North Georgia Weather

[YellowJacket]

I was wanting to know what North Georgia's chances of winter weather this weekend are. I'm not very good at ready the models and wanted to know what y'all think.

[JenyEliza]

This is the latest from Peachtree City NWS:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
320 PM EST WED FEB 15 2006

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ENJOY THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...THINGS GO DOWNHILL FROM THERE. CLOUDS SCT-BKN SHOULD BECOME MORE BKN OVERNIGHT AS SW FLOW ALOFT AND WAA CONTINUES. STILL NOT STRONG ENOUGH LIFT OR SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR PRECIP BUT BY THURS NIGHT SHOULD SEE SCT SHRA MOVING INTO NW ZONES. TEMPS WILL BECOME UNSEASONABLY WARM AHEAD OF FRONT WHICH IS PROGGED TO MOVE INTO TN VALLEY BY THURS NIGHT. BIG PROBLEM AFTER THIS POINT IS HOW FAR FRONT WILL MOVE INTO GA AFTER THAT.

12Z MODELS STARTING TO BACK OFF ON HOW FAR SOUTH FRONT GETS...KEEPING IT STATIONARY OVER NORTH OR CENTRAL GA FRIDAY INTO SAT. WITH A BIG ARCTIC HIGH LIKE THIS...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF LATER RUNS TAKE IT FURTHER SOUTH. FOR NOW...HAVE SIDED WITH NAM/GFS BLEND WHICH SEEM TO BE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH EACH OTHER. PRECIP TYPE WILL BE LIQUID THROUGH SATURDAY. HOWEVER...IF FRONT PLUNGES MUCH FURTHER SOUTH WITH COLDER AIR THAN PROGGED BEHIND IT...COULD EASILY HAVE A SLEET/FREEZING RAIN SITUATION ACROSS NORTH GA.

..LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
LARGE-SCALE W TO SW FLOW TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD. FRONT FINALLY PROGGED TO PUSH TROUGH CWA SATURDAY NIGHT WITH SOME POST-FRONTAL PRECIP POSSIBLE. PRECIP TYPE MAY BE TRICKY WITH SOME FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET POSSIBLE IN THE FAR NORTH. 12Z GFS PROGS ANOTHER WAVE IN SWLY FLOW FOR SUN NIGHT AND MON AND AGAIN ON TUES. BY WED SFC HIGH FINALLY BUILDS INTO THE SOUTHEAST WITH COOLER TEMPS AND CLEARING SKIES. WOULD NOT BANK ON THIS YET AS STRONG NW FLOW NOT LIKELY IN THE WAKE OF FRONT. OVERALL PATTERN FOR ZONAL FLOW LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF NEXT WEEK.

SNELSON