Doomsday storms

[Scorpion]

Extremeweatherguy thats a very scary scenario. However, I highly doubt that South Florida would be surprised. There would be at least a few scenarios or models taking it in that direction. Also, the burst of speed to 25 mph surely wouldnt be unforecasted.

[ROCK]

Here is my idea of a Dooms Day storm:

**These dates are all hypothetical and are there to make this scenario easier to follow. Any real occurrence of the following situation is completely by coincidence.**

August 2nd (7:15am) = A tropical wave is gaining strength just east of the Bahamas. The NHC has just issued a "Tropical Disturbance Statement" to say that this may be upgraded to a tropical depression later in the day.

August 2nd (11:23pm) = A ship reports 45mph sustained winds in the area of the disturbance. The NHC upgrades the system to a tropical storm. The forecast track takes it into the Miami area as a Cat. 2 hurricane in three days.

August 2nd (5pm) = The storm has gone through a burst of development and winds have been raised to 80mph. The system is now a hurricane. The 5pm track is a little further southward and it looks like the keys may be in for a Cat. 3 hurricane in less than 72 hours.

August 3rd (11am) = The storm is now a monster Cat. 3 storm with 130mph winds, and is still intensifying. The forecast is not calling for a Cat. 5 storm to move through the Florida straights in 50 hours. A Hurricane warning is issued for the keys and a tropical storm warning and hurricane watch is issued for southern Florida.

August 3rd (5pm) = At 5pm the storm officially becomes a cat. 5 with 160mph winds. The storm is currently skimming some of the central Bahama islands and wind gusts up to 125mph are being reported a good 80 miles from the eye wall!

August 3rd (11am) = The storm slows considerably just east of the Florida straights. Forecasters are baffled by the situation. In the 11am update the winds are upped to 175mph with a central pressure of 899mb.

August 3rd (11pm) = In the evening advisory winds are still at 175mph and the pressure is down to 897mb. The forecast still takes the storm through the FL straights.

August 4th (12:01am) = While most of southern Florida sleeps, the storm decides to rapidly speed up to nearly 25mph. The storm has also shifted direction and is heading WNW...Miami is now dead in the path of a storm that will make landfall in less than 24 hrs. An evacuation is ordered, but many do not hear of it for another 5-10 hours.

August 4th (11am) = The evacuation is called off as TS force winds cause highways to close. Everyone who did not already leave are trapped. Miami is in panic. Winds are now gusting to 66mph at the airport and thousands of power outages are being reported. The storm still has 175mph winds and hurricane force winds extend out 150 miles.

August 4th (2pm) = Hurricane force winds reach Miami.

August 4th (7pm) = The eye wall reaches Miami. The airport receives a gust to 181mph before the wind gage fails. Downtown skyscrapers sway violently in the high winds and glass windows shatter everywhere. Big chunks of the buildings siding begin to rain to the ground and all outside balconies are stripped off. The entire region of Florida south of West Palm Beach and Naples is without power.

August 5th (11am) = The storm now re-emerges into the Gulf with 115mph winds. The track now takes the system toward the Texas coast. In Miami there is total chaos. All downtown buildings are gutted and some have partially collapsed. Initial death toll estimates top 35,000 people and damage estimates top 100 billion dollars. All popular Miami beaches have been eroded off the earth. Miami is no more.

August 6th (11am) = The storm has regained Cat. 5 status in the Gulf and the track takes the storm toward Houston. Evacuations are ordered for the SE Texas coast and SW Louisiana. The storm is forecast to make landfall on August 9th.

August 7th (5pm) = The storm becomes the strongest in Atlantic basin history. Top winds reach 195mph and pressures fall to 870mb. The national media is in shock with what they are seeing. The track still has the storm moving for the Houston area.

August 8th (11am) = The storm weakens down to 180mph with a pressure of 888mb, but still looks as deadly as ever. Tropical force winds are expected to reach Houston this evening.

August 8th (7pm) = Houston Hobby reports gusts to 47mph and IAH records gusts to 42mph as the first bands move in. Isolated power outages are reported throughout SE Texas.

August 9th (12am) = People in Houston are hunkering down as gusts reach 77mph at Hobby and 69mph at IAH. At Galveston winds have now reached 74mph sustained with gusts to 99mph. 80% of the area is without power.

August 9th (5am) = The eye wall is coming ashore and people watch in shock as new reporters on Galveston island are swept away by surge and wind. The Galveston airport reports a gust to 169mph before the wind gage fails and Hobby is reporting gusts to 144mph. In north Houston, IAH is reporting gusts of 123mph. 100% of the area is without power. All skyscraper windows in Downtown Houston are blown out.

August 9th (6:13am) = Hobby airport reports a gust to 156mph before the wind gage fails.

August 9th (6:44am) = IAH reports a gust to 139mph before the wind gage fails.

August 9th (7:08am) = The eye moves over downtown Houston. A few people wander out to see that all trees and signs are downed and every skyscraper is gutted.

August 9th (12pm) = The tropical force winds wind down in Houston and over 100 billion in damages are left in the storms wake. The death toll is estimated to be 3,313 people (as many have evacuated). The nation is in shock. This storm has surpasses anything they have ever seen.

August 9th (1:21pm) = The dying hurricane moves into the Dallas area. Area airports record gusts as high as 83mph. Reports of downed trees and power lines come in from both Dallas and Fort Worth.

August 9th (7pm) = The storm dies to a tropical depression over Nebraska.

In all this storm would have caused over 200 billion in damages, killed over 38,000 people and created a widespread national disaster. Millions of people experience hurricane force winds from the storm, and storm surge and waves have washed away world famous beaches. Let's pray this scenario never plays itself out...it would truly be a catastrophe. [/i]

Geezz, EWG, lighten up on the Houston area will ya .....I think my house is only rated for 120mph even with hurricane clips. If something like that was bearing down here I think I would leave no doubt.

[wxmann_91]

I have a new one which is the storm to destroys new orleans but stupid photobucket is down so maybe later

Try Imageshack

[Jim Cantore]

this storm levels NOLA

Flooding surpasses Katrina and extreme wind and surge destroy the pumps

nuff said

[cheezyWXguy]

this storm levels NOLA

Flooding surpasses Katrina and extreme wind and surge destroy the pumps

nuff said

So basicly what Katrina couldve done at top strength, but didnt?

[Scorpion]

Here is a very realistic, almost doomsday like track. Strikes South Florida as a 145 mph Cat 4, and goes up the coast with 135 mph winds.

[skysummit]

this storm levels NOLA

Flooding surpasses Katrina and extreme wind and surge destroy the pumps

nuff said

So basicly what Katrina couldve done at top strength, but didnt?

Well, that track is a tad west of Katrina's path. But yea...pretty much what she could've done. That track does keep it a Cat 5 for an aweful long time!

[Extremeweatherguy]

this storm levels NOLA

Flooding surpasses Katrina and extreme wind and surge destroy the pumps

nuff said

So basicly what Katrina couldve done at top strength, but didnt?

Well, that track is a tad west of Katrina's path. But yea...pretty much what she could've done. That track does keep it a Cat 5 for an aweful long time!

This would be a worse track than Katrina. The angle would bring the storm surge right into lake Pontchartrain and overflow into New Orleans. Also, category 4 and 5 force winds would gut the city. This scenario is many times worse for the New Orleans area than anything it has ever seen. The only problem is that this scenario is HIGHLY unlikely, and will probably never happen. A Category 5 maintaining strength that long and also making it all the way to New Orleans would be a nearly impossible feat.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Here is a very realistic, almost doomsday like track. Strikes South Florida as a 145 mph Cat 4, and goes up the coast with 135 mph winds.

The good news is that most places in FL would be on the left side of the storm. The Cat. 4 force winds would stay offshore. Onshore you would still see a wide swath of Cat. 1-3 force winds, but the most destructive winds would not affect the coast of FL. The SC/NC border would have a different scenario though. For them the Cat. 3/4 force winds WOULD make it onshore and cause tons of damage.

[Jim Cantore]

Here is a very realistic, almost doomsday like track. Strikes South Florida as a 145 mph Cat 4, and goes up the coast with 135 mph winds.

The good news is that most places in FL would be on the left side of the storm. The Cat. 4 force winds would stay offshore. Onshore you would still see a wide swath of Cat. 1-3 force winds, but the most destructive winds would not affect the coast of FL. The SC/NC border would have a different scenario though. For them the Cat. 3/4 force winds WOULD make it onshore and cause tons of damage.

Simular to Floyd but more of a coast hugger and stronger

[vbhoutex]

I am locking this thread for a while to get everyones attention.

DO NOT USE ANY OFFICIAL AGENCY MAPS OR ANY MAPS FROM OTHER SOURCES SUCH AS WUNDERGROUND, ACCUWEATHER, TWC, ETC for posting you "doomsday tracks. There are legalities involved if you do. We have provided maps for use for this type of purpose at the top of the Talkin' Tropics forum.

[MiamiensisWx]

This is the way to do it...

[Jim Cantore]

Landfalls

Grand Turk: 135mph
Key West: 165mph
Clearwater Beach: 145mph
Marthas Vineyard: 105mph
Maine: 75mph

[cheezyWXguy]

crap! I think im doing this rong...I used the map on paint, out its not letting my copy the map onto this forum...can sum1 tell me how get this thing on here?

[Jim Cantore]

Post it on ether

http://www.photobucket.com
or http://www.imageshack.com

Post it there first

[Jim Cantore]

landfalls

Saint Thomas: 145mph
Peurto Rico: 140mph
Closest pass of Key West: 115mph
West of Galveston: 150mph

[Extremeweatherguy]

that kind of landfall would mean Cat. 2 force winds for Houston easy with gusts to Cat. 3/4! That would be quite a scary situation. Galveston Bay would also flood. (This scenario was like the worst case for Rita. At one point her track looked just like this and a Cat. 4 landfall was expected! Thank god that changed or else Houston/Galveston would have been quite damaged or destroyed)

[Jim Cantore]

that kind of landfall would mean Cat. 2 force winds for Houston easy with gusts to Cat. 3/4! That would be quite a scary situation. Galveston Bay would also flood. (This scenario was like the worst case for Rita. At one point her track looked just like this and a Cat. 4 landfall was expected! Thank god that changed or else Houston/Galveston would have been quite damaged or destroyed)

noticed how it faked a debby too

[Jim Cantore]

Landfalls

Assorted Islands: 115-105mph
Peurto Rico: 100mph
Dominican Republic: 65mph
Haiti: 45mph
Dry Tortugas: 65mph
Dauphin Island: 135mph

[Extremeweatherguy]

A few Dooms Day Scenario's that I thought up:

URL=http://imageshack.us][/URL]
^^Ultimate Disaster for Miami and Houston. Would also be a catastrophe for many in Central Fl, the keys, and inland Texas as well as southern and western Louisiana.^^


^^This would be the ultimate Florida disaster. Most of the state would be whacked by hurricane force winds and all coasts would see high waves and storm surge. There would also be nowhere to hide as even inland areas would see hurricane force winds. It would be the un-escapable duo of storms!^^