BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIA REGIONAL OFFICE
TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK FOR NORTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA
Issued at 1:00pm WST on Friday the 24th of February 2006
For the area between LONGITUDES 110 - 129 EAST
A monsoon trough extends east west along 12S. A low is likely to form in the
trough in the vicinity of 115E over the weekend. The low is then expected to
develop and has a good chance of being a tropical cyclone early next week as it
moves southwards.
DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL
Saturday : low
Sunday : moderate
Monday : high
** NOTE: Development potential is an estimate of the probability of **
** tropical cyclone development within a 24 hour period. **
** LOW = 10% or less MODERATE = 20-40% HIGH = 50% or more **
SE Indian Ocean: Tropical Cyclone Emma
Moderator: S2k Moderators
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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HURAKAN
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- Age: 38
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SE Indian Ocean: Tropical Cyclone Emma
Last edited by HURAKAN on Mon Feb 27, 2006 8:17 am, edited 2 times in total.
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P.K.
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IDW10800
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIA REGIONAL OFFICE
TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK FOR NORTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA
Issued at 1:00pm WST on Saturday the 25th of February 2006
For the area between LONGITUDES 110 - 129 EAST
A weak low, 1004hPa, was located at noon WST near 12S 116E well north of the
state. The low is expected to develop and has a good chance of being a tropical
cyclone on Monday and is expected to track in a general southerly direction.
DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL
Sunday : moderate
Monday : high
Tuesday : high
** NOTE: Development potential is an estimate of the probability of **
** tropical cyclone development within a 24 hour period. **
** LOW = 10% or less MODERATE = 20-40% HIGH = 50% or more **
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIA REGIONAL OFFICE
TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK FOR NORTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA
Issued at 1:00pm WST on Saturday the 25th of February 2006
For the area between LONGITUDES 110 - 129 EAST
A weak low, 1004hPa, was located at noon WST near 12S 116E well north of the
state. The low is expected to develop and has a good chance of being a tropical
cyclone on Monday and is expected to track in a general southerly direction.
DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL
Sunday : moderate
Monday : high
Tuesday : high
** NOTE: Development potential is an estimate of the probability of **
** tropical cyclone development within a 24 hour period. **
** LOW = 10% or less MODERATE = 20-40% HIGH = 50% or more **
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MiamiensisWx
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
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- Contact:
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIA REGIONAL OFFICE
Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning.
PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
Issued at 8:50 am WST on Sunday, 26 February 2006
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
A CYCLONE WATCH is now current for a developing tropical low for coastal areas
between Whim Creek and Coral Bay.
At 8am WST a developing tropical low was estimated to be 845 kilometres north of
Karratha and 990 kilometres north northeast of Exmouth and moving south at 5
kilometres per hour.
The low may develop into a tropical cyclone but is not expected to cause gales
in coastal areas within the next 24 hours. However gales could occur on Tuesday
if the low develops and moves south.
Details of tropical low at 8:00 am WST.
Location of centre : within 110 kilometres of
Latitude 13.2 South Longitude 116.0 East.
Recent movement : south at 5 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 998 hPa.
Maximum wind gusts : 80 kilometres per hour.
Severity category : Below tropical cyclone intensity.
The next warning will be issued at 3:00 pm.Cyclone advices are available by
dialling 1300 659 210
A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/cyclone
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0125UTC 26 FEBRUARY 2006
GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0000UTC tropical low located within 60 nautical miles of
Latitude thirteen decimal two degrees South [13.2S]
Longitude one hundred and sixteen decimal zero degrees East [116.0E]
Recent movement south at 3 knots.
Maximum winds 25 knots.
Central pressure 998 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours
causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
At 1200UTC 26 February: Within 80 nautical miles of
14.0 South 116.1 East
Central pressure 992 hPa.
Winds to 30 knots near centre.
At 0000UTC 27 February: Within 100 nautical miles of
15.5 South 115.6 East
Central pressure 986 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
Next warning issued at 0700 UTC 26 February 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
Convection is increasing and a tropical cyclone could form at any minute now!
WESTERN AUSTRALIA REGIONAL OFFICE
Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning.
PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
Issued at 8:50 am WST on Sunday, 26 February 2006
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
A CYCLONE WATCH is now current for a developing tropical low for coastal areas
between Whim Creek and Coral Bay.
At 8am WST a developing tropical low was estimated to be 845 kilometres north of
Karratha and 990 kilometres north northeast of Exmouth and moving south at 5
kilometres per hour.
The low may develop into a tropical cyclone but is not expected to cause gales
in coastal areas within the next 24 hours. However gales could occur on Tuesday
if the low develops and moves south.
Details of tropical low at 8:00 am WST.
Location of centre : within 110 kilometres of
Latitude 13.2 South Longitude 116.0 East.
Recent movement : south at 5 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 998 hPa.
Maximum wind gusts : 80 kilometres per hour.
Severity category : Below tropical cyclone intensity.
The next warning will be issued at 3:00 pm.Cyclone advices are available by
dialling 1300 659 210
A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/cyclone
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0125UTC 26 FEBRUARY 2006
GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0000UTC tropical low located within 60 nautical miles of
Latitude thirteen decimal two degrees South [13.2S]
Longitude one hundred and sixteen decimal zero degrees East [116.0E]
Recent movement south at 3 knots.
Maximum winds 25 knots.
Central pressure 998 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours
causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
At 1200UTC 26 February: Within 80 nautical miles of
14.0 South 116.1 East
Central pressure 992 hPa.
Winds to 30 knots near centre.
At 0000UTC 27 February: Within 100 nautical miles of
15.5 South 115.6 East
Central pressure 986 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
Next warning issued at 0700 UTC 26 February 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
Convection is increasing and a tropical cyclone could form at any minute now!
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
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- Age: 38
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- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 12.2S 115.5E,
APPROXIMATELY 510 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA.
A 251755Z AMSR-E PASS REVEALS A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) WITH CURVED BANDS OF CONVECTION FORMING ON THE
CIRCULATION PERIPHERY. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS NEAR THE DISTURBANCE
VERIFY THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING AND REFLECT SURFACE PRESSURES
NEAR 1001 MB. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THE FORMING LLCC IS
SUPERPOSED BY AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE, WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AND EXCELLENT OUTFLOW POTENTIAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. DUE TO AN IMPROVING LLCC AND A VERY
FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
APPROXIMATELY 510 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA.
A 251755Z AMSR-E PASS REVEALS A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) WITH CURVED BANDS OF CONVECTION FORMING ON THE
CIRCULATION PERIPHERY. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS NEAR THE DISTURBANCE
VERIFY THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING AND REFLECT SURFACE PRESSURES
NEAR 1001 MB. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THE FORMING LLCC IS
SUPERPOSED BY AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE, WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AND EXCELLENT OUTFLOW POTENTIAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. DUE TO AN IMPROVING LLCC AND A VERY
FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
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- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
IGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0638UTC 26 FEBRUARY 2006
GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0600UTC a tropical low was relocated by satellite imagery to within 60
nautical miles of
Latitude twelve decimal three degrees South [12.3S]
Longitude one hundred and fourteen decimal five degrees East [114.5E]
Recent movement slowly southwards.
Maximum winds 25 knots.
Central pressure 998 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 120 nautical miles
in southern quadrants.
FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours
causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
At 1800UTC 26 February: Within 80 nautical miles of
13.6 South 114.2 East
Central pressure 992 hPa.
Winds to 30 knots near centre.
At 0600UTC 27 February: Within 100 nautical miles of
15.8 South 113.7 East
Central pressure 986 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
Next warning issued at 1300 UTC 26 February 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0638UTC 26 FEBRUARY 2006
GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0600UTC a tropical low was relocated by satellite imagery to within 60
nautical miles of
Latitude twelve decimal three degrees South [12.3S]
Longitude one hundred and fourteen decimal five degrees East [114.5E]
Recent movement slowly southwards.
Maximum winds 25 knots.
Central pressure 998 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 120 nautical miles
in southern quadrants.
FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours
causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
At 1800UTC 26 February: Within 80 nautical miles of
13.6 South 114.2 East
Central pressure 992 hPa.
Winds to 30 knots near centre.
At 0600UTC 27 February: Within 100 nautical miles of
15.8 South 113.7 East
Central pressure 986 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
Next warning issued at 1300 UTC 26 February 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Pressure down 1hPa.
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1254UTC 26 FEBRUARY 2006
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 1200UTC a tropical low was located within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude twelve decimal seven degrees South [12.7S]
Longitude one hundred and fourteen decimal two degrees East [114.2E]
Recent movement south southwest at 7 knots.
Maximum winds 30 knots.
Central pressure 997 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 120 nautical miles
in southern quadrants.
FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 6 to 12 hours
causing clockwise winds 30/45 knots, rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
Within 30 nautical miles of the centre: 45/50 knots winds with high seas and
heavy swell by 1200UTC 27 February.
At 0000UTC 27 February: Within 60 nautical miles of
14.5 South 113.4 East
Central pressure 990 hPa.
Winds to 35 knots near centre.
At 1200UTC 27 February: Within 90 nautical miles of
16.9 South 112.9 East
Central pressure 980 hPa.
Winds to 50 knots near centre.
Next warning issued at 1900 UTC 26 February 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1254UTC 26 FEBRUARY 2006
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 1200UTC a tropical low was located within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude twelve decimal seven degrees South [12.7S]
Longitude one hundred and fourteen decimal two degrees East [114.2E]
Recent movement south southwest at 7 knots.
Maximum winds 30 knots.
Central pressure 997 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 120 nautical miles
in southern quadrants.
FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 6 to 12 hours
causing clockwise winds 30/45 knots, rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
Within 30 nautical miles of the centre: 45/50 knots winds with high seas and
heavy swell by 1200UTC 27 February.
At 0000UTC 27 February: Within 60 nautical miles of
14.5 South 113.4 East
Central pressure 990 hPa.
Winds to 35 knots near centre.
At 1200UTC 27 February: Within 90 nautical miles of
16.9 South 112.9 East
Central pressure 980 hPa.
Winds to 50 knots near centre.
Next warning issued at 1900 UTC 26 February 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
30kts, 997hPa
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1856UTC 26 FEBRUARY 2006
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 1800UTC a tropical low was located within 40 nautical miles of
Latitude thirteen decimal eight degrees South [13.8S]
Longitude one hundred and fourteen decimal one degrees East [114.1E]
Recent movement south at 8 knots.
Maximum winds 30 knots.
Central pressure 997 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 80 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 12 hours
causing clockwise winds 30/45 knots, rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
Within 20 nautical miles of the centre: 45/50 knots winds with high seas and
heavy swell by 1800UTC 27 February.
At 0600UTC 27 February: Within 60 nautical miles of
15.6 South 113.9 East
Central pressure 992 hPa.
Winds to 35 knots near centre.
At 1800UTC 27 February: Within 80 nautical miles of
17.7 South 113.7 East
Central pressure 982 hPa.
Winds to 50 knots near centre.
Next warning issued at 0100 UTC 27 February 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1856UTC 26 FEBRUARY 2006
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 1800UTC a tropical low was located within 40 nautical miles of
Latitude thirteen decimal eight degrees South [13.8S]
Longitude one hundred and fourteen decimal one degrees East [114.1E]
Recent movement south at 8 knots.
Maximum winds 30 knots.
Central pressure 997 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 80 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 12 hours
causing clockwise winds 30/45 knots, rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
Within 20 nautical miles of the centre: 45/50 knots winds with high seas and
heavy swell by 1800UTC 27 February.
At 0600UTC 27 February: Within 60 nautical miles of
15.6 South 113.9 East
Central pressure 992 hPa.
Winds to 35 knots near centre.
At 1800UTC 27 February: Within 80 nautical miles of
17.7 South 113.7 East
Central pressure 982 hPa.
Winds to 50 knots near centre.
Next warning issued at 0100 UTC 27 February 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
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WindRunner
- Category 5
- Posts: 5806
- Age: 34
- Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
- Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
- Contact:
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 146221
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Well guys the confusion is over as 96S has been retired from the NRL list so we can now post about this system here as I locked the 96S thread.
http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi
http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
30kts, 996hPa, currently located at 15.6S 115.0E
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0026UTC 27 FEBRUARY 2006
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0000UTC a tropical low was relocated to within 50 nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal six degrees South [15.6S]
Longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal zero degrees East [115.0E]
Recent movement south at 11 knots.
Maximum winds 30 knots.
Central pressure 996 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 6 to 24 hours
causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell. Winds within 30 nautical miles of the centre increasing to 40/50
knots with high seas and heavy swell by 0000UTC 28 February.
At 1200UTC 27 February: Within 70 nautical miles of
17.5 South 115.1 East
Central pressure 986 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 0000UTC 28 February: Within 90 nautical miles of
19.2 South 114.1 East
Central pressure 978 hPa.
Winds to 50 knots near centre.
Next warning issued at 0700 UTC 27 February 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0026UTC 27 FEBRUARY 2006
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0000UTC a tropical low was relocated to within 50 nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal six degrees South [15.6S]
Longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal zero degrees East [115.0E]
Recent movement south at 11 knots.
Maximum winds 30 knots.
Central pressure 996 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.
FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 6 to 24 hours
causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell. Winds within 30 nautical miles of the centre increasing to 40/50
knots with high seas and heavy swell by 0000UTC 28 February.
At 1200UTC 27 February: Within 70 nautical miles of
17.5 South 115.1 East
Central pressure 986 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 0000UTC 28 February: Within 90 nautical miles of
19.2 South 114.1 East
Central pressure 978 hPa.
Winds to 50 knots near centre.
Next warning issued at 0700 UTC 27 February 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
30kts, 992hPa.
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0633UTC 27 FEBRUARY 2006
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0600UTC a tropical low was located within 70 nautical miles of
Latitude seventeen decimal four degrees South [17.4S]
Longitude one hundred and fourteen decimal eight degrees East [114.8E]
Recent movement south at 13 knots.
Maximum winds 30 knots.
Central pressure 992 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 140 nautical miles
in southern quadrants.
FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 6 to 24 hours
causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell. Winds within 40 nautical miles of the centre increasing to 40/50
knots with high seas and heavy swell by 0600UTC 28 February.
At 1800UTC 27 February: Within 90 nautical miles of
19.3 South 114.4 East
Central pressure 986 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 0600UTC 28 February: Within 110 nautical miles of
21.2 South 114.4 East
Central pressure 978 hPa.
Winds to 50 knots near centre.
Next warning issued at 1300 UTC 27 February 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0633UTC 27 FEBRUARY 2006
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0600UTC a tropical low was located within 70 nautical miles of
Latitude seventeen decimal four degrees South [17.4S]
Longitude one hundred and fourteen decimal eight degrees East [114.8E]
Recent movement south at 13 knots.
Maximum winds 30 knots.
Central pressure 992 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 140 nautical miles
in southern quadrants.
FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 6 to 24 hours
causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell. Winds within 40 nautical miles of the centre increasing to 40/50
knots with high seas and heavy swell by 0600UTC 28 February.
At 1800UTC 27 February: Within 90 nautical miles of
19.3 South 114.4 East
Central pressure 986 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 0600UTC 28 February: Within 110 nautical miles of
21.2 South 114.4 East
Central pressure 978 hPa.
Winds to 50 knots near centre.
Next warning issued at 1300 UTC 27 February 2006.
WEATHER PERTH
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIA REGIONAL OFFICE
Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning.
PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 9
Issued at 8:55 pm WST on Monday, 27 February 2006
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
A CYCLONE WARNING for a CATEGORY 1 TROPICAL CYCLONE is now current for coastal
areas between Whim Creek and Billabong Roadhouse, extending inland into the
western Pilbara and adjacent Gascoyne.
At 8pm WST Tropical Cyclone Emma was estimated to be
305 kilometres northwest of Karratha and
310 kilometres north of Onslow and
moving south at 25 kilometres per hour.
Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour may develop in coastal areas between
Whim Creek and Exmouth overnight, and extend southwards during Tuesday.
The cyclone centre is expected to be in the vicinity of Onslow about noon on
Tuesday, and winds may reach 120 kilometres per hour as the system crosses the
coast.
Widespread squally thunderstorms are expected in the western Pilbara ahead of
the system.
Details of Tropical Cyclone Emma at 8pm WST.
Location of centre : within 90 kilometres of
Latitude 18.9 South Longitude 114.7 East.
Recent movement : south at 25 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 988 hPa.
Maximum wind gusts : 100 kilometres per hour.
Severity category : 1.
FESA-State Emergency Service advises that there are no community alerts at
present. Communities between Whim Creek and Billabong Roadhouse should listen
for the next advice.
The next advice will be issued at midnight Monday WST.Cyclone advices and State
Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210
WESTERN AUSTRALIA REGIONAL OFFICE
Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning.
PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 9
Issued at 8:55 pm WST on Monday, 27 February 2006
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
A CYCLONE WARNING for a CATEGORY 1 TROPICAL CYCLONE is now current for coastal
areas between Whim Creek and Billabong Roadhouse, extending inland into the
western Pilbara and adjacent Gascoyne.
At 8pm WST Tropical Cyclone Emma was estimated to be
305 kilometres northwest of Karratha and
310 kilometres north of Onslow and
moving south at 25 kilometres per hour.
Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour may develop in coastal areas between
Whim Creek and Exmouth overnight, and extend southwards during Tuesday.
The cyclone centre is expected to be in the vicinity of Onslow about noon on
Tuesday, and winds may reach 120 kilometres per hour as the system crosses the
coast.
Widespread squally thunderstorms are expected in the western Pilbara ahead of
the system.
Details of Tropical Cyclone Emma at 8pm WST.
Location of centre : within 90 kilometres of
Latitude 18.9 South Longitude 114.7 East.
Recent movement : south at 25 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 988 hPa.
Maximum wind gusts : 100 kilometres per hour.
Severity category : 1.
FESA-State Emergency Service advises that there are no community alerts at
present. Communities between Whim Creek and Billabong Roadhouse should listen
for the next advice.
The next advice will be issued at midnight Monday WST.Cyclone advices and State
Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210
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