Max Mayfield live tonight on HurricaneTrack.com

[hurricanetrack]

Colleague Jesse Bass will stream live video/audio of Max while he speaks at Nauticus in Norfolk. Head over to http://www.hurricanetrack.com for more info.

Then, join Mike Watkins and others on the Talkin' Tropics show at 9pm. I will drop in around 9:30 to talk about the 2005 DVD and our plans for 2006. There is a lot to get done in 89 days.

The streaming video is free tonight at HurricaneTrack.com. Begins at 7pm ET.

[Audrey2Katrina]

Is that EST, or CST? Probably EST I guess.

A2K

[Seele]

That was very interesting. Thanks for hosting that Mark. A couple things he said that I think will interest some folks:

- There may be a 28th "named" storm after analysis. I'm guessing that's TD27 since the other TDs have had their reports released.

- Emily will "very likely" be upgraded to a cat 5

[CHRISTY]

well after listening to max it clearly seems we are in an active hurricane period but he clearly said there are a few issues that still have to develope in order to see who might be at the greatest risk.its funny because if seen alot people sayin its going to be a NC year ,there's no way to know that this early on and even during the heart of the season i think everyone should be ready in case of a threat from a hurricane no matter were you live.so what i took from listening to max is that now is the time to prepare and always have a hurricane plan inplace for you and your family.

[JonathanBelles]

this 28th storm would be named eta right? (if my greek is correct)

[Seele]

this 28th storm would be named eta right? (if my greek is correct)

I don't think it would get a name exactly. It would just be Tropical Storm #.

[Derek Ortt]

would likely be something totally different since TD 27 became Gamma

maybe the April subtropical discturbance or something

[Hyperstorm]

Interesting that he said that.

I'm thinking he is talking about the June disturbance that moved inland over North Carolina as soon as it started to show cyclonic characteristics. I know there were some reports of VERY gusty winds (in the tropical storm range) in some places as the system moved northward.

If anyone has any information about this June disturbance and wind reports, please post...

[hurricanetrack]

That's the one that Joe Bastari calls the energizer bunny.

[SouthFloridawx]

That's the one that Joe Bastari calls the energizer bunny.

what time is the replay tonight and where is the link so I can listen to it?

I'm on your hurricane site and can not find it.

[Scorpion]

Interesting about Emily. I don't think she should be upgraded. Marginal 153 kt FL winds in a tiny area with the pressure beginning to rise should not make a bonafide Cat 5. Also the wall said 135 kts.

[SouthFloridawx]

I'm sorry I didn't read the entire paragraph that you wrote.

[Derek Ortt]

the June system may have been a TD... the April system probably had TS winds

As for Emily... it was entering a sheared environment. I'd like them to use a consistent shear reduction factor of 80%, not 90%, as was done for Wilma, which would keep Emily as a cat 4 hurricane

[Javlin]

Now I am confused some.We here that we should not use the SS scale in relation to storm surge that it is not accurate to do so.But,did I here Max say she came in as a Cat 3 with a Cat 5 surge?

[senorpepr]

Now I am confused some.We here that we should not use the SS scale in relation to storm surge that it is not accurate to do so.But,did I here Max say she came in as a Cat 3 with a Cat 5 surge?

Basically, he was trying to give an idea of the severity of the surge. People can related or imagine easier a category three with category five surge. However... what we hear is not to assume a category three will have category three surge. In the present, don't use the scale to relate to storm surge.

[senorpepr]

BTW, here's the link: http://www.hurricanetrack.com/max2006.wmv