all must not have any personal value, friends or family members. You want a major hurricane? Get your butts here and help clean up for a few days then re-think it. I promise you'll change your mind.

I remember going through Wilma, Frances and Jeanne. The one thing that struck me odd was the loud roaring sound up in the sky. It is a sound I will never forget because it is really eirie. The highest winds i have experienced were around 110 I can't imagine what 150 are like. I think I would be a little more worried than 110 MPH.

[gatorcane]

well-said, I agree. Being off school or work without power for weeks and destruction everywhere gets old quick

Very well-said

[HouTXmetro]

I don't know how one can conlude there will be a strong bermuda high this hurricane season based on weather in March.

[CHRISTY]

COOL WEATHER IS OVER FOR FLORIDA AND A CONTINUED WARMING IS TO FOLLOW!THIS HIGH PRESSURE RIGDE WILL NOT BUDGE HOPEFULLY ITS NOT A SIGN OF THINGS TO COME.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
312 PM EDT MON APR 3 2006

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES SOUTHWARD TO NORTH FLORIDA BY TONIGHT...APPROACH
CENTRAL FLORIDA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND APPROACH SOUTH FLORIDA BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...LITTLE IN THE WAY OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM. THE LATEST SUITE OF
MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THERE IS NOT SUFFICIENT SYNOPTIC SCALE
DYNAMICS TO SUPPORT MUCH VERTICAL MOTION OR CHANCES OF PRECIP. IN
ADDITION...GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE SURFACE RIDGE BUILDING IN
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE WEAK WITH ANY POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
COLD AIR ADVECTION MAKING IT TO SOUTH FLORIDA REDUCED...WITH ONLY A
SLIGHT IMPACT ON MINIMUM OR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA.

IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD...THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS WILL REMAIN STABLE
AND INHIBIT MUCH CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH MOST OF THIS
WEEK...WITH LATEST GUIDANCE INDICATING ANOTHER WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM
APPROACHING FLORIDA LATER ON THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...AS THE REGION IS UNDER WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AND WITH
VARIABLE WINDS EXPECTED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED WEAK FRONTAL
SYSTEM...FAIRLY TRANQUIL SEAS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH
A GRADUAL INCREASE THEREAFTER WHEN THE WINDS INCREASE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WHILE THE FRONT DISCUSSED ABOVE IS EXPECTED TO BE
WEAK IN TERMS OF ASSOCIATED WEATHER AND TEMPERATURE
IMPACTS...THERE WILL BE SOME DRYING OUT AT THE SURFACE AS
REFLECTED IN THE SURFACE DEW POINT FORECAST. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
ARE FORECAST TO BE BELOW 35 PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
AFTERNOONS.

&&

[greeng13]

according to that i would say that cold weather is ON THE WAY for fla.

should get to your area around wednesday...unless i am reading it wrong.

A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES SOUTHWARD TO NORTH FLORIDA BY TONIGHT...APPROACH
CENTRAL FLORIDA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND APPROACH SOUTH FLORIDA BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY.

[gatorcane]

according to that i would say that cold weather is ON THE WAY for fla.

should get to your area around wednesday...unless i am reading it wrong.

Yes, it will get slightly cooler here, but not much. This will be the last "cool" down for the season.

[SouthFloridawx]

Not much of a cool down here in boynton beach, fl

Wednesday: A 10 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a high near 81. West wind at 6 mph becoming east.

Wednesday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Northeast wind between 8 and 10 mph.

Thursday: A 10 percent chance of showers after 8am. Partly cloudy, with a high around 82. East wind between 9 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Thursday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low near 68. East wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

[windycity]

Not much of a front for us in so. Fl.. The high will prevent much of a cool down.

[SouthFloridawx]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
312 PM EDT MON APR 3 2006

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES SOUTHWARD TO NORTH FLORIDA BY TONIGHT...APPROACH
CENTRAL FLORIDA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND APPROACH SOUTH FLORIDA BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...LITTLE IN THE WAY OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM. THE LATEST SUITE OF
MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THERE IS NOT SUFFICIENT SYNOPTIC SCALE
DYNAMICS TO SUPPORT MUCH VERTICAL MOTION OR CHANCES OF PRECIP. IN
ADDITION...GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE SURFACE RIDGE BUILDING IN
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE WEAK WITH ANY POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
COLD AIR ADVECTION MAKING IT TO SOUTH FLORIDA REDUCED...WITH ONLY A
SLIGHT IMPACT ON MINIMUM OR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA.

I see now... only a slight impact on minimum or maximum temps across south florida.

[CHRISTY]

according to that i would say that cold weather is ON THE WAY for fla.

should get to your area around wednesday...unless i am reading it wrong.

A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES SOUTHWARD TO NORTH FLORIDA BY TONIGHT...APPROACH
CENTRAL FLORIDA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND APPROACH SOUTH FLORIDA BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY.

this is not a cool down what so ever maybe a takedown of 2 to 4 degrees.my point is get ready for really warm temps early next week.

[windycity]

Warm temps+ warm SSTs + LaNina = not good .Next week temps will climb to mid 80s. You know what that does to our SSTs, and its only the first of April!!!!

[MiamiensisWx]

These people that wish for hurricanes have obviously not experienced one. Just because they go through a couple feeder bands 100 miles away from the center and get 40 - 60 mph winds doesn't mean they've experienced a hurricane. If you TRULY experienced a hurricane, you do not want to again. It's absolutely amazing on how loud winds of 120 - 150mph are. Plus, you all must not have any personal value, friends or family members. You want a major hurricane? Get your butts here and help clean up for a few days then re-think it. I promise you'll change your mind.

AMEN! The aftermath is horrible. It was for me.

[gatorcane]

keep in mind, for those that don't know, that Florida usually still see cool fronts come through FL into May. But this year it doesn't appear that will happen due to the dominant upper-lever ridging across the Western Atlantic and Caribbean.

BTW - I'm querying the NWS Miami to see if they can comment on the Bermuda High dominance so far...previously they did not want to say it would persist into summer - perhaps that now a month has gone by and it is still a major player, their views may be different. I'll post it once I get it.

[windycity]

ya, it was a royal pain. We stayed for all of them and lost power for 30 days combined. Yet, i am totally aware HOW much worse it could of been. People in S. Fl. are spoiled and i am one of them. This year, however, im going to try NOT to whine.

[JPmia]

keep in mind, for those that don't know, that Florida usually still see cool fronts come through FL into May. But this year it doesn't appear that will happen due to the dominant upper-lever ridging across the Western Atlantic and Caribbean.

BTW - I'm querying the NWS Miami to see if they can comment on the Bermuda High dominance so far...previously they did not want to say it would persist into summer - perhaps that now a month has gone by and it is still a major player, their views may be different. I'll post it once I get it.

Ask them about this tid bit of information from Weatherunderground (who I assume got it from NWS):

Statement as of 8:05 am EDT on April 03, 2006

"... Record low rainfall for Fort Lauderdale...

Rainfall for the month of March only total 0.03 of an inch at Fort
Lauderdale. This is a record for the month. The previous record was
0.07 of an inch set in 1945 and 1949."

[HurricaneHunter914]

This Bermuda high in its current state might make this season alot like 04' am I right?

[JPmia]

This Bermuda high in its current state might make this season alot like 04' am I right?

watch for Dr. Gray's analog years in tomorrow's forecast update.

[windycity]

Maybe we will find out tonight what Grey has to say!!

[CHRISTY]

thats what iam hopeing for also!