LOOK AT THE HEADINGS OF THE IMAGES AND YOU WOULD SEE A CHANGE FROM 65 KNOTS TO 105 KNOTS IN A MATTER OF HOURS. IS FLOYD INTENSIFYING FAST OR NRL LATE IN RESPONDING?!?!?!?
SE Indian Ocean: Severe TC Floyd
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
-
Matt-hurricanewatcher
-
Matt-hurricanewatcher
-
P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0051UTC 24 MARCH 2006
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0000UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal two South [15.2S]
Longitude one hundred and eight decimal one East [108.1E]
Recent movement : SSW at 8 knots.
Maximum winds : 105 knots.
Central pressure : 915 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 105 knots near centre.
Within 20 nautical miles of centre winds above 64 knots with very high to
phenomenal seas and moderate to heavy swell.
Within 40 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots with high seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
Within 90 nautical miles of centre winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
At 1200UTC 24 March: 16.5 south 108.0 east
Central pressure 915 hPa
Winds to 105 knots near centre.
At 0000UTC 25 March: 17.2 south 108.3 east
Central pressure 915 hPa
Winds to 105 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 0700 UTC 24 March 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0051UTC 24 MARCH 2006
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0000UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal two South [15.2S]
Longitude one hundred and eight decimal one East [108.1E]
Recent movement : SSW at 8 knots.
Maximum winds : 105 knots.
Central pressure : 915 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 105 knots near centre.
Within 20 nautical miles of centre winds above 64 knots with very high to
phenomenal seas and moderate to heavy swell.
Within 40 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots with high seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
Within 90 nautical miles of centre winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
At 1200UTC 24 March: 16.5 south 108.0 east
Central pressure 915 hPa
Winds to 105 knots near centre.
At 0000UTC 25 March: 17.2 south 108.3 east
Central pressure 915 hPa
Winds to 105 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 0700 UTC 24 March 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
0 likes
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HurricaneHunter914
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
-
Matt-hurricanewatcher
Cat4
WTXS31 PGTW 240300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FLOYD) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
240000Z --- NEAR 15.1S 108.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S 108.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 16.1S 107.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 17.1S 108.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 18.0S 109.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 18.6S 109.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 20.4S 109.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
240300Z POSITION NEAR 15.4S 108.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (FLOYD), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 540 NM
NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK
SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE WEAKNESS IN THE STEERING FLOW NORTH OF THE
MIDLATITUDE TROUGH AXIS . STORM INTENSITY WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE AS
TC 19S TRACKS TOWARD HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO THE SOUTH.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 240900Z, 241500Z, 242100Z AND 250300Z.//
NNNN
WTXS31 PGTW 240300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FLOYD) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
240000Z --- NEAR 15.1S 108.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S 108.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 16.1S 107.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 17.1S 108.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 18.0S 109.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 18.6S 109.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 20.4S 109.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
240300Z POSITION NEAR 15.4S 108.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (FLOYD), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 540 NM
NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK
SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE WEAKNESS IN THE STEERING FLOW NORTH OF THE
MIDLATITUDE TROUGH AXIS . STORM INTENSITY WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE AS
TC 19S TRACKS TOWARD HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO THE SOUTH.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 240900Z, 241500Z, 242100Z AND 250300Z.//
NNNN
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CHRISTY
-
HurricaneHunter914
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
-
CHRISTY
-
HurricaneHunter914
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
-
P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0648UTC 24 MARCH 2006
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0600UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal eight South [15.8S]
Longitude one hundred and eight decimal three East [108.3E]
Recent movement : S at 6 knots.
Maximum winds : 100 knots.
Central pressure : 920 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 100 knots near centre.
Within 20 nautical miles of centre winds above 64 knots with very high to
phenomenal seas and moderate to heavy swell.
Within 40 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots with high seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
Within 90 nautical miles of centre winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
At 1800UTC 24 March: 16.6 south 108.3 east
Central pressure 935 hPa
Winds to 90 knots near centre.
At 0600UTC 25 March: 17.5 south 108.6 east
Central pressure 955 hPa
Winds to 75 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 1300 UTC 24 March 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0648UTC 24 MARCH 2006
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0600UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal eight South [15.8S]
Longitude one hundred and eight decimal three East [108.3E]
Recent movement : S at 6 knots.
Maximum winds : 100 knots.
Central pressure : 920 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 100 knots near centre.
Within 20 nautical miles of centre winds above 64 knots with very high to
phenomenal seas and moderate to heavy swell.
Within 40 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots with high seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
Within 90 nautical miles of centre winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
At 1800UTC 24 March: 16.6 south 108.3 east
Central pressure 935 hPa
Winds to 90 knots near centre.
At 0600UTC 25 March: 17.5 south 108.6 east
Central pressure 955 hPa
Winds to 75 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 1300 UTC 24 March 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
0 likes
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Starting to fill.
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1836UTC 24 MARCH 2006
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 1800UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of
Latitude seventeen decimal one South [17.1S]
Longitude one hundred and eight decimal five East [108.5E]
Recent movement : SSE at 6 knots.
Maximum winds : 90 knots.
Central pressure : 940 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 90 knots near the centre.
Within 20 nautical miles of centre winds above 64 knots with very high to
phenomenal seas and moderate to heavy swell.
Within 40 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots with high seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
Within 90 nautical miles of centre winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
At 0600UTC 25 March: 18.5 south 109.0 east
Central pressure 950 hPa
Winds to 85 knots near centre.
At 1800UTC 25 March: 19.0 south 109.0 east
Central pressure 970 hPa
Winds to 65 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 0100UTC 25 March 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1836UTC 24 MARCH 2006
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 1800UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of
Latitude seventeen decimal one South [17.1S]
Longitude one hundred and eight decimal five East [108.5E]
Recent movement : SSE at 6 knots.
Maximum winds : 90 knots.
Central pressure : 940 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 90 knots near the centre.
Within 20 nautical miles of centre winds above 64 knots with very high to
phenomenal seas and moderate to heavy swell.
Within 40 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots with high seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
Within 90 nautical miles of centre winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
At 0600UTC 25 March: 18.5 south 109.0 east
Central pressure 950 hPa
Winds to 85 knots near centre.
At 1800UTC 25 March: 19.0 south 109.0 east
Central pressure 970 hPa
Winds to 65 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 0100UTC 25 March 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
0 likes
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0646UTC 25 MARCH 2006
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0600UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of
Latitude eighteen decimal three South [18.3S]
Longitude one hundred and ten decimal one East [110.1E]
Recent movement : SE at 8 knots.
Maximum winds : 85 knots.
Central pressure : 955 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 80 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 85 knots near the centre, weakening to 50 knots by 0600UTC 26
March.
Within 20 nautical miles of centre: winds above 64 knots until 0000UTC 25 March
with very high to phenomenal seas and moderate to heavy swell.
Within 35 nautical miles of centre: winds above 48 knots with high seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
Within 80 nautical miles of centre: winds above 34 knots with very rough seas
and moderate to heavy swell.
At 1800UTC 25 March: 19.3 south 111.3 east
Central pressure 965 hPa
Winds to 70 knots near centre.
At 0600UTC 26 March: 20.5 south 112.0 east
Central pressure 980 hPa
Winds to 50 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 1300UTC 25 March 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0646UTC 25 MARCH 2006
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0600UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of
Latitude eighteen decimal three South [18.3S]
Longitude one hundred and ten decimal one East [110.1E]
Recent movement : SE at 8 knots.
Maximum winds : 85 knots.
Central pressure : 955 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 80 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 85 knots near the centre, weakening to 50 knots by 0600UTC 26
March.
Within 20 nautical miles of centre: winds above 64 knots until 0000UTC 25 March
with very high to phenomenal seas and moderate to heavy swell.
Within 35 nautical miles of centre: winds above 48 knots with high seas and
moderate to heavy swell.
Within 80 nautical miles of centre: winds above 34 knots with very rough seas
and moderate to heavy swell.
At 1800UTC 25 March: 19.3 south 111.3 east
Central pressure 965 hPa
Winds to 70 knots near centre.
At 0600UTC 26 March: 20.5 south 112.0 east
Central pressure 980 hPa
Winds to 50 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 1300UTC 25 March 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
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I'm Watching You
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 21
- Joined: Sun Mar 19, 2006 10:31 pm
- Location: US-tralia QLD
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
Issued at 6:05 pm WST on Saturday, 25 March 2006
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
A CYCLONE WATCH for a SEVERE CATEGORY 3 CYCLONE is now current for coastal
areas between Mardie and Carnarvon.
At 5pm WST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE FLOYD was estimated to be
510 kilometres northwest of Exmouth and
770 kilometres north north west of Carnarvon
and was moving east southeast at 18 kilometres per hour.
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE FLOYD is expected to continue to weaken as it moves
towards the Pilbara coast. Gales are not expected in coastal communities in the
next 24 hours, but may develop within 48 hours if the system does not weaken
sufficiently prior to crossing the Pilbara coastline.
Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE FLOYD at 5pm WST.
Location of centre : within 45 kilometres of
Latitude 18.5 South Longitude 110.8 East.
Recent movement : East southeast at 18 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 955 hPa.
Maximum wind gusts : 205 kilometres per hour near the centre.
Severity category : 3.
Issued at 6:05 pm WST on Saturday, 25 March 2006
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
A CYCLONE WATCH for a SEVERE CATEGORY 3 CYCLONE is now current for coastal
areas between Mardie and Carnarvon.
At 5pm WST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE FLOYD was estimated to be
510 kilometres northwest of Exmouth and
770 kilometres north north west of Carnarvon
and was moving east southeast at 18 kilometres per hour.
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE FLOYD is expected to continue to weaken as it moves
towards the Pilbara coast. Gales are not expected in coastal communities in the
next 24 hours, but may develop within 48 hours if the system does not weaken
sufficiently prior to crossing the Pilbara coastline.
Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE FLOYD at 5pm WST.
Location of centre : within 45 kilometres of
Latitude 18.5 South Longitude 110.8 East.
Recent movement : East southeast at 18 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 955 hPa.
Maximum wind gusts : 205 kilometres per hour near the centre.
Severity category : 3.
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weatherwoman132
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