Official S2K 2006 Forecast Numbers Poll starts on March 15

#41 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Sat Mar 11, 2006 9:20 pm

Preliminary numbers 19/9/6

Audrey2Katrina · #42 Postby **Audrey2Katrina** » Sun Mar 12, 2006 12:05 am

Preliminary numbers 16/7/3 US Landfalls 7/3/1 A definite Cape Verde Season.

A2K

MiamiensisWx · #43 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Sun Mar 12, 2006 12:38 am

My numbers are at the following so far...

16/9/5

CHRISTY · #44 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sun Mar 12, 2006 2:02 am

my numbers are 18/10/6

Coredesat · #45 Postby **Coredesat** » Sun Mar 12, 2006 2:23 am

My preliminary numbers are 17/7/4. Subject to change based on what the La Nina does.

whereverwx · #46 Postby **whereverwx** » Sun Mar 12, 2006 2:45 am

My early predictions are 13-14/7/4

Actually, IMO, I think my numbers may be a little high.

I noticed that after every hyperactive year (such as 1996 and 1934) the numbers of named storms were significantly lower.

1995 had a total of 19 named storms. 1996 only had 13.
1933 had a total of 21 named storms. 1934 only had 11.

One difference with the year after is that the ratio of named storms to hurricanes was much higher. In 1996, 9 out of the 13 stroms that had developed became hurricanes. In 1934, 6 out of the 11 storms that had developed became hurricanes, but of course that was in the pre satellite and recon era. So the real numbers may never be known.

Scorpion · #47 Postby **Scorpion** » Sun Mar 12, 2006 9:28 am

Calamity 2004 was quite a season as well, and look what 2005 brung. As long as there is a La Nina and the waters are warm enough we will get more storms than average.

MiamiensisWx · #48 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Tue Mar 14, 2006 2:10 pm

The poll starts tomorrow! Everyone get ready to post your numbers!

#49 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Mar 14, 2006 2:48 pm

CapeVerdeWave this thread does not have to be stickied as I know that the members are aware of the poll starting on the 15th as I haved been announcing it since late January.However the poll will be with a sticky until May 31 at Midnight EDT when the poll closes as it has been in the past 3 years.

By the way the poll will be up from 7:00 AM EST so those early bird members who may want to post the numbers from the start of the poll you will have it up there.

#50 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Tue Mar 14, 2006 3:26 pm

so do we have until march 31st to post our predictions?

#51 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Mar 14, 2006 3:27 pm

southfloridawx2005 wrote:so do we have until march 31st to post our predictions?

May 31 at midnight EDT.

#52 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Tue Mar 14, 2006 3:29 pm

ok thanks luis

#53 Postby **King-6** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 12:28 am

King-6 2006 Hurricane Preliminary Prediction

19 Named Storms

11 Hurricanes

6 Major Storms.

Finalize in May 27,or before the 31st.

:1095:

#54 Postby **CrazyC83** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 1:34 am

Preliminary prediction: 18/11/7.

The breakdown:

Seven tropical storms, three Category 1's, one Category 2, one Category 3, four Category 4's and two Category 5's.

RattleMan · #55 Postby **RattleMan** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 1:52 am

So we can post our numbers now, even though it's not 7 AM EST?

I'm guessing...20/13/5.

#56 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 6:20 am

so it march 15th now and i say 19/11/4

#57 Postby **webke** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 6:37 am

I will through out a gut feeling of 17/9/4

#58 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Mar 15, 2006 6:44 am

Ok I will lock this thread as the poll will be up in a few minutes.

Official S2K 2006 Forecast Numbers Poll starts on March 15

King-6 Preliminary for now...

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