NWS MIA Confirms a Strong Bermuda High, a Precursor?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
MiamiensisWx

#61 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed Mar 08, 2006 4:29 pm

Interesting... they have lowered the winds forecast for my area for tomorrow...
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23694
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#62 Postby gatorcane » Wed Mar 08, 2006 4:32 pm

Palm Beach:

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Breezy, with a southeast wind between 13 and 17 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

still windy
0 likes   

MiamiensisWx

#63 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed Mar 08, 2006 4:34 pm

What are your thoughts on the lowered winds forecast for tomorrow?
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23694
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#64 Postby gatorcane » Wed Mar 08, 2006 4:54 pm

higher than normal winds for the next week. People will notice it.
0 likes   

MiamiensisWx

#65 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed Mar 08, 2006 4:56 pm

Yep... it will be very breezy through the entire week and through next week!
0 likes   

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11162
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

#66 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Mar 08, 2006 6:05 pm

If this lasts for a good bit, the waters are going to heat up :eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6372
Age: 60
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

#67 Postby boca » Wed Mar 08, 2006 11:05 pm

Agreed we need rain.
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23694
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#68 Postby gatorcane » Wed Mar 08, 2006 11:36 pm

no rain in sight for South Florida. Not for the next 10 days. There is only a slight chance of a passing shower off of the Atlantic as a deep SE flow around the bermuda high kicks in late in the weekend and into early next week.
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23694
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#69 Postby gatorcane » Wed Mar 08, 2006 11:45 pm

It's about 11:30 EST and I'm looking outside the window. It's the first time this year I am seeing some solid east winds this late at night (I'm about 3/4 mile from the ocean).

The palms are blowing pretty good tonight, it looks alot like a summer-time pattern with some cumulous blowing in off the ocean. To think this is going to be like this for the next 7+ days in March really has me a bit uneasy. Last year we didn't have this. Of course the pattern could change for hurricane season with little ridging (hopefully).
0 likes   

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6372
Age: 60
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

#70 Postby boca » Thu Mar 09, 2006 8:16 am

IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD...SOUTHEAST FLOW CONTINUES RIGHT INTO MONDAY
BUT THE WINDS SHOULD VEER TO THE SOUTH ON TUESDAY AHEAD OF AN
ADVANCING COLD FRONT. MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE AND A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS FINALLY IS BACK IN THE FORECAST BEGINNING MONDAY. AT
PRESENT...00Z GFS SHOWS THE FRONT MOVING THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA
WEDNESDAY BUT IT IS A STRUGGLE AS THE FRONT BECOMES DIFFUSE AND
FINALLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND STRAITS OF
FLORIDA ON THURSDAY. THE MODELS WILL WAFFLE ON HOW FAR THE FRONT
ACTUALLY GETS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL RUNS PROBABLY BEFORE FINALLY
COMING TO AN ANSWER. FOR THIS FORECAST WILL ACCEPT THAT IT CLEARS
THE PENINSULA WEDNESDAY NIGHT

Just maybe we might get a passsing shower but of course not a rain out.
0 likes   

MiamiensisWx

#71 Postby MiamiensisWx » Thu Mar 09, 2006 10:55 am

Look at this...

000
FLUS42 KMFL 090959 CCA
HWOMFL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
434 AM EST THU MAR 9 2006

FLZ063-066>075-100930-
GLADES-HENDRY-PALM BEACH WESTERN-PALM BEACH EASTERN-
WESTERN COLLIER-EASTERN COLLIER-WESTERN BROWARD-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-WESTERN DADE-DADE METROPOLITAN-
MAINLAND MONROE-
425 AM EST THU MAR 9 2006

...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ATLANTIC BEACHES TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RIP CURRENTS: THE COMBINATION OF A 3 FOOT NORTHEAST SWELLS AND
SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS WILL RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF PALM BEACH, BROWARD AND
MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES TODAY.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE ATLANTIC
BEACHES THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND, SINCE THE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT http://WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO.
$$
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#72 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Mar 09, 2006 1:03 pm

The latest GFS on NCEP is showing not much rain at all in south florida for the next 16 days..

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... el_m.shtml
0 likes   

Camille_2_Katrina

#73 Postby Camille_2_Katrina » Thu Mar 09, 2006 1:05 pm

wow... 16 day forcasts?
what will they come up with next?
:eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:

#74 Postby skysummit » Thu Mar 09, 2006 1:30 pm

I tell you what....it's sure in the hell windy here! In Houma right now, winds are sustained at 27mph and gusting to 42mph.
0 likes   

User avatar
tailgater
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3339
Joined: Sun Jul 11, 2004 9:13 pm
Location: St. Amant La.

#75 Postby tailgater » Thu Mar 09, 2006 1:46 pm

I tell you what....it's sure in the hell windy here! In Houma right now, winds are sustained at 27mph and gusting to 42mph.
Yeah Sky, I hear ya, I wouldn't want to be flying today. Can you believe that it will calm in morning.
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23694
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#76 Postby gatorcane » Thu Mar 09, 2006 1:54 pm

no rain in sight, you can see the effects of this bermuda high especially starting Sat.

This Afternoon: Partly cloudy, with a high near 78. Breezy, with a south wind around 16 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 63. South wind between 7 and 13 mph.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Breezy, with a south wind 7 to 10 mph increasing to between 15 and 18 mph. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.

Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low near 68. Southeast wind between 5 and 13 mph.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high around 81. East wind between 10 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 69. East wind between 6 and 13 mph.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Breezy, with a calm wind becoming east between 13 and 16 mph. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

Sunday Night: Clear, with a low around 69. East wind between 6 and 11 mph.

Monday: A 10 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a high near 82. Breezy, with a southeast wind between 14 and 17 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

Monday Night: Clear and breezy, with a low near 71.

Tuesday: A 10 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a high around 84.

Tuesday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 67.

Wednesday: A 10 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy and breezy, with a high near 78.
0 likes   

MiamiensisWx

#77 Postby MiamiensisWx » Thu Mar 09, 2006 2:29 pm

This image really shows the strong ridging over the western Atlantic and onshore flow...

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23694
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#78 Postby gatorcane » Thu Mar 09, 2006 2:45 pm

:eek:
0 likes   

MiamiensisWx

#79 Postby MiamiensisWx » Thu Mar 09, 2006 2:47 pm

Yep... it's pretty impressive!
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23694
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#80 Postby gatorcane » Thu Mar 09, 2006 3:06 pm

well the good news is there are no canes so a bermuda high means great beach/surf weather for a while! 8-)
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 58 guests