GFS Shows a Low Forming off FL

#1 Postby **gatorcane** » Tue Mar 14, 2006 11:33 pm

CHRISTY found it (so we will give her credit) but I will post so we can start discussing right away. The GFS is showing some kind of Low forming off FL in 138 Hrs. What is going on? A bad run? The AVN shows something similar.

HurricaneHunter914 · #2 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Tue Mar 14, 2006 11:35 pm

HOLY! Could this be future Alberto? I know the conditions are bad but who knows we had Wilma strengthen under high shear so lets see.

CHRISTY · #3 Postby **CHRISTY** » Tue Mar 14, 2006 11:40 pm

yea i first noticed this about 20 minutes ago!i kept runing it several times cause i thought i was seeing things...it looks like some kind of low that drops down from the US!we have to future runs see what happens!because if this were to be alberto this would be the ultimate. :eek:

#4 Postby **gatorcane** » Tue Mar 14, 2006 11:41 pm

yea i first noticed this about 20 minutes ago!i kept runing it several cause i thought i was seeing things...it looks like some kind of low that drops down from the US!we have to future runs see what happens!because if this were to be alberto this would the ultimate.

CHRISTY, the water temps are actually warm enough where this Low is at it is in the Gulf Stream but I wonder if we have a bad run or something. What about the AVN run....?

#5 Postby **skysummit** » Tue Mar 14, 2006 11:44 pm

It looks like the low forms just off the coast of Jacksonville then begins to move SE. Hmm...

Brandon007 · #6 Postby **Brandon007** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 12:12 am

Hi all this is my first time posting I have watched the board for a while just wanted to say you guys have a great site. The only thing I'm having trouble with is all of the abreviations I have figured out some of them GOM=Gulf of Mexico

but I'm still puzzled on others for example GFS is there a page or a website dedicated to the termonolgy(sp)? I have been Interested in bad weather for a long time especially 'canes but also tornados and Lightning but not really on a technical scale basically just what is on the weather channel

. I hope you guys won't be to harsh if I have a lot of questions, I usually catch on pretty quick.

#7 Postby **gatorcane** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 12:14 am

maybe we can post a sticky about commonly used abbreviations for our site....just a thought moderators.

#8 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 12:17 am

Brandon007 wrote:Hi all this is my first time posting I have watched the board for a while just wanted to say you guys have a great site. The only thing I'm having trouble with is all of the abreviations I have figured out some of them GOM=Gulf of Mexico but I'm still puzzled on others for example GFS is there a page or a website dedicated to the termonolgy(sp)? I have been Interested in bad weather for a long time especially 'canes but also tornados and Lightning but not really on a technical scale basically just what is on the weather channel . I hope you guys won't be to harsh if I have a lot of questions, I usually catch on pretty quick.

Welcome Brandon007!!!!!

HurricaneHunter914 · #9 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 12:19 am

I had a thread on abbreviations and someone gave me this site: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php hope it helps you and welcome.

#10 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 12:19 am

Brandon007 wrote:Hi all this is my first time posting I have watched the board for a while just wanted to say you guys have a great site. The only thing I'm having trouble with is all of the abreviations I have figured out some of them GOM=Gulf of Mexico but I'm still puzzled on others for example GFS is there a page or a website dedicated to the termonolgy(sp)? I have been Interested in bad weather for a long time especially 'canes but also tornados and Lightning but not really on a technical scale basically just what is on the weather channel . I hope you guys won't be to harsh if I have a lot of questions, I usually catch on pretty quick.

Welcome Brandon! Stick around long enough and you probably won't watch TWC much anylonger...since you'll get all the late breaking news first right here before TV stations air it.

GFS = Global Forecast System (one of the many models used to forecast weather) (Also the main model that the National Hurricane Center uses for its forecast track)

Brandon007 · #11 Postby **Brandon007** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 12:33 am

thanks for the site also the sticky idea sounds good too

Coredesat · #12 Postby **Coredesat** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 12:57 am

Nothing about this future low on the cyclone phase diagram page.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #13 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 1:40 am

Wahoooo!!!

Yeah not likely but interesting!

WindRunner · #14 Postby **WindRunner** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 6:21 am

Team Ragnarok wrote:Nothing about this future low on the cyclone phase diagram page.

Because it's 138hrs out. The phase diagrams only catch future cyclones out to 120hrs.

#15 Postby **webke** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 6:35 am

I do not see it there on this mornings run.

Coredesat · #16 Postby **Coredesat** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 6:59 am

The low is barely there on the FSU site's maps. It's gone completely from the NCEP maps.

#17 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 7:40 am

webke wrote:I do not see it there on this mornings run.

Nope, it's gone already.

CHRISTY · #18 Postby **CHRISTY** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 8:33 am

maybe it was a little tease..... :lol:

#19 Postby **terstorm1012** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 8:54 am

it may not have been tropical. There have been hints of a nor'easter for next week.

Weatherfreak000 · #20 Postby **Weatherfreak000** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 10:50 am

Oh well looks like a Bust.

That was interesting for a second.

GFS Shows a Low Forming off FL

GFS Shows a Low Forming off FL

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