Let's hope a pattern change for upcoming hurricane season.

greeng13 · #41 Postby **greeng13** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 7:45 pm

not scientific.... but isn't it "April" showers that bring May flowers?

#42 Postby **Hybridstorm_November2001** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 7:47 pm

Yup. Here is hoping :bday:

CHRISTY · #43 Postby **CHRISTY** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 7:47 pm

hial2 wrote:
skysummit wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:yea i know...but i have a feelin hurricane katrina will not hold the title for to long for the worst US natural disaster.it will be taken from here this season just wait and see!

Christy, I hope you're wrong. I can barely pay my homeowner's insurance as it is. I Know lots of people who are on the brink of disaster (money wise) because of the outrageous amount paid to the only insurance company that will take them, Citizens Insurance..
I don't know what will happen to Florida if we get hit by a hurricane of any strenght..In fact, this will apply even if a hurricane hits anywhere in the U.S.

hey iam not to scare anyone iam justing expressing my feelings on might happen!but i just everyone to know that possibility is really there in 2006!

Rainband · #44 Postby **Rainband** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 7:51 pm

The possibility is always there. The fact is we won't know until it happens. From what I am hearing the NE needs to watch out this year. Hopefully Florida will be spared. Interesting note, Brush fires are really bad this year again. Last time it has been this bad was 98 and Florida remained safe from Major strikes. hopefully this year is the same.

#45 Postby **EDR1222** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 7:59 pm

It is important to remember that April is normally a dry month for Florida. I still don't think this is any cause for alarm yet.

I think it will be interesting to see if this pattern holds into the latter part of May and early June.

Rainband · #46 Postby **Rainband** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 7:59 pm

EDR1222 wrote:It is important to remember that April is normally a dry month for Florida. I still don't think this is any cause for alarm yet.

I think it will be interesting to see if this pattern holds into the latter part of May and early June.

I agree 1000%

#47 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 8:11 pm

I think we'll see a major Hugo-Andrew like hurricane hit the East coast of the U.S this year. Not necessarily, FL, although they are prime target - I'm thinking carolinas this time :eek:

If the ridge persists and La nina develops - storms tend to hit the carolinas more....could be Floyd-like scenario for S. Florida - a major comes close but turns north about 200-300 miles offshore.

Or course, with the way things are going for FL lately - I doubt it :eek:

CHRISTY · #48 Postby **CHRISTY** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 8:19 pm

i agree with the floyd idea boca but florida has been active with hurricane strikes both in 2004 and 2005!i see no reason why that might not continue!!

#49 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 8:21 pm

between 1945 and 1950 FL was hit by a major each year and more than once in a year so it has happened before.

CHRISTY · #50 Postby **CHRISTY** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 8:35 pm

yes it has and i just dont think people know this!we may very well return to a similar pattern.i have done a lot of research on florida hurricane strikes trust me.we have to be ready for what may very well be a long period were florida is struck every year!history is going to repeat it self its only a matter of time.

MiamiensisWx · #51 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 9:46 pm

I think the latest Miami NWS discussion - which is expecting weakening of the ridge - may be based on a bad run because it is so short. Also, the more detailed latest Melbourne NWS discussion does not expect this weakening. Does anyone agree?

#52 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 9:49 pm

Winds E at 15-20mph with higher gusts after midnight tonight. It's intensifying right now as we speak.

HurricaneHunter914 · #53 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 9:49 pm

I agree somewhat but this ridge has lasted for a whole month I won't be suprised if it lasts all of the 06' season.

#54 Postby **windycity** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 10:10 pm

yep,the whole freaking season.I think this ridge is sticking around. HE likes Florida ! :bday:

#55 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 10:17 pm

I agree somewhat but this ridge has lasted for a whole month I won't be suprised if it lasts all of the 06' season.

Negative ghostrider. The ridge has been around off and on (more on) all winter season.

Snippet from NWS Mia discussion several weeks ago.

000
FXUS62 KMFL 111756
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
200 PM EST SAT MAR 11 2006

DISCUSSION...THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE CARIBBEAN..GULF OF MEXICO AND
THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC HAS BEEN THE PREDOMINATE FEATURE ALL
WINTER. SO FAR THERE HAVE ONLY BEEN A COUPLE OF OCCASIONS DURING
WHICH A TROUGH HAS BEEN STRONG ENOUGH TO DIG DOWN INTO THE EASTERN
U.S. AND BRING COLD AIR TO OUR ZONES. THESE WERE THE TWO FREEZE
.
.
.
.

#56 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 10:25 pm

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8v4km.GIF

#57 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 10:25 pm

MiamiensisWx · #58 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 10:27 pm

Winds are east in my area!

HurricaneHunter914 · #59 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 10:36 pm

I wonder what that pretty little system in the central Atlantic is up to. Probably a part of a trough.

#60 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 10:38 pm

wonder what that pretty little system in the central Atlantic is up to. Probably a part of a trough.

Wind shear is around 80K in that area. It has 0% chance:

Let's hope a pattern change for upcoming hurricane season.

Re: Christy....

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