TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK
FOR THE AREA BETWEEN LONGITUDES 125 EAST - 142 EAST
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 2:15 pm CST Monday 27 February 2006
A tropical low, 1004 hPa, is situated in the Banda Sea. At 9am it was near
latitude 6S, longitude 131.5E, about 450km east southeast of Ambon in Indonesia
and 720km north of Darwin. The low is expected to move slowly towards the west
or southwest closer to the island of Timor.
The potential for development into a Tropical cyclone over the next few days is
estimated to be:
Tuesday: Moderate
Wednesday: High
Thursday: High
NOTE: Development Potential is an estimate of the probability of tropical
cyclone development for each day... Low = 10% or less, Moderate = 20% - 40%,
High = 50% or more.
DARWIN Regional Forecasting Centre.
SE Indian Ocean: Tropical Low
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
SE Indian Ocean: Tropical Low
Last edited by P.K. on Sun Mar 05, 2006 5:58 am, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes
-
P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK
FOR THE AREA BETWEEN LONGITUDES 125 EAST - 142 EAST
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 2:15 pm CST Tuesday 28 February 2006
A developing tropical low, 1004 hPa, is situated in the Banda Sea. At 12 noon it
was near latitude 7S, longitude 130.5E, about 450km southeast of Ambon in
Indonesia and 600km north of Darwin. The low is expected to remain well north of
the Australian coastline during the next three days, and move slowly towards the
west or southwest closer to the island of Timor. It may reach cyclone intensity
late on Wednesday or on Thursday.
The potential for development into a Tropical cyclone over the next few days is
estimated to be:
Wednesday: Moderate
Thursday: High
Friday: High
NOTE: Development Potential is an estimate of the probability of tropical
cyclone development for each day... Low = 10% or less, Moderate = 20% - 40%,
High = 50% or more.
DARWIN Regional Forecasting Centre.
FOR THE AREA BETWEEN LONGITUDES 125 EAST - 142 EAST
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 2:15 pm CST Tuesday 28 February 2006
A developing tropical low, 1004 hPa, is situated in the Banda Sea. At 12 noon it
was near latitude 7S, longitude 130.5E, about 450km southeast of Ambon in
Indonesia and 600km north of Darwin. The low is expected to remain well north of
the Australian coastline during the next three days, and move slowly towards the
west or southwest closer to the island of Timor. It may reach cyclone intensity
late on Wednesday or on Thursday.
The potential for development into a Tropical cyclone over the next few days is
estimated to be:
Wednesday: Moderate
Thursday: High
Friday: High
NOTE: Development Potential is an estimate of the probability of tropical
cyclone development for each day... Low = 10% or less, Moderate = 20% - 40%,
High = 50% or more.
DARWIN Regional Forecasting Centre.
0 likes
-
HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:1:24:8S130E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 1930 UTC 28 FEBRUARY 2006
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Tropical Low 1001 hPa centred within 60 nautical miles of 8.1 S
130.4 E near stationary. The low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the
next 18 to 24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 20/25 knots expected to increase to 30/40 knots within 18 to 24
hours. Rough to very rough seas and rising swell.
0600 UTC 01 Mar: centre within 70 nautical miles of 8.4 S 130.0 E.
996 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre.
1800 UTC 01 Mar: centre within 110 nautical miles of 8.6 S 129.6 E.
990 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:1:24:8S130E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 1930 UTC 28 FEBRUARY 2006
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Tropical Low 1001 hPa centred within 60 nautical miles of 8.1 S
130.4 E near stationary. The low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the
next 18 to 24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 20/25 knots expected to increase to 30/40 knots within 18 to 24
hours. Rough to very rough seas and rising swell.
0600 UTC 01 Mar: centre within 70 nautical miles of 8.4 S 130.0 E.
996 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre.
1800 UTC 01 Mar: centre within 110 nautical miles of 8.6 S 129.6 E.
990 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
0 likes
-
HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:1:24:9S130E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 0130 UTC 1 MARCH 2006
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Tropical Low 1002 hPa centred within 60 nautical miles of 9.0 S
129.5 E moving southwest at 5 knots. The low may develop into a tropical
cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 20/25 knots expected to increase to 30/40 knots within 18-24
hours. Rough to very rough seas and rising swell.
1200 UTC 01 Mar: centre within 70 nautical miles of 9.2 S 129.2 E.
998 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre.
0000 UTC 02 Mar: centre within 110 nautical miles of 9.3 S 128.6 E.
992 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:1:24:9S130E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 0130 UTC 1 MARCH 2006
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Tropical Low 1002 hPa centred within 60 nautical miles of 9.0 S
129.5 E moving southwest at 5 knots. The low may develop into a tropical
cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 20/25 knots expected to increase to 30/40 knots within 18-24
hours. Rough to very rough seas and rising swell.
1200 UTC 01 Mar: centre within 70 nautical miles of 9.2 S 129.2 E.
998 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre.
0000 UTC 02 Mar: centre within 110 nautical miles of 9.3 S 128.6 E.
992 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
0 likes
-
P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:1:24:10S129E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 0730 UTC 1 MARCH 2006
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Tropical Low 1001 hPa centred within 30 nautical miles of 10.2 S
128.8 E moving SOUTHWEST at 8 knots. The low may develop into a tropical cyclone
in the next 18-24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 20/25 knots expected to increase to 30/40 knots within 18-24
hours. Rough to very rough seas and rising swell.
1800 UTC 01 Mar: centre within 80 nautical miles of 10.3 S 128.3 E.
998 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre.
0600 UTC 02 Mar: centre within 110 nautical miles of 10.3 S 127.2 E.
992 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:1:24:10S129E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 0730 UTC 1 MARCH 2006
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Tropical Low 1001 hPa centred within 30 nautical miles of 10.2 S
128.8 E moving SOUTHWEST at 8 knots. The low may develop into a tropical cyclone
in the next 18-24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 20/25 knots expected to increase to 30/40 knots within 18-24
hours. Rough to very rough seas and rising swell.
1800 UTC 01 Mar: centre within 80 nautical miles of 10.3 S 128.3 E.
998 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre.
0600 UTC 02 Mar: centre within 110 nautical miles of 10.3 S 127.2 E.
992 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
0 likes
-
HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK
TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK
FOR THE AREA BETWEEN LONGITUDES 125 EAST - 142 EAST
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 2:15 pm CST Wednesday 1 March 2006
A developing tropical low, 1002 hPa, is situated in the northern Timor Sea,
moving southwest at about 15km/h. At 12 noon it was near latitude 9.8S,
longitude 129.2E, about 420km east southeast of Dili in East Timor and 345km
north northwest of Darwin. The low is expected to remain well north of the
Australian coastline during the next three days, and move slowly towards the
west or southwest closer to the island of Timor. It may reach cyclone intensity
late on Thursday.
The potential for development into a Tropical cyclone over the next few days is
estimated to be:
Thursday: High
Friday: High
Saturday: High
NOTE: Development Potential is an estimate of the probability of tropical
cyclone development for each day... Low = 10% or less, Moderate = 20% - 40%,
High = 50% or more.
DARWIN Regional Forecasting Centre.
TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK
FOR THE AREA BETWEEN LONGITUDES 125 EAST - 142 EAST
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 2:15 pm CST Wednesday 1 March 2006
A developing tropical low, 1002 hPa, is situated in the northern Timor Sea,
moving southwest at about 15km/h. At 12 noon it was near latitude 9.8S,
longitude 129.2E, about 420km east southeast of Dili in East Timor and 345km
north northwest of Darwin. The low is expected to remain well north of the
Australian coastline during the next three days, and move slowly towards the
west or southwest closer to the island of Timor. It may reach cyclone intensity
late on Thursday.
The potential for development into a Tropical cyclone over the next few days is
estimated to be:
Thursday: High
Friday: High
Saturday: High
NOTE: Development Potential is an estimate of the probability of tropical
cyclone development for each day... Low = 10% or less, Moderate = 20% - 40%,
High = 50% or more.
DARWIN Regional Forecasting Centre.
0 likes
-
P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:1:24:10S129E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 1330 UTC 1 MARCH 2006
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Tropical Low 1001 hPa centred within 30 nautical miles of 10.3 S
129.3 E slow moving. The low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next
18-24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 20/25 knots expected to increase to 30/40 knots within 18-24
hours. Rough to very rough seas and rising swell.
0000 UTC 02 Mar: centre within 45 nautical miles of 10.3 S 128.6 E.
995 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre.
1200 UTC 02 Mar: centre within 80 nautical miles of 10.3 S 127.3 E.
992 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:1:24:10S129E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 1330 UTC 1 MARCH 2006
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Tropical Low 1001 hPa centred within 30 nautical miles of 10.3 S
129.3 E slow moving. The low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next
18-24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 20/25 knots expected to increase to 30/40 knots within 18-24
hours. Rough to very rough seas and rising swell.
0000 UTC 02 Mar: centre within 45 nautical miles of 10.3 S 128.6 E.
995 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre.
1200 UTC 02 Mar: centre within 80 nautical miles of 10.3 S 127.3 E.
992 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
0 likes
-
P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:1:24:10S129E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 1930 UTC 1 MARCH 2006
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Tropical Low 1001 hPa centred within 30 nautical miles of 10.2 S
129.1 E moving SOUTHWEST at 5 knots. The low may develop into a tropical
cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 20/25 knots may increase to 25/35 knots within 18 to 24 hours.
Rough to very rough seas and rising swell.
0600 UTC 02 Mar: centre within 50 nautical miles of 10.4 S 128.6 E.
998 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre.
1800 UTC 02 Mar: centre within 80 nautical miles of 10.5 S 127.9 E.
992 hPa. Winds to 35 knots near centre.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:1:24:10S129E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 1930 UTC 1 MARCH 2006
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Tropical Low 1001 hPa centred within 30 nautical miles of 10.2 S
129.1 E moving SOUTHWEST at 5 knots. The low may develop into a tropical
cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 20/25 knots may increase to 25/35 knots within 18 to 24 hours.
Rough to very rough seas and rising swell.
0600 UTC 02 Mar: centre within 50 nautical miles of 10.4 S 128.6 E.
998 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre.
1800 UTC 02 Mar: centre within 80 nautical miles of 10.5 S 127.9 E.
992 hPa. Winds to 35 knots near centre.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
0 likes
-
P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:1:24:10S128E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 0730 UTC 2 MARCH 2006
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Tropical Low 1001 hPa centred within 45 nautical miles of 9.7 S
128.1 E moving westnorthwest at 6 knots. The low may develop into a tropical
cyclone in the next 18-24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 20/25 knots expected to increase to 30/40 knots within 18-24
hours. Rough to very rough seas and rising swell.
1800 UTC 02 Mar: centre within 45 nautical miles of 9.4 S 127.8 E.
998 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre.
0600 UTC 03 Mar: centre within 80 nautical miles of 9.7 S 127.2 E.
992 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:1:24:10S128E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 0730 UTC 2 MARCH 2006
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Tropical Low 1001 hPa centred within 45 nautical miles of 9.7 S
128.1 E moving westnorthwest at 6 knots. The low may develop into a tropical
cyclone in the next 18-24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 20/25 knots expected to increase to 30/40 knots within 18-24
hours. Rough to very rough seas and rising swell.
1800 UTC 02 Mar: centre within 45 nautical miles of 9.4 S 127.8 E.
998 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre.
0600 UTC 03 Mar: centre within 80 nautical miles of 9.7 S 127.2 E.
992 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
0 likes
-
P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:1:24:10S127E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 1330 UTC 2 MARCH 2006
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Tropical Low 1000 hPa centred within 60 nautical miles of 9.8 S
127.3 E moving WEST at 6 knots. The low may develop into a tropical cyclone in
the next 18-24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 20/30 knots expected to increase to 30/40 knots within 18-24
hours. Rough to very rough seas and rising swell.
0000 UTC 03 Mar: centre within 75 nautical miles of 9.7 S 126.8 E.
1000 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre.
1200 UTC 03 Mar: centre within 95 nautical miles of 10.1 S 126.3 E.
995 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:1:24:10S127E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 1330 UTC 2 MARCH 2006
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Tropical Low 1000 hPa centred within 60 nautical miles of 9.8 S
127.3 E moving WEST at 6 knots. The low may develop into a tropical cyclone in
the next 18-24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 20/30 knots expected to increase to 30/40 knots within 18-24
hours. Rough to very rough seas and rising swell.
0000 UTC 03 Mar: centre within 75 nautical miles of 9.7 S 126.8 E.
1000 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre.
1200 UTC 03 Mar: centre within 95 nautical miles of 10.1 S 126.3 E.
995 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
0 likes
-
HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:1:24:11S127E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 1930 UTC 2 MARCH 2006
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Tropical Low 998 hPa centred within 45 nautical miles of 10.6 S
126.6 E moving west southwest at 8 knots. The low may develop into a tropical
cyclone in the next 18-24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 100 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 20/30 knots expected to increase to 30/45 knots within 18-24
hours. Rough to very rough seas and rising swell.
0600 UTC 03 Mar: centre within 75 nautical miles of 10.5 S 125.7 E.
997 hPa. Winds to 35 knots near centre.
1800 UTC 03 Mar: centre within 95 nautical miles of 10.5 S 124.3 E.
992 hPa. Winds to 45 knots near centre.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:1:24:11S127E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 1930 UTC 2 MARCH 2006
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 1800 UTC Tropical Low 998 hPa centred within 45 nautical miles of 10.6 S
126.6 E moving west southwest at 8 knots. The low may develop into a tropical
cyclone in the next 18-24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 100 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 20/30 knots expected to increase to 30/45 knots within 18-24
hours. Rough to very rough seas and rising swell.
0600 UTC 03 Mar: centre within 75 nautical miles of 10.5 S 125.7 E.
997 hPa. Winds to 35 knots near centre.
1800 UTC 03 Mar: centre within 95 nautical miles of 10.5 S 124.3 E.
992 hPa. Winds to 45 knots near centre.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
0 likes
-
P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:1:24:10S127E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 0130 UTC 3 MARCH 2006
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
FINAL GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Tropical Low 1002 hPa centred within 30 nautical miles of 10.3 S
127.1 E moving WEST at 4 knots. The low is not expected to develop into a
tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours. However, there is a possibility that
it could form into a cyclone later, and the system will be closely monitored for
any development.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 45 nautical miles of system centre.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 20/30 knots. Rough seas.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
No further warnings will be issued unless the situation changes.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
40:2:1:24:10S127E999:11:00
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 0130 UTC 3 MARCH 2006
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
FINAL GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA
SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Tropical Low 1002 hPa centred within 30 nautical miles of 10.3 S
127.1 E moving WEST at 4 knots. The low is not expected to develop into a
tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours. However, there is a possibility that
it could form into a cyclone later, and the system will be closely monitored for
any development.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 45 nautical miles of system centre.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 20/30 knots. Rough seas.
REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
No further warnings will be issued unless the situation changes.
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
0 likes
-
HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
Tropical Cyclone Three Day Outlook for North West Australia
IDW10800
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIA REGIONAL OFFICE
TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK FOR NORTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA
Issued at 1:16pm WST on Friday the 3rd of March 2006
For the area between LONGITUDES 110 - 129 EAST
At noon WST a tropical low, 1002hPa, was located in the Timor Sea near 10S 127E,
about 500 kilometres west northwest of Darwin and 480 kilometres north of
Kalumburu. The low is expected to continue moving slowly towards the west near
the island of Timor and remain well north of the Australian coastline during the
next three days. The low has not developed in the last few days but may
intensify over the weekend. It may reach cyclone intensity later on Saturday but
more likely early next week.
The potential for this system to develop into a Tropical cyclone over the next
few days is estimated to be:
Saturday: Moderate
Sunday: High
Monday: High
** NOTE: Development potential is an estimate of the probability of **
** tropical cyclone development within a 24 hour period. **
** LOW = 10% or less MODERATE = 20-40% HIGH = 50% or more **
IDW10800
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIA REGIONAL OFFICE
TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK FOR NORTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA
Issued at 1:16pm WST on Friday the 3rd of March 2006
For the area between LONGITUDES 110 - 129 EAST
At noon WST a tropical low, 1002hPa, was located in the Timor Sea near 10S 127E,
about 500 kilometres west northwest of Darwin and 480 kilometres north of
Kalumburu. The low is expected to continue moving slowly towards the west near
the island of Timor and remain well north of the Australian coastline during the
next three days. The low has not developed in the last few days but may
intensify over the weekend. It may reach cyclone intensity later on Saturday but
more likely early next week.
The potential for this system to develop into a Tropical cyclone over the next
few days is estimated to be:
Saturday: Moderate
Sunday: High
Monday: High
** NOTE: Development potential is an estimate of the probability of **
** tropical cyclone development within a 24 hour period. **
** LOW = 10% or less MODERATE = 20-40% HIGH = 50% or more **
0 likes
-
P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
IDW10800
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIA REGIONAL OFFICE
TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK FOR NORTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA
Issued at 1:03pm WST on Saturday the 4th of March 2006
For the area between LONGITUDES 110 - 129 EAST
At noon WST a weak tropical low, 1006hPa, was poorly defined and located near
10.5S 123E, about 70 kilometres west southwest of Kupang and 580 kilometres
north west of Kalumburu. The low is expected to continue moving towards the west
southwest and remain well north of the Australian coastline during the next two
days. The low has not developed in the last few days but may intensify from
Sunday evening. It may reach cyclone intensity late on Sunday but more likely
early next week.
The potential for this system to develop into a Tropical cyclone over the next
few days is estimated to be:
Sunday: Moderate
Monday: High
Tuesday: High
** NOTE: Development potential is an estimate of the probability of **
** tropical cyclone development within a 24 hour period. **
** LOW = 10% or less MODERATE = 20-40% HIGH = 50% or more **
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIA REGIONAL OFFICE
TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK FOR NORTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA
Issued at 1:03pm WST on Saturday the 4th of March 2006
For the area between LONGITUDES 110 - 129 EAST
At noon WST a weak tropical low, 1006hPa, was poorly defined and located near
10.5S 123E, about 70 kilometres west southwest of Kupang and 580 kilometres
north west of Kalumburu. The low is expected to continue moving towards the west
southwest and remain well north of the Australian coastline during the next two
days. The low has not developed in the last few days but may intensify from
Sunday evening. It may reach cyclone intensity late on Sunday but more likely
early next week.
The potential for this system to develop into a Tropical cyclone over the next
few days is estimated to be:
Sunday: Moderate
Monday: High
Tuesday: High
** NOTE: Development potential is an estimate of the probability of **
** tropical cyclone development within a 24 hour period. **
** LOW = 10% or less MODERATE = 20-40% HIGH = 50% or more **
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: Heretoserve, NotSparta, riapal and 80 guests