GoM?

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JamesFromMaine2
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GoM?

#1 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Wed Mar 01, 2006 3:30 pm

any one know what the models are saying for the GoM? Floater 1 is back to the GoM and it looks like there MIGHT be some type of circulation starting up by the looks of the cloud patterns along with a very small amount of convection starting to fire around it.


Image
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MiamiensisWx

#2 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed Mar 01, 2006 3:31 pm

Interesting... it likely won't develop tropical characteristics and develop, though.
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Wed Mar 01, 2006 3:37 pm

Image

There is a weak surface trough in the GOM but the air is bone dry with strong subsidence so nothing that I see there to be concerned about.
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#4 Postby f5 » Wed Mar 01, 2006 3:40 pm

its not hurricane season so it won't be nothing but an extratropical circulation
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#5 Postby ROCK » Wed Mar 01, 2006 4:49 pm

extremely bone dry CY.....wouldn't start looking at the GOM until at least May / June.
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#6 Postby skysummit » Wed Mar 01, 2006 5:46 pm

f5 wrote:its not hurricane season so it won't be nothing but an extratropical circulation


Ok....so what if it were May 20th right now and conditions were good in the GOM. Would it still be extratropical? Hmm??? :lol:
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#7 Postby Ixolib » Wed Mar 01, 2006 6:42 pm

I'm "almost" done with my roof - I LIKE the bone dry scenario!!!!!!!!!!!

Goodbye blue roof - hello brighter days.....
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#8 Postby KatDaddy » Wed Mar 01, 2006 7:49 pm

Way too early any of this after last year. Not emotionally ready. Give me to more months to force myself to be ready for 2006. June 1st will be an omnious day for many of us.
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#9 Postby george_r_1961 » Wed Mar 01, 2006 8:45 pm

f5 wrote:its not hurricane season so it won't be nothing but an extratropical circulation


Hurricanes dont know what time of year it is. But as was said earlier all there is down there is a lot of dry air and high pressure. It could be Septmember and it still couldnt develop under these conditions.
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#10 Postby HurricaneGirl » Thu Mar 02, 2006 7:23 am

I noticed that circulation yesterday in the GOM... what's up with that?
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#11 Postby skysummit » Thu Mar 02, 2006 7:47 am

HurricaneGirl wrote:I noticed that circulation yesterday in the GOM... what's up with that?


Look at Cyclone's post above.
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#12 Postby boca » Thu Mar 02, 2006 8:04 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/IR4/20.jpg

Even though its March 2nd its still an interesting area of nothing.
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#13 Postby HurricaneGirl » Thu Mar 02, 2006 9:27 am

Oh okay!
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jax

#14 Postby jax » Thu Mar 02, 2006 10:34 am

boca wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/IR4/20.jpg

Even though its March 2nd its still an interesting area of nothing.


i think it bears watching...

are there any forcast models yet?
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#15 Postby beachbum_al » Thu Mar 02, 2006 10:39 am

It is only March and let me enjoy the nice spring temperatures.


Now no more talk about a storm....Wake me up the first day of June
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#16 Postby Ixolib » Thu Mar 02, 2006 10:55 am

jax wrote:
boca wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/IR4/20.jpg

Even though its March 2nd its still an interesting area of nothing.


i think it bears watching...

are there any forcast models yet?


And hence, we have the first "Bear Watch" of 2006... :lol: :lol:
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#17 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Mar 02, 2006 2:49 pm

Image
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#18 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Mar 02, 2006 3:01 pm

000
AXNT20 KNHC 021749
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 PM EST THU MAR 02 2006

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A DEEP-LAYERED LOW IS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
AND IS CUT-OFF FROM THE STRONGER WESTERLY FLOW LOCATED INLAND
OVER THE CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES. THE LOW HAS A LARGE
CIRCULATION...ROUGHLY ABOUT 500 NM TO ITS N AND W...WITH A
RELATIVELY DRY AIR MASS FLOWING AROUND THE PERIPHERY AND
BECOMING ENTRAINED TOWARDS THE CENTER.
A TROUGH HAS BUILT TO THE
SURFACE FROM 20N91W TO 27N87W AND SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS HAVE
FORMED OVER THE NE QUADRANT OF THE LOW FROM 23N-27N BETWEEN
87W-91W.
OTHERWISE...THE ATLC SURFACE RIDGE HAS BUILT WWD ACROSS
S FLORIDA AND IS PRODUCING BROAD SLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE
REGION. THE MOIST COASTAL AIR MASS HAS PRODUCED AREAS OF FOG AND
LOW STRATUS FROM S TEXAS TO CNTRL MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA...BUT
DAYLIGHT IS QUICKLY BURNING THIS OFF. A WEAK COLD FRONT
CURRENTLY OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND TEXAS WILL MOVE
OFF THE N GULF COAST TONIGHT AND EASE ACROSS THE E GULF/FLORIDA
BY SAT MORNING. MOISTURE WILL BE RATHER LIMITED AHEAD OF THE
FRONT SO ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE BOUNDARY.


Image

It is a circulation but, but as Luis said there is an trough associated with this feature .... too much dry air entrained .. Probably will get picked up by the next cold front coming through.
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#19 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Mar 02, 2006 3:01 pm

PS. Interesting feature non the less
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CHRISTY

#20 Postby CHRISTY » Thu Mar 02, 2006 8:56 pm

Image This truly amazing to see this in march.but looks good nevertheless
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