Snowstorm on Thursday for the plains?

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WaitingForSiren
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#41 Postby WaitingForSiren » Tue Feb 14, 2006 12:04 pm

well, Omaha could still get snow, but it looks like you guys will be on the far southern end, so you might miss out on it.

After a 6z run of going a little farther south, the gfs now looks to be back with its 00z run. Major snowstorm across southern MN into wisconsin and maybe extreme north iowa. I still think Minneapolis will see a foot, with a similar amount across most of southern MN. I will make a chart of my forecasted snowfall totals later tonight.
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ya

#42 Postby plainsman » Tue Feb 14, 2006 12:14 pm

acually the panhandle of Texas/oklahoma could see a severe icing event! with temps in the teens at night and constant freezing drizzle/sleet for 2-3 days straight according to the amarillo nws!North Texas will be bad but temps arent going to be as cold at night as amarillo.. yall enjoy the heavy snow in southern mn, neb,sd and iowa... it dosent look like much snow in the south plains but ill take the freezing rain and sleet ya know :D as long as its not cold rain... but as of right now it looks like theyll be freezing rain and sleet sat night, sun night and mon night, it coluld be a big winter event here in North Texas...
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#43 Postby chizniz16 » Tue Feb 14, 2006 1:12 pm

What up Siren, You still think a foot is possible for the Cities after the latest models? It looks like a good 6-9 inch snow storm for all of southern MN.
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#44 Postby WaitingForSiren » Tue Feb 14, 2006 3:25 pm

Im still waiting to see the latest gfs run...but HPS now says the heaviest snow will stay south of my area, I disagree strongly though. I think they are taking this thing way too far south./..
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#45 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Feb 14, 2006 5:30 pm

TWC has a high of 37 for me on saturday..thats down 10 degrees from yesterday..also it looks like the GFS shows a possible snow event on next Tuesday
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#46 Postby plainsman » Tue Feb 14, 2006 8:44 pm

this upcoming winter event for North Texas is looking better and better.. accuweather just updated their forecast now they say a low of 24 thursday night with the winter precip starting then and after that constant freezing drizzle freezing rain and snow/rain showers for like 2 -3 days after that with highs in the low to mid 30s and lows in the 20s now their saying another winter storm could happen early next week. things could be wintry for like a week straight in north texas and oklahoma... it wouldnt be such a big deal if it was just snow but a week a freezing rain/sleet could make things total mess!!
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#47 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Feb 14, 2006 8:49 pm

wow...that sounds pretty intense...looks like ill get a few icedays!!!
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#48 Postby Tyler » Tue Feb 14, 2006 8:49 pm

The upcoming pattern is favorable for much below average temperatures to last a while for Texas. This weekend, zonal flow and a ridge trying to build in the Gulf will help to push the brunt of the cold away from here. If it wasn't for that, we would be in the freezer next weekend. However, next week, the pattern shifts slightly. The trough in the west becomes inverted, and in a favorable position for continuous shots of cold Canadian air to push through Texas. In fact, this is one of those patterns next week where the coldest air comes to Texas first, and then warms up a bit as it passes east. Kinda like December. The cold air comes straight south, rather than southeast.
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#49 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Feb 14, 2006 8:50 pm

good analysis, tyler
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#50 Postby gboudx » Tue Feb 14, 2006 10:34 pm

plainsman, when you refer to NTX, where exactly are you referring to? The forecasts you post are usually different from me in Rockwall. I'm just curious about your location.
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#51 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Feb 14, 2006 10:36 pm

gboudx wrote:plainsman, when you refer to NTX, where exactly are you referring to? The forecasts you post are usually different from me in Rockwall. I'm just curious about your location.


I think hes talking about the DFW area where we are...I brought up the subject yesterday and been asking about it ever since
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#52 Postby gboudx » Tue Feb 14, 2006 10:38 pm

Interesting, because my forecast on accuweather is nothing like what he posted above. But I'm looking at the 15 day forecast for my zipcode. Maybe he's looking at something different?
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#53 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Feb 14, 2006 10:45 pm

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#54 Postby gboudx » Tue Feb 14, 2006 10:48 pm

Cheezywxman, he may have a subscription to the Accuwx pro service. I don't. plaisman, give us the scoop if you see this post.
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#55 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Feb 14, 2006 10:51 pm

yes... if u have any info, pleez share it
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#56 Postby chizniz16 » Tue Feb 14, 2006 10:52 pm

heres some info... this storm is a bust! tonights models came out with the true information... WOW
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#57 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Feb 14, 2006 10:54 pm

for y'all maybe...i doubt it...do you mean us too?
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#58 Postby AirmaN » Wed Feb 15, 2006 1:55 am

Aww cmon, I want good news!! "Major Snowstorm for OMAHA, NE! :)" Would make me happy!
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#59 Postby WaitingForSiren » Wed Feb 15, 2006 10:17 am

I wouldnt say it is a bust yet, the NGM still has a major snowstorm for all of southern MN including the cities...so dont throw in the towel yet. I am not changing my forecast...I still say it goes further north and slams southern MN with a slower path...theres no way HPc's solution will happen...this storm wont move nearly that fast!
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#60 Postby WaitingForSiren » Wed Feb 15, 2006 11:04 am

Yep the 12z GFS has went a little more northward and slower...the NAM is still crappy but has gotten a LITTLE better. My money is on the NGM right now.
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